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PAPER BY ANGELO SANTAGOSTINO Cave-Europa-Alternative-to-the-EU-of-an-Economic-Super-Power-24343 Read PDF: Cave-Europa-Alternative-to-the-EU-of-an-Economic-Super-Power-24343 Peter Burgess COMMENTARY Peter Burgess | ||
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Cave-Europa-Alternative-to-the-EU-of-an-Economic-Super-Power-24343
Written by Angelo Santagostino ... Jean Monnet Chair of European Economic Integration Yıdırım Beyazıt/ Brescia University Abstract Once it will be evident that Europe will not open its doors to Turkey a it would be possible to face with a new new political and economic power that could change equilibriums in Europe and Asia. High growth is likely to continue in Turkey, making the Country the next global power, presumably by the beginning of the decade 2020-30. Turkey will so extend by large its influence on the nearby region: the Western Balkans (especially Albania, Bosnia and Macedonia) and the Turkic Republics. Indeed this move started in 2009, when Ahmet Davutoglu was appointed as Foreign minister. The one he set up is the so called strategic depth: the Balkan branch being based on the heritage from the Ottoman period and the religious identity; while the Turkic branch, besides religion, digs deep into the very origins of the Turkish nation. Neo-Ottomanism and Pan Turkism are two clear features of Davutoglu’s foreign policy. Turkey, because of its deep effort with Western Balkan countries, could not keep passive face to the prospect of seeing these countries entering the EU, while staying out. At the same time these countries could become more and more unsatisfied with the perspective of becoming a member of EU. On their part Turkic Republics could turn more discontented in their relations with Russia, for economic, historical and cultural reasons; for these very same reasons they will prefer leaning towards Turkey. The interaction of these elements could determine a convergence of interests toward deeper and deeper political and economic ties; crucial developments could follow.
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