image missingTrue Value Metrics (TVM)
Meaningful Metrics for a Smart Society
image missing Navigation ... HOME
HOME
CONTEXT
ISSUES
POSSIBILITIES
HOW THE
WORLD
WORKS
ACTIVITIES
SECTORS
STREAMS
STATE
ALL THE
CAPITALS
ACTORS
PEOPLE
ORGANIZATIONS
PRODUCTS
STUFF
CONSUMPTION
PLACE
COMMUNITIES
COUNTRIES
PEOPLE
QUALITY
OF LIFE
NATURE
SOURCE of
all VALUE
ECONOMY
MONEY
LIQUIDITY
TRUE VALUE
DATA at
the CENTER
ABOUT
VISION
STRATEGY
Date: 2018-11-20 Page is: DBtxt001.php L070-XR-EXISTENTIAL-RISKS


EXISTENTIAL-RISKS
Everything has some risk ... but there are existential risks that are orders of magnitude more problematic

INEQUALITY
A problem that has been growing for about 4 decades ... and ignored for all this time. Rich 'successful' people are responsible for this and will not do anything about it.
Obscene Wealth Terrible Poverty Juxtaposed More ... Open L0700-XR-Inequality
STARVATION / MALNUTRITION
Mostly caused by war and violence, but increasingly also being caused by dysfunctional governing institutions and climate change.
Africa North Korea Somalia More ... Open L0700-XR-Food-Insecurity
WAR / DESTRUCTION
The value destruction associated with war is ignored in metrics like GDP ... though the production of the bombs that do the damage are included.
Aleppo, Syria Sanaa, Yemen Mosul, Iraq More ... Open L0700-XR-War
DEATH ... WANTON KILLING
The horror of killing ... genocide ... is tough to witness. But too many world leaders have been responsible for this behavior in both the distant and recent past.
Monrovia, Liberia Darfur, Sudan Rwanda More ... Open L0700-XR-Wanton-Killing
URBAN DEGRADATION
The modern 'for profit' market driven economy does not result in quality affordable housing, but rather extreme opulance or derelict properties and slums.
Detroit, USA Modern slums Kibera, Kenya More ... Open L0700-XR-Urban-Degradation
POLLUTION
Products are important to improve standard of living and quality of life, but most products post use then become waste that in many cases pollutes the planets for a very long time.
Air pollution Land fill Plastic More ... Open L0700-XR-Industrial-Pollution
LAND DEGRADATION
Undeveloped natural land is very important for the operation of the global ecosystem, but more and more of natueral land is being developed either for agriculture or for industrial or urban development.
Mining Deforestation Desertification More ... Open L0700-XR-Degraded-Land
EXTREME WEATHER
Extreme weather events are getting more frequent and more ferocious. This is not suprising given the huge increase in the latent energy of the climate system that results from just a small increase in global temperatuve.
Hurricanes Rain / Flooding Tropical depressions More ... Open L0700-XR-Climate-Change
DROUGHT / WATER SHORTAGES
In a drought ... without water, vegetation dies, livestock die and eventually people die. Without water, life cannot be sustained.
No water everything dies More ... Open L0700-XR-Drought-Water-Shortages

EXISTENTIAL RISKS / ECONOMIC
The banking crisis of 2008 should have been a wake-up call!
Open L0200-IS-EC-ECONOMIC-ISSUES
EXISTENTIAL RISKS / ENVIRONMENTAL
Most major policy implementation is ignoring environmental risks!
Open L0200-IS-EN-ENVIRONMENTAL-ISSUES
EXISTENTIAL RISKS / SOCIAL
A dangerously large part of the world's population is being left behind!
Open L0200-IS-SO-SOCIAL-ISSUES

THE CHANGING PROFILE OF RISK
Accelerating degradation of Natural Capital and the Environment
GO TOP
The changing risk landscape - presentations at the World Economic Forum
While the following is of interest and important, it should be noted that the methodology used to determine the impact and the likelihood of certain events is almost certainly biased towards events that are noteworthy and are in the news. This bias is almost certainly getting worse as the pace of the news cycle accelerates. Nevertheless the information presented at the WEF (World Economic Forum) is of considerable interest.
Risk landscape in 2014 Risk landscape in 2018
Changing Global-Risk-Profiles ... Presentations at the WEF
includes bigger images
Open L0700-XR-Global-Risk-Profiles-WEF

Impact rankings Likelihood rankings Impact and Likelihood
as of 2014 as of 2018 as of 2014 as of 2018 as of 2014 as of 2018
Fiscal crisis Weapons of Mass Destruction Income disparity Extreme weather events Climate Change Extreme weather events
More about Climate Change ... Open L0700-XR-Climate-Change
Climate change Extreme weather events Extreme weather events Natural disasters Unemployment and Underemployment Natural disasters
More about Natural Disasters ... Open L0700-XR-Natural-disasters
Water crisis Natural disasters Unemployment and underemployment Cyberattacks Extreme Weather Events Failure to address climate change
More about Climate Change ... Open L0700-XR-Climate-Change
Unemployment and underemployment Failure to address climate change Climate change Data fraud or theft Income Disparity Cyberattacks
More about Digital-Malfeasance ... Open L0700-XR-Digital-Malfeasance
Critical information and infrastructure breakdown Water crisis Cyberattacks Failure to address climate change Fiscal Crises Weapons of Mass Desruction
More about Weapons of Mass Desruction ... Open L0700-XR-WMDs
Extreme weather events Cyberattacks Date fraud and thefts Large scale involuntary migration Water Crises Water Crisis
More about Water Crisis ... Open L0700-XR-Water
Biodiversity loss and ecosystem breakdown Food crisis Water crises Man made envirnmental disasters Cyberattacks Large scale involuntary migration
More about Large scale involuntary migration ... Open L0700-XR-Migration
Cyberattacks Biodiversity loss Fiscal crises Terrorist attacks Biodivdersity Loss and Ecosystem Collapses Man made environmental disasters
More about Man made environmental disasters ... Open L0700-XR-Environmental-degradation
Income disparity Large scale involuntary migration Mismanaged urbanization Illicit trade Data Fraud and Theft Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
More about Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse ... Open L0700-XR-Biodiversity-loss
Political and Social Instability Infectious diseases Natural catastrophes Asset bubbles in a major economy Failure of Financial Mechanisms or Institutions Food crisis
More about Food crisis ... Open L0700-XR-Food-crisis
Failure of Financial Mecahnisms or Institutions Manmade environmental disasters Antibiotic resistant bacteria Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse Political or Social Instability Data fraud or theft
More about Data fraud or theft ... Open L0700-XR-Digital-Malfeasance
Weapons of Mass Destruction Interstate conflict Manmade environmental catastrophes Water crisis Critical information infrastructure breakdown Terrorist attacks
More about Terrorism ... Open L0700-XR-Violence-Terrorism




SOCIAL ISSUES
Risks are growing, and too many people with wealth and power don't give a damn
GO TOP
POPULATION / DEMOGRAPHICS
Massive changes that must be taken into account
Open L0300-Population
POVERTY
A result of no income, no jobs, no opportunities
Open L0300-Poverty
CONFLICT ... National, Non-State, Individual
Should be a last resort ... but becomes a first resort with ineffective leadership
RELIGION / CULTURE
HUNGER / MALNUTRITION
HEALTH

ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES
The problems are massive, but too much ignored by critical decision makers with influence
GO TOP
UNSUSTAINABILITY
Open L0700-XR-Unsustainability
ECOSYSTEM COLLAPSE
INDUSTRIAL AGE POLLUTION

Open L0700-XR-Industrial-Age-Pollution
CLIMATE CHANGE Open L0700-XR-Climate-Change
SEA LEVEL RISE

ECONOMIC ISSUES
Without massive technological changes, a bigger profitable economy is a global disaster
GO TOP
CONCENTRATION OF FINANCIAL WEALTH
FRAGILE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Huge issue ... very little understood
WRONG METRICS
Profits, GDP , Growth works for owners but not for workers
Nothing for impacts on the environment and society
Open L0300-Wrong-Metrics
MEANINGLESS ANALYSIS

Slidesets
RISK
MDIA-p3-14- ... Published on Jul 26, 2015 ... As of 171103 viewed 457 times
Risk is not treated in a realistic manner in conventional accountancy and financial analysis. The idea that risk may be accounted for simply by multiplying the potential cost of the risk by the probability of this risk happening in a specific time period is insufficient, and does not enable policy makers to make informed decisions. Something better is needed.
Open in slideshare
RISK-examples and lessons
TVA-p3-00- ... Published on Oct 24, 2015 ... As of 171103 viewed 256 times
RISKS are some of the biggest issues in the modern world, and how they are addressed will determine what sort of a world we live in in the future. Many of the best practices from the past are not going to be good enough for the future, and need to be improved.
Open in slideshare

James-Hansen-ACPD-Climate-Change-Impacts-15-20059-2015
http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/15/20059/2015/acpd-15-20059-2015.pdf
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/People/JamesHansen/James-Hansen-ACPD-Climate-Change-Impacts-15-20059-2015.pdf'
Open PDF ... James-Hansen-ACPD-Climate-Change-Impacts-15-20059-2015
Money Banking and Financial Services ... Rating Agencies
The profit culture run amok ... Ghana and the US rating agencies.
Open file 0001
With risk there must also be responsibility
Rich and powerful chemical companies and poor workers in agriculture ... DBCP case files ... Pesticide lawsuits – a DBCP overview
Open file 1797

WB-UN-Natural-Hazards-Unnatural-Disasters-Economics
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Issues/Risk/WB-UN-Natural-Hazards-Unnatural-Disasters-Economics.pdf'
Open PDF ... WB-UN-Natural-Hazards-Unnatural-Disasters-Economics
WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Issues/Risk/WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014.pdf'
Open PDF ... WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014
WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014
'http://truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Risk/WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014.pdf'
Open PDF ... WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014

Burgess ... Some Thoughts About Risk

TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141202b
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/MDIA/Risk/TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141202b.pdf'
Open PDF ... TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141202b
TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141201a (Superceded)
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/MDIA/Risk/TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141201a.pdf'
Open PDF ... TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141201a

Enterprise Risk

ERM-Enterprise-Risk-Management-by-William-L-Deckelman
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Corporate-Governance/ERM-Enterprise-Risk-Management-by-William-L-Deckelman.pdf'
Open PDF ... ERM-Enterprise-Risk-Management-by-William-L-Deckelman

Relational Risk

David-John-Lee-Paper-on-Relational-Risk-2015
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Risk/David-John-Lee-Paper-on-Relational-Risk-2015.pdf'
Open PDF ... David-John-Lee-Paper-on-Relational-Risk-2015

Drug Resistance

Risk ... Drug Resistance ... Antibiotics in fish
Farmed Salmon Rejected Over Huge Spike in Antibiotic Use Due to Bacterial Outbreak
Open file 10163

Sovereign Credit Risk

UNEP-GFN-ERISC-a-new-angle-on-soveriegn-credit-risk
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Risk/UNEP-GFN-ERISC-a-new-angle-on-soveriegn-credit-risk.pdf'
Open PDF ... UNEP-GFN-ERISC-a-new-angle-on-soveriegn-credit-risk
Third-party-risk-in-logistics-110917-lexis-nexis
For example: Supply chain disruptions reduce shareholder value by 7% on average World Economics survey, “The Impact of Reputation on Market Value,” Simon Cole, September 2012, as reported in Deloitte’s 2014 Global Survey on Reputation Risk ... CIRANO Burgundy Report, Corporate Reputation: Is your most strategic asset at risk?, 2012 World Economic Forum Report (in partnership with Accenture), 2013
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Risk/Third-party-risk-in-logistics-110917-lexis-nexis.pdf'
Open PDF ... Third-party-risk-in-logistics-110917-lexis-nexis
.



The text being discussed is available at


TrueValueMetrics (TVM) is an Open Source / Open Knowledge initiative.
It has been funded by family and friends plus donations from well wishers who understand the importance of accountability and getting the management metrics right.
SITE COUNT
Amazing and shiny stats
Blog Counters Reset to zero January 20, 2015

CAVEAT. The information on this website may only be used for socio-enviro-economic performance analysis, personal information, education and limited low profit purposes
Copyright © 2005-2018 Peter Burgess. All rights reserved.