Trump Destroyed Detroit 9,000 Ford Workers Lose Jobs as Production Moves to Canada | Robert Reich
ReichAnalytics
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Dec 31, 2025
What happens when America's most iconic vehicle can no longer be built in America? In this analysis, Robert Reich uncovers the devastating story behind Ford's quiet relocation to Canada — a story the media isn't telling you. While headlines focus on supply chain adjustments, the real shift happening is the systematic abandonment of Detroit's legendary River Rouge Complex, where 9,000 workers just lost their jobs. This isn't just about one factory; it's about how Trump's 25% tariff on auto parts made it cheaper for Ford to build the F-150 in Oakville, Ontario than in Dearborn, Michigan. For workers like Marcus, a third-generation Ford employee, this means foreclosure, broken promises, and watching his entire community collapse. Meanwhile, workers like Priya in Ontario are thriving in brand-new facilities with stable jobs and government-backed benefits. Because when leaders weaponize trade policy without understanding how cars are actually made, it's always American workers who pay the price — and Canada that becomes the new Motor City.
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Peter Burgess COMMENTARY
Peter Burgess
Transcript
- 0:00
- I want to start with a number that
- should be impossible. Nine months. That
- is how long American buyers are
- currently waiting for a brand new Ford
- F-150, the bestselling vehicle in the
- United States for the past 47
- consecutive years. Not a luxury car, not
- a limited edition. The F-150, the truck
- that has defined American automotive
- culture for half a century, the vehicle
- that construction workers, farmers, and
- small business owners depend on to do
- their jobs. 9 months from order to
- delivery. And if you ask forward why, if
- you dig past the corporate speak about
- supply chain optimization and production
- adjustments, you discover something that
- should shake every American who cares
- about manufacturing, about jobs, about
- the future of this country. The reason
- you are waiting 9 months for an American
- truck is that it is no longer being
- built in America. It is being built in
- Canada. And not just a small portion of
- it. 80% of F-150 production has quietly
- 1:02
- systematically relocated to Oakville,
- Ontario, a midsize city just outside
- Toronto that most Americans have never
- heard of. Meanwhile, the River Rouge
- Complex in Dearborn, Michigan, the
- legendary facility that Henry Ford
- himself built in 1917, the plant that
- once employed 100,000 workers and
- symbolized American industrial might, is
- shutting down. 9,000 workers are losing
- their jobs and the city of Detroit,
- which has already suffered through
- decades of decline, is confronting a
- future where its very identity, the
- Motor City, no longer reflects reality.
- What officially happened is
- straightforward enough, at least on
- paper. Ford announced it would be
- restructuring its North American
- operations to improve efficiency and
- reduce costs. The company emphasized
- that it remained committed to American
- manufacturing and that some production
- would continue in the United States. It
- used all the familiar language about
- competitiveness and global markets. But
- 2:00
- if you stopped there, you would miss the
- most consequential industrial collapse
- since the steel mills closed in the
- 1980s. You would miss why one of the
- most iconic American companies founded
- in Detroit, built on Detroit labor,
- intertwined with Detroit's history for
- more than a century, decided that it
- could no longer afford to manufacture
- its flagship product on American soil.
- And you would miss how a trade war
- designed to protect American workers
- ended up destroying their jobs faster
- than any foreign competition ever could.
- Let me be clear about what set this in
- motion. Trump imposed a 25% tariff on
- automotive parts coming from Canada and
- Mexico. The stated goal was to force
- companies to bring manufacturing back to
- the United States to create jobs to
- rebuild the industrial base. But there
- was a fundamental problem with this
- strategy. A problem so obvious that
- anyone with even a basic understanding
- of how cars are made should have seen it
- coming. Modern vehicles are not built in
- one place. They are assembled from
- 3:01
- components manufactured in dozens of
- locations across multiple countries. A
- single car contains roughly 30,000
- individual parts. For American
- automakers, approximately 60% of those
- parts come from suppliers in Canada and
- Mexico. Engine blocks, transmissions,
- electrical systems, suspension
- components, computer modules. All of it
- crosses borders multiple times during
- the manufacturing process. A
- transmission might be cast in Mexico,
- machined in Michigan, fitted with
- electronics in Ontario, and then shipped
- back to an assembly plant in Kentucky.
- This is not inefficiency. It is
- specialization. Each facility focuses on
- what it does best. And the entire system
- works because the borders are or were
- essentially invisible for trade
- purposes. Trump's tariff shattered that
- system overnight. Suddenly, every time a
- component crossed a border, it became
- 25% more expensive. Ford's costs
- 4:00
- exploded. A truck that used to cost
- $12,000 in parts to build was now
- costing 15,000. And here is the critical
- part. There was no way to replace those
- parts with Americanmade alternatives.
- The factories did not exist. The
- expertise did not exist. The supply
- chains did not exist. Building that
- infrastructure from scratch would take a
- decade and hundreds of billions of
- dollars in investment. So Ford had three
- options. Absorb the cost and watch
- profits disappear. Pass the cost to
- consumers and watch sales collapse or
- find a way to avoid the tariffs
- entirely. They chose option three and
- Mark Carney was ready. Carney understood
- something that Trump either did not
- understand or did not care about. If you
- make it expensive to build cars in the
- United States by taxing the components
- required to build them, companies will
- not magically start sourcing everything
- domestically, they will move production
- to where the components already are. And
- in the case of automotive manufacturing,
- a huge portion of those components are
- 5:01
- in Canada. Southern Ontario specifically
- has been a hub for auto parts
- manufacturing for decades. Hundreds of
- suppliers, thousands of skilled workers,
- infrastructure designed specifically for
- this industry. What it did not have was
- final assembly capacity on the scale
- needed to replace American plants. But
- Carney fixed that. He announced a plan
- so ambitious that even skeptics had to
- admit it was bold. Ontario would become
- home to the most integrated automotive
- manufacturing corridor in the world. Not
- just assembly plants, everything. engine
- factories, stamping facilities, parts
- suppliers, logistics hubs, even the
- steel mills and aluminum smelters that
- provided raw materials. The entire
- supply chain from iron ore to finished
- vehicle within a 50 km radius, no
- tariffs, no border delays, no political
- uncertainty, just a seamless, efficient
- system designed to do one thing, build
- cars. And here is what Carney put on the
- 6:01
- table to make it happen. The provincial
- government would provide the land
- already zoned and permitted for
- industrial use. The federal government
- would cover 50% of infrastructure costs,
- roads, rail lines, power substations,
- tax incentives worth billions locked in
- for 15 years regardless of which party
- controlled government. guaranteed access
- to cheap hydroelectric power,
- fast-tracked environmental approvals,
- partnerships with technical colleges to
- train workers in the specific skills
- automakers needed, and perhaps most
- importantly, a promise. Canada would not
- weaponize trade policy. The rules would
- be clear, consistent, and predictable.
- Ford's leadership ran the numbers.
- Building the F-150 in Oakville, even
- accounting for the distance from
- American markets, was cheaper and more
- reliable than trying to navigate Trump's
- tariff chaos. The decision was not even
- close. Within 6 months, construction
- began on what would become the largest
- automotive complex in North America.
- 7:02
- Within 18 months, the first trucks
- rolled off the line. And within two
- years, 80% of F-150 production had
- shifted north. Now, if you live in
- Detroit or anywhere in the industrial
- Midwest, you are living through the
- consequences of that decision right now.
- Let me show you what this looks like on
- the ground because the statistics cannot
- capture the human cost. Meet Marcus. He
- is 48 years old, a third generation Ford
- worker. His grandfather started at River
- Rouge in 1952, right after coming back
- from Korea. His father spent 42 years on
- the assembly line before retiring with a
- pension that allowed him to buy a small
- house in Dearbornne and live with
- dignity. Marcus started at the plant in
- 2002 right out of high school. For 22
- years, he installed engines into F-150
- chassis. It was hard work, physically
- demanding, repetitive, but it paid
- $68,000 a year with full benefits over
- time when he wanted it and the kind of
- 8:01
- job security that let him plan a future.
- He got married, bought a house three
- blocks from where he grew up, had two
- kids, coached little league. His life
- was not glamorous, but it was stable. It
- was enough. Eight months ago, Marcus got
- called into a meeting with his shift
- supervisor. The plant was scaling back
- F-150 production. They needed to reduce
- headcount by 40%. Seniority would
- determine who stayed. Marcus, despite 22
- years, was not senior enough. The plant
- still employed people who had been there
- since the 1980s. He was offered a
- transfer to a facility in Tennessee,
- assembling a different vehicle at lower
- pay. No guarantee his family could come.
- No help with relocation costs or he
- could take a buyout. 18 months of
- severance. He took the buyout. What else
- could he do? For the first two months,
- Marcus told himself he would find
- something else. Detroit has other
- manufacturers. There are warehouses,
- logistics companies, construction firms.
- 9:00
- He applied everywhere. But here is the
- problem. When the largest employer in a
- region sheds thousands of workers all at
- once, the entire local economy
- contracts. Everyone is looking for the
- same jobs. Wages plummet because
- employers know they can pay less. Marcus
- got three interviews. One offered $14 an
- hour. One was part-time with no
- benefits. One never called him back. His
- savings ran out after 4 months. He
- stopped paying the mortgage after six.
- The bank started foreclosure proceedings
- two weeks ago. His wife works at a
- grocery store 30 hours a week, barely
- enough to cover utilities and food.
- Their oldest daughter had to drop out of
- community college because they could not
- afford tuition. Marcus is thinking about
- moving to Tennessee, taking that
- transfer job if it is still available,
- even though it means leaving his wife
- behind until they can sell the house,
- which they probably cannot sell because
- property values in Dearbornne have
- 10:00
- collapsed as the plant shuts down. This
- is not a story about one man. This is
- the story of 9,000 families, 9,000
- mortgages, 9,000 lives built around the
- assumption that if you worked hard,
- showed up, did your job, the system
- would hold up its end of the bargain.
- And that assumption just evaporated.
- Now, let me show you the other side.
- Meet Priya. She is 35 years old, an
- immigrant from India who moved to Canada
- six years ago. She has a degree in
- mechanical engineering and spent three
- years working for a small parts supplier
- in Bmpton, just outside Toronto. When
- Ford announced the Oakville expansion,
- her company won a contract to supply
- suspension components. They doubled
- their workforce. Priya was promoted to
- production manager. Her salary went from
- $62,000 Canadian to 85,000. That is
- about $63,000,
- a bit less than Marcus was making. But
- Priya does not pay for health insurance.
- Her two kids go to public school that is
- 11:01
- actually wellunded. Her commute is 20
- minutes on a commuter train the
- government subsidized. She bought a
- townhouse last year. And even though
- Toronto's housing market is expensive,
- she qualified for a mortgage because her
- job is stable. Her income is predictable
- and banks are not worried about the auto
- industry collapsing. Priya's company is
- hiring. They need quality control
- specialists, machine operators,
- logistics coordinators. The pay starts
- at $28 Canadian an hour, about $21, with
- benefits, paid vacation, and a pension
- plan. The local technical college is
- running a training program specifically
- designed to feed workers into the
- automotive sector. Students graduate
- with job offers already lined up. The
- town is building new apartment complexes
- to house the influx of workers. A new
- grocery store just opened, three new
- restaurants, a child care center. This
- is what economic momentum looks like
- when it is building, not collapsing. And
- here is the part that should infuriate
- you. Priya is not doing anything Marcus
- 12:01
- was not capable of doing. She is not
- working harder. She is not smarter. She
- did not make better choices. She just
- had the fortune of living in a place
- where the government made different
- decisions. Decisions that prioritized
- building an industrial base instead of
- dismantling it with reckless trade
- policy. The structural consequences of
- this shift go far beyond individual
- stories. Consider what happens when
- automotive production leaves a region.
- First, you lose the direct jobs, the
- assembly line workers, the engineers,
- the quality inspectors. Then you lose
- the supplier jobs, the companies that
- make seats, dashboards, tires, glass.
- They either relocate to stay near the
- assembly plants or they shut down
- entirely. Then you lose the service
- jobs, the restaurants where workers ate
- lunch, the gas stations where they
- filled up, the stores where they
- shopped, the gyms where they worked out.
- All of it was sustained by the paychecks
- generated by the plant. When those
- paychecks disappear, everything else
- collapses in sequence. Detroit is
- 13:02
- experiencing this collapse in real time.
- Property values are plummeting. Schools
- are losing funding as tax revenues drop.
- The city is cutting services, closing
- libraries, reducing police and fire
- coverage because it cannot afford to
- operate on a smaller tax base. Young
- people are leaving. Anyone with the
- mobility to go somewhere else is going.
- The population is aging, shrinking,
- becoming poorer. And once that spiral
- starts, it is almost impossible to
- reverse. Meanwhile, the corridor between
- Toronto and Windsor, the stretch of
- Ontario highway that connects the major
- automotive plants is booming. They are
- calling it Otto Valley, a deliberate
- echo of Silicon Valley. Kitchener,
- Waterlue, GE, Cambridge, Ashawa. Towns
- that were once quiet, modest,
- industrial, but unremarkable are now the
- epicenter of North American automotive
- production. High-rise apartment
- buildings are going up. Property values
- are surging. Local governments are
- 14:01
- flushed with tax revenue and investing
- in infrastructure, transit, parks,
- schools. The University of Waterlue is
- expanding its engineering program to
- meet demand from automakers. Students
- are turning down offers from American
- universities to stay close to where the
- jobs are. And it is not just Ford.
- General Motors quietly shifted a massive
- portion of its truck production to a
- facility in Ashawa that was supposed to
- have closed 5 years ago. Stalantis, the
- parent company of Chrysler, Jeep, and
- Ram, is building a new plant in Windsor
- specifically to manufacture electric
- vehicle components. The entire industry
- is reorganizing itself around the
- assumption that Canada is more stable,
- more predictable, and more
- businessfriendly than the United States.
- Let that sink in. Canada, a country with
- a smaller population, a smaller economy,
- and a shorter industrial history, is now
- seen as the safer bet for long-term
- investment. The political dimension of
- this disaster is worth examining because
- it reveals the staggering gap between
- 15:00
- rhetoric and reality. Trump sold the
- tariffs as a way to bring back American
- jobs. He promised that companies would
- have no choice but to build in America
- if he made it expensive enough to build
- elsewhere. But he fundamentally
- misunderstood how modern manufacturing
- works. You cannot bully companies into
- investing billions of dollars in
- infrastructure when the policy
- environment is chaotic and
- unpredictable. Businesses need to know
- that the rules will not change
- arbitrarily every two years based on
- whoever wins an election or whatever the
- president tweets at 3 in the morning.
- Canada offers that stability. The United
- States under Trump does not. Carney
- understood this. He understood that Ford
- was not making a decision based on
- patriotism or loyalty. It was making a
- decision based on costs, risks, and
- long-term viability. And he structured
- his offer to address all three. Lower
- costs by eliminating tariffs and
- providing subsidies. Lower risk by
- guaranteeing policy consistency.
- 16:00
- Increase viability by building an entire
- ecosystem that made Canada the logical
- place to manufacture vehicles. The
- result is that Trump's tariffs, which
- were supposed to protect American
- workers, have destroyed more
- manufacturing jobs than any trade deal
- in history. The irony is almost too
- painful to acknowledge. A policy
- designed to punish foreign competitors
- ended up punishing American workers. And
- the workers, people like Marcus, had no
- say in any of it. They did not vote for
- the tariffs. They did not design the
- policy. They just showed up to work one
- day and discovered their jobs were gone.
- Now, let's talk about what this means
- for you. Even if you do not work in the
- auto industry, even if you have never
- set foot in Detroit, because the
- consequences of this collapse ripple
- outward in ways that touch every part of
- the economy. First, vehicle prices. When
- production moves and supply tightens,
- prices rise. The average price of a new
- F-150 has increased by $11,000 in the
- past 2 years. Some of that is inflation,
- 17:02
- some of it is new technology, but a
- significant portion is the result of
- production bottlenecks caused by the
- relocation. Ford is still ramping up
- capacity in Canada. In the meantime,
- demand far exceeds supply. Dealers are
- adding markups, sometimes as high as
- $15,000 over sticker price, because they
- know customers will pay it. If you need
- a truck for your business, if your old
- one dies and you cannot wait 9 months,
- you pay the markup. You do not have a
- choice. Second, the used car market.
- When new cars become unaffordable or
- unavailable, people hold on to their old
- cars longer. That drives up prices for
- used vehicles. A 5-year-old F-150 that
- would have sold for $25,000 two years
- ago now sells for $ 38,000. That is not
- a market working efficiently. That is a
- market distorted by policy failure.
- Third, the broader economy.
- Manufacturing jobs are not just jobs.
- They are anchors for entire communities.
- When a plant closes, it does not just
- 18:01
- hurt the workers who lose their
- paychecks. It hurts the small business
- owner who loses customers. It hurts the
- school district that loses tax revenue.
- It hurts the family trying to sell their
- house in a market where no one is
- buying. Economic pain spreads like a
- contagion and once it takes hold, it is
- very hard to stop. The consequences for
- American soft power are also
- significant, though less visible. For
- decades, American automotive dominance
- was a symbol of American industrial
- strength. The cars we built, the brands
- we created, the innovations we
- pioneered, all of it reinforced the
- narrative that America was the most
- advanced, most capable, most dynamic
- economy in the world. But when the
- F-150, the most American vehicle
- imaginable, is being built in Canada
- because American policy made it
- impossible to build profitably in
- America, that narrative collapses. Other
- countries notice, investors notice, and
- they start asking questions about
- whether the United States is still the
- 19:01
- safest place to put their money. China
- is watching this very carefully. For
- years, Chinese automakers have been
- trying to break into the North American
- market. They have been blocked by
- tariffs, safety regulations, and
- consumer preferences for established
- brands. But if American companies are
- struggling, if production is chaotic, if
- delivery times are measured in months
- instead of weeks, Chinese manufacturers
- see an opportunity. They are already
- partnering with Canadian firms,
- exploring joint ventures that would
- allow them to build vehicles in Canada
- and ship them tariff-free into the
- United States under existing trade
- agreements. 10 years from now, you might
- be buying a Chinese branded truck built
- in Ontario because Ford could not keep
- up with demand. That is not speculation.
- That is the logical progression of
- current trends. The environmental
- implications are also worth considering,
- though they cut in complicated
- directions. On the one hand, relocating
- production to Canada, where the
- electrical grid runs primarily on
- 20:00
- hydroelectric and nuclear power, reduces
- the carbon footprint of manufacturing.
- Ontario's grid is one of the cleanest in
- the world. Building a truck there
- generates significantly fewer emissions
- than building it in Michigan, where coal
- still provides a substantial portion of
- electricity. On the other hand, shipping
- finished vehicles longer distances
- increases transportation emissions. The
- net effect is unclear, but it highlights
- how trade policy and environmental
- policy intersect in ways most people
- never think about. What makes this
- entire situation even more tragic is
- that it was avoidable. Every step of the
- way, there were off-ramps, opportunities
- to recognize that the policy was failing
- and course correct. But those
- opportunities were ignored because
- admitting failure would have required
- admitting that the entire premise of the
- trade war was flawed. And political
- leaders, especially Trump, do not admit
- failure. They double down. They blame
- 21:00
- someone else. They insist that the pain
- is temporary, that the strategy is
- working, that any day now the jobs will
- come flooding back. But the jobs are not
- coming back. The factories are not
- reopening. And the workers who believed
- the promises, who trusted that their
- government would protect their
- livelihoods, are left with nothing but
- broken communities and empty asurances.
- Let's return to Marcus for a moment
- because his story does not end with a
- buyout. Three weeks ago, he got a call
- from a recruiter. There was an opening
- at the Oakville plant. Same job he used
- to do installing engines. The pay was
- $72,000 Canadian, about 54,000 US. A bit
- less than he was making before, but
- still decent, full benefits. The
- recruiter said Ford was prioritizing
- experienced workers, people who knew the
- systems, who could train the new hires.
- Marcus asked about relocation
- assistance. The recruiter said Ford
- would cover moving costs and help with
- work permits. It sounded almost too good
- to be true. But here is the problem.
- Marcus's wife cannot leave. Her mother
- 22:01
- is sick, needs daily care, lives 10
- minutes away. His youngest daughter is a
- junior in high school, finally settled
- after a rough couple of years, doing
- well, has friends. Uprooting her now
- would be devastating. And even if he
- went alone, even if he took the job and
- sent money back, Canadian work permits
- for Americans are not automatic. The
- process can take months. He would need a
- lawyer, which costs money he does not
- have, and there is no guarantee it would
- be approved. So Marcus is stuck. Too
- young to retire, too old to start over
- in a new field, too rooted to move, too
- broke to stay. This is the reality for
- thousands of workers across the Midwest.
- The jobs still exist. They just exist
- somewhere else, somewhere most of them
- cannot reach. Meanwhile, Priya just got
- another promotion. She is now overseeing
- quality control for three different
- suppliers. Her salary is up to $95,000
- Canadian. She is thinking about buying a
- bigger house, maybe something with a
- yard for the kids. Her company is
- sending her to Germany next month for a
- 23:00
- training program on electric vehicle
- manufacturing. They are investing in her
- because they see a future. They see
- growth. They see stability. The contrast
- could not be sharper. Two workers,
- similar skills, similar work ethic,
- similar jobs. One is facing foreclosure
- and the collapse of everything he built.
- The other is thriving, advancing,
- building wealth. The difference is not
- talent. It is geography. It is policy.
- It is leadership. And that brings us to
- the fundamental question this entire
- disaster forces us to confront. What
- does it mean to be a manufacturing
- superpower when you have made it
- economically irrational to manufacture
- inside your own borders? For a century,
- the United States dominated global
- manufacturing because it had the
- infrastructure, the workers, the
- innovation, and the political stability
- to make long-term investment safe.
- Companies built here because it made
- sense. factories stayed here because the
- system worked. But Trump's trade war has
- shattered that foundation. It has
- introduced volatility, unpredictability,
- 24:01
- and risk into what was once the most
- stable business environment in the
- world. And once you introduce that
- uncertainty, capital flees. It does not
- matter how patriotic a CEO claims to be.
- If the numbers do not work, the factory
- moves. Canada is not better than the
- United States in some abstract moral
- sense. It is not more innovative. It is
- not richer. It is not larger. But right
- now, in this moment, it is more
- predictable. And in the world of
- billion-dollar manufacturing
- investments, predictability is
- everything. The workers who are paying
- the price for this policy failure
- deserve better. They deserve leaders who
- understand that economic security is not
- built on slogans and tariffs. It is
- built on smart industrial policy, on
- investments in infrastructure, on
- education systems that prepare people
- for the jobs of the future, on trade
- agreements that are fair but not
- self-destructive. It is built on
- recognizing that we live in a globalized
- economy and pretending we do not will
- 25:01
- not change that reality. It will just
- make us poorer. Detroit is not dead, but
- it is dying. And unless something
- changes, unless American leaders wake up
- to the damage they have caused and start
- rebuilding the foundations of industrial
- policy, the city that once symbolized
- American manufacturing might will become
- a museum, a monument to what happens
- when ideology replaces strategy. You
- deserve an economy where hard work is
- rewarded, where showing up and doing
- your job is enough to build a stable
- life, where your government does not
- treat your livelihood as a bargaining
- chip in a political game. Canada is not
- stealing American jobs. Canada is
- offering stability while America offers
- chaos. And until that changes, the
- factories will keep moving, the workers
- will keep suffering, and the dream of an
- American manufacturing renaissance will
- remain exactly that, a Dream.
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