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Date: 2018-07-22 Page is: DBtxt001.php L070-XR-EXISTENTIAL-RISKS


ISSUES
EXISTENTIAL-RISKS
Everything we do has some risk ... and there are also existential risks that are orders of magnitude more problematic

XR ECONOMIC
Poorly understood ... ignored at everyone's peril
Open L0700-IS-EC-ECONOMIC-ISSUES
XR ENVIRONMENTAL
Poorly understood ... ignored at everyone's peril
Open L0700-IS-EN-ENVIRONMENTAL-ISSUES
XR SOCIAL
Poorly understood ... ignored at everyone's peril
Open L0700-IS-SO-SOCIAL-ISSUES

THE CHANGING PROFILE OF RISK
Accelerating degradation of Natural Capital and the Environment
GO TOP
The changing risk landscape - presentations at the World Economic Forum
While the following is of interest and important, it should be noted that the methodology used to determine the impact and the likelihood of certain events is almost certainly biased towards events that are noteworthy and are in the news. This bias is almost certainly getting worse as the pace of the news cycle accelerates. Nevertheless the information presented at the WEF (World Economic Forum) is of considerable interest.
Risk landscape in 2014 Risk landscape in 2018
Changing Global-Risk-Profiles ... Presentations at the WEF Open L0700-XR-Global-Risk-Profiles-WEF

Impact rankings Likelihood rankings Impact and Likelihood
as of 2014 as of 2018 as of 2014 as of 2018 as of 2014 as of 2018
Fiscal crisis Weapons of Mass Destruction Income disparity Extreme weather events Climate Change Extreme weather events
More about Climate Change ... Open L0700-XR-Climate-Change
Climate change Extreme weather events Extreme weather events Natural disasters Unemployment and Underemployment Natural disasters
More about Natural Disasters ... Open L0700-XR-Natural-disasters
Water crisis Natural disasters Unemployment and underemployment Cyberattacks Extreme Weather Events Failure to address climate change
More about Climate Change ... Open L0700-XR-Climate-Change
Unemployment and underemployment Failure to address climate change Climate change Data fraud or theft Income Disparity Cyberattacks
More about Digital-Malfeasance ... Open L0700-XR-Digital-Malfeasance
Critical information and infrastructure breakdown Water crisis Cyberattacks Failure to address climate change Fiscal Crises Weapons of Mass Desruction
More about Weapons of Mass Desruction ... Open L0700-XR-WMDs
Extreme weather events Cyberattacks Date fraud and thefts Large scale involuntary migration Water Crises Water Crisis
More about Water Crisis ... Open L0700-XR-Water
Biodiversity loss and ecosystem breakdown Food crisis Water crises Man made envirnmental disasters Cyberattacks Large scale involuntary migration
More about Large scale involuntary migration ... Open L0700-XR-Migration
Cyberattacks Biodiversity loss Fiscal crises Terrorist attacks Biodivdersity Loss and Ecosystem Collapses Man made environmental disasters
More about Man made environmental disasters ... Open L0700-XR-Environmental-degradation
Income disparity Large scale involuntary migration Mismanaged urbanization Illicit trade Data Fraud and Theft Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
More about Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse ... Open L0700-XR-Biodiversity-loss
Political and Social Instability Infectious diseases Natural catastrophes Asset bubbles in a major economy Failure of Financial Mechanisms or Institutions Food crisis
More about Food crisis ... Open L0700-XR-Food-crisis
Failure of Financial Mecahnisms or Institutions Manmade environmental disasters Antibiotic resistant bacteria Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse Political or Social Instability Data fraud or theft
More about Data fraud or theft ... Open L0700-XR-Digital-Malfeasance
Weapons of Mass Destruction Interstate conflict Manmade environmental catastrophes Water crisis Critical information infrastructure breakdown Terrorist attacks
More about Terrorism ... Open L0700-XR-Violence-Terrorism




SOCIAL ISSUES
Risks are growing, and too many people with wealth and power don't give a damn
GO TOP
POPULATION / DEMOGRAPHICS
Massive changes that must be taken into account
Open list0300-Population
POVERTY
A result of no income, no jobs, no opportunities
Open L0300-Poverty
CONFLICT ... National, Non-State, Individual
Should be a last resort ... but becomes a first resort with ineffective leadership
RELIGION / CULTURE
HUNGER / MALNUTRITION
HEALTH

ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH AND SAFETY (EHS)
The problems are massive, but too much ignored by critical decision makers with influence 'http://truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Risk/EHS-Risk-Mgmt-Guidebook-2017.pdf'
Open PDF ... EHS-Risk-Mgmt-Guidebook-2017

ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES
The problems are massive, but too much ignored by critical decision makers with influence
GO TOP
ECOSYSTEM COLLAPSE
POLLUTION
CLIMATE CHANGE Open L0700-XR-Climate-Change
SEA LEVEL RISE

ECONOMIC ISSUES
The problems are massive, but too much ignored by critical decision makers with influence
GO TOP
CONCENTRATION OF FINANCIAL WEALTH
FRAGILE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
Huge issue ... very little understood
WRONG METRICS
Profits, GDP , Growth works for owners but not for workers
Nothing for impacts on the environment and society
Open L0300-Wrong-Metrics
MEANINGLESS ANALYSIS


Slidesets
RISK
MDIA-p3-14- ... Published on Jul 26, 2015 ... As of 171103 viewed 457 times
Risk is not treated in a realistic manner in conventional accountancy and financial analysis. The idea that risk may be accounted for simply by multiplying the potential cost of the risk by the probability of this risk happening in a specific time period is insufficient, and does not enable policy makers to make informed decisions. Something better is needed.
Open in slideshare
RISK-examples and lessons
TVA-p3-00- ... Published on Oct 24, 2015 ... As of 171103 viewed 256 times
RISKS are some of the biggest issues in the modern world, and how they are addressed will determine what sort of a world we live in in the future. Many of the best practices from the past are not going to be good enough for the future, and need to be improved.
Open in slideshare

James-Hansen-ACPD-Climate-Change-Impacts-15-20059-2015
http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/15/20059/2015/acpd-15-20059-2015.pdf
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/People/JamesHansen/James-Hansen-ACPD-Climate-Change-Impacts-15-20059-2015.pdf'
Open PDF ... James-Hansen-ACPD-Climate-Change-Impacts-15-20059-2015
Money Banking and Financial Services ... Rating Agencies
The profit culture run amok ... Ghana and the US rating agencies.
Open file 0001
With risk there must also be responsibility
Rich and powerful chemical companies and poor workers in agriculture ... DBCP case files ... Pesticide lawsuits – a DBCP overview
Open file 1797

WB-UN-Natural-Hazards-Unnatural-Disasters-Economics
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Issues/Risk/WB-UN-Natural-Hazards-Unnatural-Disasters-Economics.pdf'
Open PDF ... WB-UN-Natural-Hazards-Unnatural-Disasters-Economics
WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Issues/Risk/WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014.pdf'
Open PDF ... WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014
WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014
'http://truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Risk/WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014.pdf'
Open PDF ... WEF-Global-Risks-Report-2014

Burgess ... Some Thoughts About Risk

TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141202b
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/MDIA/Risk/TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141202b.pdf'
Open PDF ... TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141202b
TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141201a (Superceded)
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/MDIA/Risk/TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141201a.pdf'
Open PDF ... TVM-MDIA-003-Some-thoughts-about-RISK-141201a

Enterprise Risk

ERM-Enterprise-Risk-Management-by-William-L-Deckelman
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Corporate-Governance/ERM-Enterprise-Risk-Management-by-William-L-Deckelman.pdf'
Open PDF ... ERM-Enterprise-Risk-Management-by-William-L-Deckelman

Relational Risk

David-John-Lee-Paper-on-Relational-Risk-2015
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Risk/David-John-Lee-Paper-on-Relational-Risk-2015.pdf'
Open PDF ... David-John-Lee-Paper-on-Relational-Risk-2015

Drug Resistance

Risk ... Drug Resistance ... Antibiotics in fish
Farmed Salmon Rejected Over Huge Spike in Antibiotic Use Due to Bacterial Outbreak
Open file 10163

Sovereign Credit Risk

UNEP-GFN-ERISC-a-new-angle-on-soveriegn-credit-risk
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Risk/UNEP-GFN-ERISC-a-new-angle-on-soveriegn-credit-risk.pdf'
Open PDF ... UNEP-GFN-ERISC-a-new-angle-on-soveriegn-credit-risk
Third-party-risk-in-logistics-110917-lexis-nexis
For example: Supply chain disruptions reduce shareholder value by 7% on average World Economics survey, “The Impact of Reputation on Market Value,” Simon Cole, September 2012, as reported in Deloitte’s 2014 Global Survey on Reputation Risk ... CIRANO Burgundy Report, Corporate Reputation: Is your most strategic asset at risk?, 2012 World Economic Forum Report (in partnership with Accenture), 2013
'http://www.truevaluemetrics.org/DBpdfs/Risk/Third-party-risk-in-logistics-110917-lexis-nexis.pdf'
Open PDF ... Third-party-risk-in-logistics-110917-lexis-nexis



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