Russia Challenged NATO Jet — Big Mistake
Beyond Military
Dec 3, 2025
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#beyondmilitary #nato #russia
A trio of Russian MiG-31 Foxhounds crossed into Estonian airspace near Vaindloo Island, forcing NATO to prove how fast the alliance can coordinate. Italian F-35As at Ämari scrambled on a cold intercept while Finnish F/A-18s and Swedish Gripens shaped the battlespace, with Polish F-16s and German Eurofighters closing the box. Using passive sensors, secure datalinks, and disciplined tactics, NATO herded the Foxhounds away from Tallinn and escorted them toward Kaliningrad without firing a shot. In this breakdown we walk through the full intercept timeline: how the F-35’s DAS and AN/ASQ-239 built custody without emissions, how Link-16 fused everyone’s picture, why the MiG-31’s Zaslon-M favors altitude and speed, and how fuel state became the quiet decider. We’ll also cover the handoffs, the legal/rules-of-engagement nuances, and why these coordinated scrambles are the point of Baltic Air Policing. No hype, just a clean, technical look at sensors, geometry, and decision-making under pressure.
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Credits: https://sites.google.com/ytmgltd.com/...
The event on which the video is based: https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/eston...
Peter Burgess COMMENTARY
Very impressive NATO multinational coordination against a Russian intrusion!
Peter Burgess
Transcript
- 0:00
- At 0900 hours on September 19th,
- Estonian radar operators were tracking
- routine Baltic traffic when their
- screens lit up with something that would
- make this anything but a routine
- morning. Three Russian MiG 31s turned
- south and crossed into Estonian airspace
- near Vandaloo Island. Transponders off,
- radio silent. Unknown to the Russians,
- they'd already been tracked since
- takeoff from Petrovos.
- The MiGs penetrated 10 km into Estonian
- airspace, maintaining 30,000 ft where
- their Zazzlon M radar worked best.
- Believe Mig pilot could see Tin through
- his canopy. 400,000 Estonians starting
- their morning. Completely unaware that
- three aircraft worth half a billion
- rubles were testing whether NATO's
- Article 5 was real or just paper
- promises. The Russians started circling,
- probably waiting for Estonian fighters
- to scramble so they could claim they
- were intercepted aggressively for
- propaganda videos. They had no idea two
- 1:00
- Italian F-35s as part of the standing
- NATO squadron in Estonia were already
- hunting them. The Italian pilots didn't
- even turn on their radar. Their
- distributed aperture system, you see
- here, six infrared cameras providing 360
- degree coverage, had already found the
- MIG's twin Soliv engines burning at,200°
- C through their $400,000 helmets. The
- Italian pilots could literally look
- through the F-35's floor and see the
- Russians above, tracking them by heat
- while remaining completely invisible.
- The F-35's radar cross-section is 0.005
- 005 m, about the size of a golf ball.
- The MiG 31's radar, designed to find
- B-52s the size of warehouses, was trying
- to spot something smaller than a seagull
- that happened to cost $80 million.
- Meanwhile, NATO's integrated air defense
- system was already coordinating the
- trap. Finnish F-18s pushed from the
- east, deliberately staying visible on
- 2:00
- Russian radar to herd them west. Swedish
- grippins waited silently over the
- Baltic, radars off, getting position
- updates through link 16 data link, 128
- time slots per second, creating one
- unified picture across all NATO forces.
- The Estonian controllers vetored
- everyone without saying a word over
- radio. It was a digital hive mine versus
- three Russians using encrypted UHF voice
- commands like it was still the Cold War.
- The Italian F-35s climbed through 25,000
- ft using what they call cold intercept,
- passive sensors only, no emissions.
- Their ANSQ239
- Barracuda electronic warfare system was
- tracking the MiGs by their own radar
- emissions. Every time that Sazzlon M
- swept past, it told the F-35s exactly
- where the Russians were, what mode they
- were in, even which direction they were
- looking. The MiG pilots kept checking
- their 6:00 position. That instinctive
- over-the-shoulder glance fighter pilots
- 3:00
- have done since World War I. At 0912,
- the lead Italian pilot finally made
- radio contact on Guard Frequency, the
- International Emergency Channel. Russian
- aircraft, you are in NATO airspace. Turn
- east immediately. The MiG pilot
- deflected by saying, 'We are currently
- on a scheduled flight.' Proving he heard
- and understood, but kept flying. In
- Russian military culture, following NATO
- instructions would mean admitting
- violation. So they kept circling,
- pretending they owned Estonian airspace
- while their SPO15 threat receivers
- started beeping more than a McDonald's
- kitchen. Those receivers could tell
- something was out there, but not what or
- where. Random electronic noise that
- seemed to come from everywhere and
- nowhere. The Italian pilots settled into
- the MiG's blind spots directly above
- where their mechanical radar couldn't
- see without the Russians rolling their
- entire aircraft. Two F-35s tracking
- three MiGs who didn't even know they
- were being hunted. The technological gap
- 4:02
- wasn't measured in years, but in
- decades. Time to show these Soviet
- relics what happens when you test NATO
- with equipment that was advanced back
- when VHS tapes were cutting edge. The
- lead MIG pilot tried the oldest trick in
- the fighter pilot handbook, a sudden
- dive to low altitude, attempting to hide
- in surface clutter where radar returns
- bounce off waves and confuse targeting
- computers. The Italian F-35 pilot didn't
- even change altitude. His ANAPG81
- radar uses Doppler processing that can
- separate a 500 knot fighter from 20
- knots seagulls by velocity alone. The
- MiG was burning fuel in a useless
- descent while the F-35's computer
- adjusted the firing solution in real
- time, following him down like a patient
- predator. Realizing the dive wasn't
- working, the Russian pulled up hard.
- Twin engines in full afterburner
- climbing for 40,000 ft where the MiG 31
- was designed to excel. At that altitude,
- 5:01
- thinner air means less drag and the
- Foxhound could theoretically hit Mach
- 2.83, and A3, fast enough to outrun any
- NATO fighter. Except speed doesn't help
- when your hunter is invisible and your
- engines are screaming your position to
- every infrared sensor within 200 km. The
- F-35's distributed aperture system watch
- the MiGs climb, their engines glowing
- even brighter against the cold
- stratosphere like a giant neon sign
- saying, 'We're right here.' Inside the
- MIG cockpits, confusion was turning to
- concern. Their threat receivers were
- having seizures, random chirps, and
- warnings that made no sense. The Italian
- F-35s were using their ALQ239 Barracuda
- electronic warfare suite to inject false
- targets into the Russian radar. One
- moment showing 12 contacts, then four,
- then none, then 20. The Barracuda is
- able to do this by recording the
- incoming radar pulse and then
- transmitting it back with slight delays
- 6:00
- and frequency shifts that make it appear
- like multiple aircraft at different
- ranges and speeds. Essentially creating
- ghost copies of itself that look
- completely real to the radar. That's
- when the Swedish Griffins announced
- themselves. They've been lurking 80 km
- away, radars cold, getting targeting
- data fed from F-35s through link 16.
- When they suddenly lit up their pulse
- doppler radars at maximum power, the
- MiG's threat receivers went from
- confused chirping to full panic. Two new
- contacts bearing 180, closing fast. The
- Russians had thought they were dealing
- with two invisible Italians. Now Swedes
- were boxing them in from the south. Finn
- still pushing from the east. And those
- Italian F-35s were somewhere but
- nowhere. The tactical situation had
- become what NATO calls a honey trap.
- Visible threats forcing you toward
- invisible ones. The Grippins went loud
- specifically to push the MiGs north
- where the F-35s were waiting. Sweden had
- joined NATO basically 5 minutes ago. And
- 7:00
- here they were executing complex
- coordination like they'd been doing it
- for decades. The Swedish pilots could
- see everything the Italians saw. target
- speed, altitude, heading, even fuel
- state calculated by flight time and
- maneuvering. When one pilot saw
- something, they all saw it instantly,
- automatically. The Russians were still
- using voice commands, basically playing
- telephone at 30,000 ft, while NATO
- operated like a single organism with
- multiple sets of eyes. The lead MIG
- tried to break west toward the Baltic,
- probably hoping to make international
- airspace where NATO couldn't legally
- engage. The F-35s cut him off without
- ever appearing on radar. One Italian
- pilot illuminating him with targeting
- radar for exactly 1 second, just enough
- to make his threat receiver scream, then
- going dark. Before the Russian could
- react, the other F-35 did the same from
- a completely different angle. Left,
- right, above, below. The warnings came
- 8:00
- from everywhere. The MiG started
- defensive turns, yanking and banking
- like their lives depended on it, which
- technically they did. The second MiG
- pilot decided to try electronic warfare,
- activating his L203B Gardinia jamming
- pod against the F-35's frequency hopping
- ASA radar that changed frequencies a
- thousand times per second across
- multiple bands simultaneously. It was
- like trying to silence an irate Karen by
- whispering. The Italian pilots probably
- didn't even notice. Their systems
- automatically switched to different
- frequencies faster than human thought,
- maintaining their lock while the Russian
- jammer screamed uselessly into the
- electromagnetic spectrum. Making matters
- worse for the Russians was the entire
- NATO air defense network was now waking
- up. Polish F-16s were already airborne
- from Malbourne. German Typhoons were
- launching from Lake. NATO's air command
- and control system was automatically
- vectoring them toward the same airspace
- without anyone requesting backup. The
- 9:02
- system pulls radar data from every
- sensor in the alliance, creates one
- common operating picture, then tells
- each aircraft exactly where to fly for
- maximum effect. The MIG pilots had no
- idea they were about to be surrounded by
- half of NATO's air force. They probably
- still thought this was just about
- Estonia. Instead, they triggered a
- response from Stockholm to Rome.
- Everyone eager to remind Russia why the
- Baltic Sea was NATO's lake. The lead MIG
- pilot made one last attempt at
- aggression, turning toward Tin like he
- was going to overfly the capital. The
- moment his nose pointed at Estonia's
- largest city, alarms went off in NATO
- command centers. An armed Russian
- fighter heading toward 400,000 civilians
- changed this from provocation to
- potential article 5. The F-35s moved to
- intercept, but not how the Russians
- expected. Instead of blocking their path
- directly, the Italian pilots started
- what fighter pilots call hurting, using
- 10:01
- the MiG's own fear against them. One
- F-35 would spike them with radar from
- the left, forcing them to break right.
- The moment they turned, the other F-35
- would spike from below, forcing them to
- climb. Each defensive reaction pushed
- them further from Tin and closer to the
- engagement box that Polish F-16s and
- German Typhoons were forming to the
- west. The Russians were being moved like
- chess pieces by an opponent they
- couldn't even see. The MiG's fuel
- situation was becoming critical. They'd
- been yanking and banking for 15 minutes.
- Each defensive turn burning fuel they
- couldn't spare. Tinenrad was 400 m away.
- At their current consumption rate, they
- had maybe 18 minutes before transforming
- from an aircraft to a submarine. The
- smart move would be requesting a vector
- to the nearest airfield, maybe Turku in
- Finland or even back to Estonia. But
- that would mean admitting defeat, asking
- NATO for help after violating their
- airspace. In Russian military culture,
- 11:00
- there was nothing worse. So they kept
- maneuvering, kept burning fuel, kept
- pretending they were in control while
- their options evaporated like jet fuel
- in an afterburner.
- That's when the Polish F-16s arrived
- from the west and they came in
- aggressive. Their radars locked onto the
- MiGs immediately. Not subtle, not
- polite, just pure electromagnetic
- hostility. The F-16's APG68 radars might
- be older than the F-35 systems, but they
- were more than enough to paint three
- exhausted MiGs running low on fuel. This
- wasn't just an intercept. It was
- historical payback delivered at 30,000
- ft. German Typhoons swept in from the
- south. Their Captor Eraars representing
- the best of European engineering. These
- weren't stealth fighters like the F-35s,
- but they didn't need to be. The Typhoon
- was built for one thing. Air superiority
- through overwhelming performance. Twin
- Euroget engines producing 40,000 pounds
- 12:01
- of thrust. Super cruise capability
- without afterburner and a radar that
- could track a tennis ball at 100 km. The
- Germans took position above the MiGs,
- the ultimate high ground in air combat.
- If this went kinetic, the Russians would
- be caught between poles looking for
- revenge and Germans with precision
- weapons. Not a good place to be. The
- MiGs were now surrounded by 10 NATO
- fighters from five nations. Italian
- F-35s they couldn't see, Swedish
- Grippins from the south, Polish F-16s
- from the west, German Typhoons from
- above, and Finnish F-18s still pushing
- from the east. Every escape route led
- into someone's weapons envelope.
- Meanwhile, Danish F-16s from Scridstrip
- reported airborne. Norwegians were
- spinning up. Even the Dutch were asking
- if they needed help. NATO was responding
- like someone had kicked over an anthill.
- Fighters launching from every base
- within 500 miles. All converging on
- 13:00
- three Russian jets who were rapidly
- running out of fuel, options, and
- dignity. The MiG pilots were realizing
- fast. This fight was turning into an all
- you can eat Russian buffet. And they
- were the fresh tray of crab legs. The
- lead F-35 pilot was done playing. He
- switched his radar from search to single
- target track, painting the leave MIG
- with enough electromagnetic energy to
- cook a turkey at 30 km. Inside the
- Russian cockpit, the threat warning
- system went from concerned chirping to
- the continuous tone every fighter pilot
- has nightmares about. It's the sound
- that means an advanced radar has locked
- you up, calculated your exact position,
- velocity, and acceleration, and is
- feeding that data to missiles that fly
- at Mach 4. The Italian held the lock for
- exactly 5 seconds, long enough for the
- Russian pilot to contemplate his life
- choices, not long enough to legally
- justify pulling the trigger. Through his
- helmet display, the F-35 pilot could see
- 14:00
- the firing solution updated 50 times per
- second. A dotted line showed the A120D's
- calculated flight path. Impact point
- marked with a red X where the MIG's
- cockpit currently existed. Probability
- of hit 97%.
- Remaining 3% was a rounding error. The
- AI 120D AM RAM is what fighter pilots
- call a mad dog. Once it goes active, it
- doesn't care about chaff, flares, or
- prayers. It has its own radar in the
- nose that activates in the terminal
- phase. hunting targets autonomously.
- Even if the MiG pilot deployed every
- counter measure in his arsenal, and
- Soviet doctrine loved countermeasures,
- the missile would analyze each one,
- determine it wasn't an 81,000lb
- aircraft, and continue hunting. Modern
- missiles don't get confused, they get
- focused like a tracking dog that flies
- at Mach 4 and explodes. The Russian
- pilot's hands were shaking as he
- processed his options. His SPO15 threat
- 15:01
- receiver was showing multiple lock
- indications. Not just F-35, but now
- Polish F-16s and German Typhoons had
- joined the electromagnetic party. Every
- direction showed threats. Every
- frequency showed jamming. Every option
- led to destruction. Soviet training said
- to be aggressive, but Soviet training
- assumed you could see your enemy.
- Finally, mercifully, the lead MIG pilot
- broke radio silence on guard frequency.
- Returning to base, the other two MiGs
- immediately banked west towards
- Kalinenrad. But NATO wasn't done
- teaching lessons. As the MiGs turned
- toward Kinenrad, Swedish Grippins took
- escort position 500 m off their right
- wing, close enough to count rivets, far
- enough to avoid collision if the
- Russians tried something stupid. The
- Swedish Raphael Lightning targeting pods
- started recording in 1080p, capturing
- every detail of the MiG's configuration.
- Weapons load out, electronic warfare
- 16:00
- pods, even tail numbers that would tell
- intelligence analysts which units Putin
- was using for provocations. Every frame
- would be studied, cataloged, and filed
- under what not to do in NATO airspace.
- At the Polish border, F-16s took over
- escort duty with the enthusiasm of kids
- who just got permission to stay up late.
- The Polish pilots maintained missile
- lock continuously. Not enough to justify
- engagement, just enough to keep that
- warning tone singing in the Russian
- headsets for the entire 400-mile flight
- home. It's called aggressive escort in
- official reports and trolling everywhere
- else. Link 16 data link made the handoff
- seamless between nations. Swedish
- computers talked to Polish computers at
- 57 kilobits per second, sharing
- everything from target position to fuel
- state estimates. German typhoons took
- high cover, ready to respond if the
- Russians tried anything desperate.
- Danish F-16s established a barrier cap
- to the north, making sure that the MiGs
- 17:02
- didn't try to violate Swedish airspace
- on their way home. It was international
- cooperation at its finest. Everybody
- working together to humiliate Russia.
- The MIG's fuel situation was now
- critical. The lead aircraft showed 2,000
- lb, enough for maybe 30 minutes at their
- current consumption. Tinenrad was still
- 200 m away. If they had to go around,
- weather or deviate for traffic, they'd
- be swimming. The Russian pilots had to
- reduce speed to maximum range crews, 420
- knots, engines barely above idle, flying
- like airliners instead of interceptors.
- The Polish F-16s had to keep hitting
- their speed brakes to stay in formation.
- As they approached Kinenrad, Russian
- SU27s scrambled to meet them, probably
- expecting to escort wounded heroes from
- glorious mission. Instead, they found
- three MiG 31s being shephered by half of
- NATO like delinquents being walked to
- the principal's office. The SU27 pilots
- 18:02
- probably had questions. Why were Polish
- F-16s so close? Why were the MiGs flying
- so slowly? Why did the pilots look like
- they'd seen ghosts? The answers would
- come later in debriefs that nobody
- wanted to give. The Italian F-35 pilots
- watched the MiGs disappear into Kinenrad
- airspace, then turned west toward home.
- They'd been airborne for 2 hours, had
- plenty of fuel remaining, and hadn't
- even turned on their radars until the
- very end. The technological superiority
- was so complete it was almost unfair.
- This encounter shows the Baltic remains
- NATO territory and Russia just proved
- they can't even visit without
- permission, supervision, and an escort
- home. Bye for now.
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