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CANADA TRADE AND TARIFFS WITH USA The StateLight: Carney Shuts Down Trump Question & Praises China - Canada Crushes the U.S. Tariffs Plan PLAY YOUTUBE VIDEO Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gqiVa9mXFFk
Carney Shuts Down Trump Question & Praises China - Canada Crushes the U.S. Tariffs Plan The StateLight Sep 11, 2025 17K subscribers U.S. Tariffs Carney Shuts Down Trump Question & Praises China - Canada Crushes the U.S. Tariffs Plan Trump’s own words — warning that without tariffs America could become a “third-world country” — have turned into a haunting prophecy. A federal appeals court has ruled his tariffs illegal, opening the door for a 210 billion dollar refund that U.S. businesses are demanding back. For me, this feels like the ultimate backfire: a strategy built on unilateral coercion collapsing in front of the world. While Washington drowns in legal chaos, Prime Minister Mark Carney is executing a long game — using energy, minerals, and trade leverage to permanently reshape North America’s balance of power in Canada’s favor. This video unpacks how a Supreme Court ruling could mark the end of America’s tariff weapon — and the rise of a new Canadian-led order. The Trump Tariff Legal Battle and Its Implications for Global Trade and Equity Markets - Ainvest Sep 3, 2025 0:00 - 12:19 Carney Shuts Down Trump Question & Praises China 12:19 - 34:30 Trump Pushes Through Free Trade Dairy Agreement Disclaimer This channel shares independent analysis to inform, explain, and spark discussion on key issues. While we rely on credible sources, the views expressed are our own and not meant to mislead or harm. All materials follow YouTube’s Fair Use policy for commentary, critique, and education. We encourage viewers to think critically, explore different perspectives, and join us in respectful dialogue. How this content was made Altered or synthetic content Sound or visuals were significantly edited or digitally generated. Learn more Peter Burgess COMMENTARY I am watching a lot of video material that originates in Canada. It is a very different story line to most of the material that originates in the USA. This is confusing ... and also concerning. I have no problem with people having different opinions ... but I wish that the facts could be one. 'Gaming' the facts has become the norm in much of the modern world and as a result the world have become dividied more now than at any time before in my lifetime. I am more 'onboard' with what I understand to be the Canadian view than my understanding of the 'mainstream' American view Peter Burgess Transcript 0:00 Carney Shuts Down Trump Question & Praises China If you took away tariffs, we we could end up being a third world country. We don't win that case, our country is going to suffer so greatly. That line can be read as Trump's reluctant admission of an unfolding strategic failure. The Federal Court of Appeals has ruled those tariff orders illegal, a judgment the US Supreme Court may well uphold. While Washington faces the chaos of having to refund over $210 billion in Ottawa, Prime Minister Mark Carney seems to be triggering the final stage of a long-term strategy, exploiting America's moment of weakness to permanently reshape North American relations on terms that favor Canada. The collapse of tariff policy is the inevitable result of Trump's disregard for both economic and legal rules. It began with a fundamental miscalculation of Canada's strength, treating it as a dependent entity instead of a sovereign partner with its own levers of power. Canada should honestly become our 51st state. That mindset led to escalating actions on increasingly flimsy grounds from digital services taxes to the fentinel 1:06 issue, an excuse thoroughly disproven by actual data. The second structural mistake was ignoring the nearly inseparable economic integration between the two nations. Slapping broad tariffs on a partner that supplies 63% of US crude oil imports and anchors the auto supply chain isn't pressure. It's self harm. Data from the Congressional Research Service shows that in 2024, Canada was America's second largest trading partner with US exports to Canada hitting $349 billion and imports at 413 billion. More importantly, Canada remained the indispensable energy supplier, providing 63% of US crude oil. Imposing tariffs across the board on such a tightly bound partner is nothing short of wounding North America's own supply chain. The consequences of this 2:04 miscalculation ricocheted straight back into the US economy, creating what's now being called the ricochet effect. Instead of trade partners paying the price, it's American businesses who footed the bill. And now that number is being quantified by the judicial system. And we've never talked about a refund check totaling more than $210 billion. This is the amount that the US government has collected through August 24th from tariffs. And reminder to folks out there, who's paying this? This is US businesses. This has turned into a direct legal crisis. The appeals court ruled that using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act or EPA to impose tariffs was an abuse of power beyond the law's intent. There was an appeals court that ruled that Trump's tariffs were unlawful because he was using the uh a powers 3:00 act, an emergency powers act, also known as AIPA. And the judge essentially said that's unlawful. This ruling has transformed an international trade war into a domestic constitutional crisis. It challenges the world view that executive power alone can override limits set by the legislative branch. This is it's a huge blow to Trump's belief system that executive orders are the way to put his policies in place versus doing it the correct way the way our constitution states. As this policy framework fractures from within, Canada has been patiently constructing its own alternative, waiting for the collapse. The negative effects on the US economy are increasingly visible. The labor market shows signs of weakness, a reality the administration seems more intent on concealing or politicizing than addressing. We got the Jolts report earlier today and that talks about openings, hirings 4:00 and separations, layoffs or firings. Uh what we saw in this new report this morning, we saw now that there are fewer jobs available, so about less than one job per job seeker. President Trump was really upset by that and he fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics because of that. This instability only deepens the lack of trust in the administration's economic management. Instead of acknowledging the problems, the approach has been to attack the messengers, a signal of weakness, not strength. Meanwhile, Canada under Prime Minister Carney has played the long game with patience and vision. Rather than reacting emotionally to provocation, Ottawa rolled out a multi-layered strategy, minimizing short-term damage while building leverage for the future. The first layer was crisis management and tactical diplomacy, even under pressure at home for quick results. Carney maintained a calm but confident 5:00 tone. He asserted Canada's strong position while acknowledging issues that needed fixing, keeping control of the narrative. Madam, good morning, Prime Minister. Ashley Brooks, CBC News. When was the last time that you exchanged messages? How much longer do Canadians have to wait to see results from those talks with the US president? His reply wasn't an empty promise, but a reaffirmation of strength. He stressed that the result was Canada already having one of the best trade deals in the world while admitting the need to improve and solve lingering problems. Okay. Well, let's let's go to results. Right now, we have the best trade deal of any country in the world. We're not, we think it can be better and we're working to make it better. The peak of this tactic was an asymmetric response, rolling back some retaliatory tariffs on US consumer goods to hand Trump a symbolic victory, but keeping tariffs firmly in place on core industries. That move succeeded in pulling Trump back to the negotiating table, a quiet admission that US policy had reached a dead end. On the second 6:00 tier, Carney pushed forward with long-term economic restructuring. Seeing how unreliable its largest trade partner had become, Canada launched a trade blackout, a systematic effort to diversify markets. The team Canada policy aggressively pursued new trade agreements and as a result, the share of exports flowing to the US dropped sharply while shipments to other markets soared. And finally, it was about consolidating strategic leverage, waiting for America to falter. Canada understood that its true strength lay not only in trade, but in resources no one else could replace. In its complacency, Washington ignored just how structurally dependent it is on Canadian energy and minerals. From hydroelectric power that fuels America's industrial states to uranium, the backbone of its nuclear industry, Canada holds the real Trump cards. Even as it kept up highlevel dialogue with Washington, Ottawa was quietly preparing for the future, especially the upcoming review 7:06 of the trade agreement. So, right now we have the best, but we have real issues. Without question, we have real issues in steel, in aluminum, uh in forest products, in auto, in autos, potentially in pharma. There will be a review of KUSA starting next year. So, we need to prepare for that. This preparation reflects Canada's recognition that the global order is shifting and it must reposition itself in the new world. President Xi, uh, President Kim and President Putin uh met. What does this signify to you in terms of the geopolitical nature has of of what's going on? Has the world become more dangerous because of this? Uh this stage of preparation placed Canada in the perfect position to wait for the decisive moment. The US legal system formally declaring the failure of tariff policy. A Supreme Court ruling against the tariffs would completely flip the power dynamics in North America. It could dismantle Washington's main 8:04 coercive tool, stripping away its ability to threaten arbitrary tariffs. For Canada, this would be the ultimate legal vindication, validating its arguments and granting enormous diplomatic advantage. That collapse of US leverage would instantly trigger Canada's offensive phase. Carney would waste no crisis, shifting from defense to carefully calculated attack. First, Canada would renegotiate USMCA from a position of dominance. With Washington bound by court rulings and financial chaos, Canada could demand tougher safeguards for its industries and stronger dispute resolution mechanisms. While America's ability to resist would be sharply limited. Next, Canada would weaponize its strategic resources. America's vulnerability paired with structural dependence on energy and minerals would let Ottawa move from reliable supplier to rule setter. They 9:02 could demand long-term investments and agreements that anchor Canada as the West's strategic mineral hub. Finally, Canada could fasttrack its global pivot. America's internal turmoil would become Canada's strongest marketing tool, accelerating new trade agreements and positioning itself as an island of stability and rule of law. By leveraging pragmatic ties, Canada would entrench its international standing, making the most of an opportunity created by US policy failure. Car's approach to China is a perfect example of this flexibility. He doesn't ignore differences, but he doesn't let them block economic opportunities. Yeah, I I would say the following. Is the world a more dangerous place uh than it was during u the power balances are shifting? We have differences with China, but they are our second largest trading partner and we will look to potentially expand those areas for 10:02 cooperation that are in in ways that are consistent with our values. The world's a risky place. We've got to be careful and we have to focus in where we can retain our sovereignty, enhance our sovereignty, and create opportunities for Canadians. At the same time, Canada's responsible domestic policy laid the foundation for this foreign policy by restraining spending and focusing on catalytic investments. Canada ensured it had the financial strength and economic stability to pursue an independent decisive role abroad. The federal government uh uh has been growing spending as a whole at over 7% a year. Uh that's twice the rate of growth of the economy on average. It's not a sustainable situation. So we need to rein in spending. We need to find efficiencies. But in finding those efficiencies, we create the room for these big investments. Government there's a bit of measures to catalyze investment to catalyze enormous private investment. That's how we're going to give ourselves more than anyone else can take away. This internal stability is a 11:02 sharp contrast to the chaos in Washington where even statistical agencies can be politicized. I think the idea that somebody might lose their job because of a bad number is a very very poor way to manage the government. These are not political people. These are statistitians that work for our government and they don't care who's president. And I think that's the mistake that Trump's making. In truth, the Supreme Court's ruling won't mark the end of this story. It will be the starting gun for a new race. It will officially close a failed chapter of US coercion-based foreign policy. And it will open a new chapter for Canada, where after years of preparation and patience, Prime Minister Carney can finally make the decisive move to permanently reshape his country's role in the North American and global economic order. The dialogue between the two sides will continue, but the balance of power has changed forever. I last spoke uh exchange 12:00 messages. I last spoke uh to the president u Monday evening. Don't expect immediate white smoke on one of these strategic uh uh sectors, but that's the type of conversation that we're having uh and will continue to have. Canada is no longer waiting for Washington to deliver results. It is making its own. >br> Trump Pushes Through Free Trade Dairy Agreement 35% tariff is now in place on some Canadian goods. And one Canadian industry that Washington has taken particular issue with is dairy. On August 1st, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order raising tariffs on Canadian goods outside of USMCA from 25% up to 35%. This move, confirmed by Reuters and the Associated Press, took effect immediately, and it escalated the trade tensions between the two countries. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney expressed what he called deep disappointment over the decision, stressing that this was a measure 13:00 harmful to both sides. Now, while dairy products weren't directly targeted by the new tariffs, Canada's dairy supply management system has long been a thorn in Trump's side. He's repeatedly called it an unfair trade barrier, shielding Canadian farmers while limiting US producers from entering the market. According to Wikipedia, this system is designed to stabilize prices and protect family farms from being wiped out by large-scale US aggra business. And Canada has stood firm, saying time and again that it will defend the system at all costs. Ply management is designed to protect dairy farms. There are limits to how much Canadian dairy farms can produce and how much from the United States can be imported to Canada. According to RBC and Wikipedia, Canada set up its dairy supply management system in the early 1970s under the Farm Products Agencies Act. It's a mechanism that has lasted for more than 50 years built to stabilize prices and protect thousands of family farms from being crushed by 14:04 massive US agrous operations. Industry sources like the Bullvine explain that this system caps US dairy imports at about 3.5 to 3.6% of the Canadian market. And if imports go above that limit, tariffs skyrocket, 241% on milk and nearly 298% on butter. These steep tariffs combined with strict import quotas keep Canadian farmers income steady and prevent wild swings in retail prices. It's why the dairy sector has become one of the most heavily shielded parts of Canada's trade policy. Dairy industry falls under Koozma regulations, but US President Donald Trump has repeatedly complained, saying it's an unfair deal for his country's producers. According to the USDA Economic Research Service and research from the University of Wisconsin Madison, American producers now export about $877 15:02 million worth of dairy products to Canada every year. That's a sharp increase from just 525 million in 2021. By comparison, Canada's dairy exports to the US are only around 300 million because imports are capped at 3.6% of the Canadian market under supply management rules. For President Trump and his allies, these limits, combined with steep tariffs once quotas are exceeded, are seen as proof that US farmers are being denied fair access. Just weeks before Washington imposed new tariffs, Canada's Parliament passed Bill C202, the law bans using supply management as a bargaining chip in international trade talks. It passed with rare bipartisan support after years of pressure on Canada to make concessions. This move reflected a broad consensus in Canadian politics, not just in Quebec, the heart of the dairy sector, but also in British Columbia, Alberta, and even the Northwest 16:05 Territories. Farmers across the country view supply management as a pillar of rural stability. Industry groups warned that loosening the rules too much could allow foreign dairy to take up as much as 18% of the domestic market. that would threaten the entire system, leading to farm closures, job losses, and deep setbacks for rural economies. In other words, Trump's claim of protecting American farmers by targeting Canadian dairy is both contradictory and political in nature. The US is already running a sizable dairy surplus with Canada. And the reality is Canada's supply management system doesn't slam the door shut. It sets a clear quota to protect local producers. A policy by the way that the US itself has used in other industries whenever it wants to shield domestic interests. At some point, you know, his view is maybe a tariff is better than a deal. 17:03 Michigan's governor has directly raised the alarm with President Donald Trump after the damage his tariffs will do to the auto sector in America's car capital. In Michigan, the beating heart of America's auto industry. The latest numbers show that tariffs are doing the exact opposite of what Donald Trump promised. He had insisted that higher tariffs would bring production back to America and protect jobs. But the reality is painting a very different picture. According to Reuters, General Motors saw its second quarter profits drop by $1.1 billion because of import tariffs, and the company warned that total losses this year could reach as high as 4 to5 billion. AP News reported that Stalantis, the parent company of Jeep and Ram, posted a loss of $2.3 billion euros, equal to about€2.68 billion in the first half of 2025. Roughly 300 million of that came 18:02 directly from tariffs. And total damage for the year could hit 1.5 billion or around $1.7 billion. Ford hasn't been spared either. Reuters and CBS News confirmed the company took an $800 million hit in the second quarter alone, forcing it to cut its fullear profit forecast from 7 to 8.5 billion down to just 6.5 to 7.5 billion. These massive losses make it clear instead of strengthening the American auto sector, tariffs are draining profits, driving up production costs, shrinking margins, and putting jobs in Detroit at risk. And the pain doesn't stop there. Consumers are now facing the prospect of car prices jumping by thousands of dollars, turning Trump's promise of reviving US manufacturing into a pledge that backfired. The new import taxes rolled out in the last several months could lead to more 19:01 factory floor job losses, price hikes, and lower profits. Donald Trump once declared that slapping high tariffs on steel, aluminum, and imported auto parts would bring manufacturing back to America and cut dependence on foreign supply. But since June 4th, 2025, the United States raised tariffs on imported steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%. And the results have shown the opposite effect. Canada, America's largest aluminum supplier, accounting for 47% of total imports, now faces a 35% tariff on goods outside USMCA starting August 1st. Mexico, although given a 90-day delay, is still staring at the threat of a 50% tariff on steel, aluminum, and copper. Beyond North America, India, an exporter of auto parts worth 7 billion dollars to the United States, has also been hit with a 50% tariff, a move expected to 20:00 cut its shipments by 15 to 20%. For an auto supply chain that depends on dozens of imported components and materials, from car frames and underbodies to leather and interiors, these tariffs are not only pushing production costs sharply higher, they're directly eating into the profits of American automakers. Many US-based suppliers themselves import key parts, which are now taxed heavily before they even reach assembly plants in Michigan. The result, instead of strengthening domestic manufacturing as Trump promised, these tariff policies are leaving the auto industry with soaring costs, tighter margins, and more pressure than ever at the very heart of America's industrial base. So far, auto companies have been eating the impacts of the tariffs, and that's what we're seeing in the latest profit reports. It's only a matter of time until the companies pass those costs off onto the customer. At first, the big three, General Motors, Ford, and Stellantis, tried to swallow the tariff 21:01 costs themselves, hoping to keep sales steady and avoid shocking consumers with price jumps. But according to the Center for Automotive Research, the 25% tariff on cars and parts alone could pile an extra $18 billion in costs on the industry in 2025. And that doesn't even count the ripple effects from the 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum or overlapping tariffs from other trade partners. The impact is already showing. General Motors is projecting losses of 4 to5 billion this year. Ford expects around $1.5 billion while Stalantis is also taking billions in hits as import costs for key components surge. The Alliance for Automotive Innovation warns that once these costs cross the breaking point, automakers will have no choice but to shift the burden onto consumers. That means new car prices will rise sharply. Budget-friendly models will disappear from the market, buyers will face fewer options, and the roll out of 22:05 new technologies, especially electric vehicles, will slow down. With the US still lacking large-scale domestic battery producers, high tariffs on imported batteries and critical parts are cutting into profits even further. In Detroit, reduced production means fewer cars on the market and fewer jobs on the assembly lines, particularly in communities that have already spent decades recovering from past recessions. Analysts warned that if today's tariff policies remain in place, the next three years could bring a steady decline in both sales and employment. Trump once sold tariffs as a tool to bring manufacturing back to America. But the reality is turning out differently. Cornerstone industries like autos are being drained by skyrocketing costs, and the time will come when they simply can't carry the weight anymore. number one American vehicle built and made 23:03 around the world is the Ford F-S series trucks. They're all aluminum and they buy it from Quebec. Those things and I think, you know what, some of that pressure uh of the self-inflicted harm that they're doing on the US auto sector is starting to finally bubble up. After the Trump administration imposed a 50% tariff on imported steel and aluminum on June 4th, 2025, the steepest increase across all sectors. The impact rippled instantly through the North American market. Canada, America's largest aluminum supplier with about 47% of total imports and also one of the leading steel suppliers, became the direct target of this tariff wave. Starting August 1st, 2025, Canadian goods outside USMCA, including most steel and aluminum products, were hit with an additional 35% tariff on top of the measures already in place. On the commodities market, spot aluminum prices on COMX surged to more than 70 cents per pound, 24:04 nearly double the level at the end of May. Concerns about supply shortages and rising import costs fueled the spike. Canada's metal sector, especially major producers like Riotinto and Marid Industries, warned of possible production cuts or export shifts, while the Unifor Labor Union projected that thousands of jobs could be lost if access to the US market keeps tightening. For the United States, striking Canadian steel and aluminum has meant driving up costs across multiple industries, especially autos and construction. Steel and aluminum are essential materials for vehicle frames, body panels, structural parts, and also for infrastructure projects. With input prices climbing, US manufacturers are forced to choose between shrinking profits or raising prices, both of which risk eroding their market share at home and abroad. And this is where the irony becomes sharpest. The Ford F-S series, the crown 25:06 jewel of American vehicle sales, is deeply tied to aluminum, sourced directly from Quebec. Every hike in tariffs means higher costs baked into America's top selling truck, a symbol of domestic pride, but also of global dependence. Analysts point out that this pressure will not remain hidden for long. It is already seeping into corporate balance sheets, investor confidence, and even into the wallets of ordinary buyers. In simple terms, this is not just a story about trade disputes. It is about how self-inflicted policies can backfire, leaving the very industries they aim to protect weaker, more vulnerable, and struggling to compete in the long run. Tremendous impact. I mean, these are customers and distributors we had been dealing with for many, many years. Uh unfortunately the uh threat of the tariffs was enough to create an 26:01 uncertain uh business climate. So our uh American business evaporated essentially overnight in February. Canada is a critical link in the North American auto supply chain with car and auto parts exports making up 27% of its total exports to the United States. That makes Canada the second largest vehicle supplier to the US market. But trade tensions and Washington's new tariffs have already hit the industry hard. In April 2025, Canadian auto and parts exports to the US dropped by 17.4%. Passenger cars and light trucks alone fell by 22.9%. This sharp decline pushed Canada's trade deficit to a record 7.1 billion Canadian dollars, equal to about 5.2 2 billion during that same month. According to Reuters, by May 2025, Canada's export share to the US had fallen from 78% down 27:02 to 68% of its total exports, translating into a loss of about 7.7 billion Canadian dollars, around 5.6 billion US in trade value. While exports to the European Union, the United Kingdom, and Australia grew by more than 42%, those gains were nowhere near enough to offset the losses from the US market. And the impact is not just on paper. Production lines have been cut back, shifts reduced, and in some cases, factories forced into temporary shutdowns. Thousands of jobs are at risk. Companies are scrambling to pivot, shifting focus to the domestic market. diversifying their product lines and investing in long-term production capacity. Prime Minister Mark Carney's government has chosen a strategy of building long-term resilience rather than short-term retaliation. The goal is clear to reduce dependence on the US market and shield Canada's manufacturing 28:04 base from future trade shocks. But the deeper story is about confidence. For many Canadian firms, the US has long been a stable, almost guaranteed market. When that foundation crumbles overnight, first from the threat, then from the reality of tariffs, the ripple effects spread far beyond trade statistics. It undermines trust, chills investment, and forces businesses to rethink decades of integration. Analysts now warn that if tariffs remain in place, Canada's auto sector could face permanent restructuring. Plants might be redirected to serve Europe and Asia, while American buyers risk losing both supply and leverage. What was once a seamless continental supply chain is fragmenting into competing regional blocks. And for workers on both sides of the border, that means more uncertainty, 29:00 fewer opportunities, and a future clouded by instability that shows no sign of fading. I'm listening to uh Ford and General Motors who are pivotal in this, starting to say things like, 'You're burning all of our profit.' As Canadian suppliers buckle under the weight of tariffs, the impact doesn't stop at the border. It flows straight into Detroit, the heart of America's auto industry. Key raw materials like steel and aluminum, especially the aluminum from Quebec that the Ford F-series relies so heavily on have become much more expensive, forcing assembly costs to spike across the board. Independent research group Alix Partners estimates that these tariffs could raise vehicle prices anywhere from $4,000 to $9,000 depending on the model. Crossovers would climb by at least $4,000. Large SUVs could rise by as much as $9,000 and electric vehicles might surge by as much as $12,000. 30:01 For families already stretched thin by inflation, those added costs could make new cars completely unaffordable, pushing many buyers to delay purchases or shift to the used car market. The Trump administration may have aimed to pressure Canada, but this industrial strike has landed hardest on Michigan. Industry watchd dogs have warned that the 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum, combined with 25 to 30% duties on auto parts coming through Michigan's supply chain are threatening as many as 600,000 manufacturing jobs. And this is not just a numbers game. Behind every statistic are workers on the line, suppliers in small towns, and dealerships that depend on steady sales. When prices rise and production slows, the shock travels outward, fewer shifts in factories, less demand for parts, shrinking paychecks and households that have already endured decades of economic turbulence. Analysts say that once trust 31:00 in stable supply chains is broken, rebuilding it takes years, sometimes decades. In the meantime, competitors in Asia and Europe are waiting to capture market share, selling vehicles at lower costs and accelerating technology adoption, especially in electric cars. Rising costs are already bleeding into consumer prices. And for companies and communities alike, exhaustion is no longer a future risk. It is the reality of today. If the uh White House does things that are good for Detroit, they're going to be good for Ontario. The problem is they're aiming at everywhere and hitting us all and they're going to sink uh important can uh American companies along the way. Trump's steel tariffs were launched as a punishment aimed at a neighbor. But in practice, it is America that is taking the heaviest blow. While Canada has moved quickly to pivot, pouring money into domestic investment and widening its reach beyond the US market, the American auto sector is 32:04 stuck in a fractured supply chain. Costs are climbing day by day with no clear escape in sight. This is no longer just a trade dispute. It has become a brutal test of economic leadership. And as the pressure keeps mounting, the truth is undeniable. Canada can endure the pain, but it is US industry that is bleeding and in some cases beginning to collapse under the weight of its own policy. In Ontario, the largest hub for auto and steel production in Canada, provincial leaders have signaled that if tariffs continue, they are prepared to strike back. That response could include retaliatory tariffs aimed at sectors of the American economy that depend heavily on the Ontario market, agriculture, chemicals, and industrial machinery. With more than 100,000 jobs tied directly to the auto sector and related industries, and an export network worth 33:00 tens of billions of dollars each year flowing into the United States, Ontario is not just a bystander. It is the front line of Canada's trade war strategy and it has the power to inflict real pressure if Washington refuses to change course. What makes this moment particularly volatile is the interconnectedness between Detroit and Ontario. The two regions have built decades of joint production where car parts cross the border multiple times before a vehicle is fully assembled. Any tariff shock disrupts that rhythm instantly, leaving both sides scrambling to absorb the hit. But the difference is in resilience. Canada through Ontario is hedging its bets with Europe and Asia, diversifying its trade and investing in long-term stability. The US, on the other hand, has doubled down on a tariff first policy that is cornering its own industries. Analysts warned that if this continues, the very 34:02 companies meant to be protected, Ford, GM, Stellantis, could see their competitiveness eroded, not by foreign rivals, but by domestic policy missteps. In simple terms, Trump's tariffs were supposed to deliver leverage. Instead, they are setting up a lose-lose scenario where both Detroit and Ontario suffer, but America shoulders the deeper, more lasting wounds.

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