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COMMENTARY JAMES CARVILLE WITH AL HUNT ... AUGUST 14TH 2025 Politicon: James Carville: If You Think TRUMP Is CRAZY Now, Wait Until The MIDTERMS PLAY YOUTUBE VIDEO Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WdIpaIQVEw0
James Carville: If You Think TRUMP Is CRAZY Now, Wait Until The MIDTERMS Politicon Aug 14, 2025 361K subscribers ... 140,711 views ... 5.9K likes Politics War Room (with James Carville & Al Hunt) James Carville & Al Hunt delve into various political themes, including the public's perception of political figures, the future of Kamala Harris, Trump's military strategies, the Democratic establishment's role in upcoming elections, and the significance of abortion as a political issue. The speakers express concerns about the current political climate and the implications for future elections, particularly focusing on key races and the dynamics within the Democratic Party. More Politicon videos and podcasts on our YouTube channel: / @politicon Visit Politicon: http://politicon.com Follow Politicon on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/politicon.com Politics War Room (with James Carville & Al Hunt) Peter Burgess COMMENTARY Peter Burgess Transcript 0:00 But I think it's going to become imminently clear they can't jerrymander their way out. It's going to be a significant House Democratic majority is going to be increasingly likely that the Democrats get the Senate back. And if you think of the crazy [ __ ] he's doing now, just imagine a year from now. Just imagine. They had a meeting in the White House with the deputy attorney general, the FBI, uh, you know, the sus chief of staff at the White House to try to figure out what to do about the FCN case. I mean, that normally that would be the outrage of outrage. It would be screaming headlines regress to say in Phoenix, Arizona when Bill Clinton met with Loretta Lynch, the then attorney general for 10 minutes on 1:00 an airplane with FBI and Secret Service agent presence. Everybody had a meltdown. This happened and people commented on again don't know. Now you have occupying troops in the capital city that the deficit for the month of July alone was something like $271 billion in one month. I any one of these things would be off the chart outrageous. collectively I I you know you know if that's the sort of problem that we're faced with there's so much and it's so hard to pick out and I I guess to some extent that's what they they they counting on but it's and it's just going to get increasingly worse and no one thinks that any this is and this is stuff you know we would talk about oh it's going to be so bad it's going to be 2:00 awful we can't imagine and and and we kind of thought that you we could not imagine I couldn't I in my by wildest dreams I would never predict that he would occupy a city with a significantly declining crime rate. I I I you just couldn't imagine are Laura Lumer attacking a Medal of Honor winner. Who in the world would like attack a Medal of Honor winner? Oh, Warma would. And the the kind of back and forth between her and Martin Green. I mean, these people don't have any shame. They don't have any pride. They don't have anything. It's just all in to call them trailer trash would you know that a lot of people that live in trailers that had to lead honorable lives. I mean let's you know let's be let's be honest here. A lot of people try to pay their bills. 3:02 A lot of people do this. It's beyond anything that we can pick out. The scope of it is so horrendous. It it I'm I'm overwhelmed by it. And all I can say people is please Virginia, please New Jersey, send that SOS signal out. Send it out in the clear. Send it loud. Let everybody hear it. And now questions from our listeners. Great ones as always. And by the way, if we didn't get to yours this week, send it again because we may well get to it next week. James, the first question is from Wes in Athens, Georgia, home of the Bulldogs. He said, 'Last week's show, you said Camela Harris should not run again because people want to turn the page. How is her running again any different than Donald Trump running after he was defeated?' I think people want to turn the page from him. I mean I I look I I just think 4:00 I I I have she served as attorney general of the largest state. She served in the United States Senate represent large state. She was vice president of the United States. She was the presidential nominee in 2024. I I my my sense is I'm sorry. I think people will be looking I I don't think anybody that had anything to do with 2024 is going to be who the Democrats want around in 2028. That's what I really believe and doesn't you know she's had a a a distinguished career in American politics. Uh and but 2028 is not her year. Well, I couldn't agree more. And I read a story the other day that the Biden people are putting out the word warning her. Don't you dare criticize Joe Biden or we'll come after you. Don't those people realize nobody cares? They are yesterday. They are gone. I mean, a story. I mean, come on. Look 5:01 again 30 years United States Senate that you chair judiciary you chair foreign relations might be the most accomplished people post World War II America that maybe there is you you were vice president for eight years you were president for four years for God's sakes man just enjoy your welldeserved rest no question James we got we we're going globally u uh today uh Tom in Toronto to says Trump is moving the military to DC. Is this another distraction from Epstein, which we have discussed, or preparation to defend against an insurrection? Tom, I think that if Trump doesn't get his way with gerrymandering, he will in Texas, but if he can't thwart California, California gerrymandering really does matter a great deal. Uh, and if he can't thwart that and it looks like he's going to lose the house, I don't think it's far-fetched at all to 6:02 think he is going to use the term insurrection and call off the election. Do I would I bet on that happening? No. But do I think it's remote? No. I think it's more so this is what I hope happens. This is realistic. This stood out. Virginia and New Jersey fulfill our wildest dreams. They turn into where you you just the margin becomes is just undeniable. He feels that. And of course when let me take a little time here. When that happens then the image of the Democratic party is going to start to go up. Why? Because people other Democrats are going to see the Democrats want elections. consist feel bad about then you're going to people's attention is going to turn to 2026 and everybody that we want to recruit we're getting now Sherwood Brown 7:00 says he is going to run in Ohio I I can't tell you how significant a decision that is that a guy that agent it it seems certainly seems like Governor Janet Mills is leaning toward running in May the point is all of the things that you want to happen for us in 2026 are starting to happen. You're going to start to see things for them that are not going to happen. He is going to see a massive 26 coming. And when I tell you that I don't really think the Senate is anywhere close to being out of reach, I don't want to assign a 50/50 or 455 number to it because it's it's it it's senseless. But I think it's going to become imminently clear they can't jerrymander their way out. It's going to be a significant House Democratic majority is going to be increasingly likely that the Democrats get the Senate back. And if you think of the crazy [ __ ] he's 8:03 doing now, just imagine a year from now. Just imagine. And the Democrats need to set up the the the what what uh like Walter and Seth and Donelli and other did and they set up a whole legal team and anticipating for the election fight after the 2020 election. They have to set up a a highly skilled legal communications uh team. uh need to get ready to put stuff out cuz this son of a [ __ ] it to me it is a likely scenario that they get slaughtered beyond comprehension in Virginia and New Jersey that the Poland goes totally south coming midterms and they if you think what they doing now is 9:00 something wait till you see what they getting ready to do. Yeah. And you cannot sound the alarm loud enough. You can't talk about it too much. You can't even imagine it's going to take preparation because the the electoral slaughter I think is coming and he is not going to sit there and not try something to keep from getting like utterly humiliated. And that's what's getting ready to happen to him. Henry in New Orleans, good question. Says, 'Isn't it time for the Democratic establishment to rally behind Mandami in New York to be able to share the credit for his win rather than sit on the sidelines creating the false narrative that the socialists have taken over the party?' Well, first of all, my friend, I have no [ __ ] idea what the Democratic establishment is. Okay, I understand it. 10:00 Yeah, but you know what he's talking about. I mean, it may not be the establishment. No, I I kind of do. Yeah. The hockey game. I kind of do. I don't uh the guy's going to win. And uh I think that the the smarter thing to do, I mean, and he's the only one that's offering anything, by the way. The the the Andrew and and Eric Adams. I mean, and by the way, did you say that that Curtis, how do you pronounce his name? The guy's been around the guardian angel. He's a Republican. He doesn't even want Trump's nomine. He doesn't want Trump's endorsement. The guy the Republican in New York. Yeah. Yeah. The the the Guardian Angel guy. He's been in the news for the [ __ ] I don't know, last 35 years. But uh you know, Madan is going to win. He's going to make that the course they're going to try to blow him up into something else. But I gotta tell you, 11:00 the guys got skill and I, you know, life in New York. I'm here right now coming in. I was just looking at like transit trains and people getting in and life is hard and the guy is talking about things that really matter to people and he most people think he's actually going to carry the Jewish vote. I have no idea. I'm just telling you people tell me. Uh, I don't know if it's necessary for, you know, Ela, I don't I don't think the Democratic establishment getting behind him is, if anything, wouldn't help him at all. Maybe they ought to just keep that distance and let the guy win that let it show if he can govern. I'll tell you one I'll tell you one thing that would help him and that is if Trump comes out against him. I think the one the one person who wants Trump involved in New York is Madavi. Go ahead. the guy the Republican nominee anymore Trump. Right. Right. He's a guy 12:00 and he's he can't help it because he can raise money off of it. Yeah. And he could he can gas up the people at Fox or anything else. I look is this do I agree with everything he said in his 20s? [ __ ] No, I don't agree with anything I said in my own 20s. But he's Mad has shown himself to be a a politician of you know you always knew he's kind of smart but but he's kind of disciplined and to the point. Yeah. And uh you know Democrats have people in that that are more aggressively prochange than a lot of other people. Yeah. But I'm glad we have those because they don't have reactionaries. Okay. Pete in Raleigh, North Carolina says Dr. Phil said on Bill Maher's show that ICE agents have to wear masks because they and their families are being targeted. What do you think of that argument? You know, I guess by that logic, uh, 13:02 police ought to wear masks, right? Uh, everybody ought to wear masks. I'm sure there's some cases where it might be justified. Uh, I think it I honestly I because I'm sure some of these are good people, but I think it has more to do with the thuggery mindset that uh Hoen and others have brought to these ICE operations. You know, I I that guy I never it seemed to be a had a really kind of soothing TV personality. I think it was a creation of Oprah Winfrey actually and his flirtation and fooling around on the right. I I don't think it's very smart for him professionally and it it it doesn't doesn't fit in. But I don't watch the show a lot. He was on there, but I watch it big local news. I'd watch the lead in and he seems to be or was a a man of 14:03 some charm and this is what she going to be remembered for. I don't know, you know, just most successful TV psychologist. I don't have no idea. But why are you doing this to your legacy, to your reputation, to I I don't I don't get what motivates these people. I really don't. Well, I I'm less enamored with his past, but certainly not enamored with what he is now. I don't know that much. Just seem to me seem like a kind of soothing guy. He was a little quackish, but Cameron Cameron in Brisbane in Australia, we're going down under now. James, he said, 'Is there any way for a US opposition party to select something akin to an interim leader until the next primary process process?' I guess he's talking about 28 elects a person to lead the party. 15:03 Well, I mean, they have like the leader of the House, you know, like the Senate Democrats elect the leader, the DNC. There's not going to be a leader at the Democratic party in this system. There is no leader until you have a presidential nominee. That's the bad news. The bad news is we're not going to have a leader until a little less than what is it two three years from now. Uh but when we do, we're going to we're going to have a good one. And in the meantime, if you become the majority and you you you have the speakerhip and you you have the majority of the Senate, then you become more relevant and the leadership enhances itself. You know, again, I go back I can't think past Virginia and New Jersey and we can parlay that into something else. Um, Telly in West North Carolina asks, 'What are uh thoughts on the open US 16:02 Senate seat in North Carolina now that incumbent Republican Tillos has announced he's not seeking reelection?' Uh, it's two words, Roy Cooper. Uh, Roy Cooper is going to win that seat. Roy Cooper has won every statewide election uh that he's ever had. I forget whether it's six or seven. Uh but he is the most successful North Carolina politician in a long time. He's running against a former party chair, sort of a dull, nondescript guy. Uh the only chance the Republicans would have would be if it were a big GOP year. It's not going to be that. Cooper is a great candidate. He's going to win. Yeah, we're going to win North Carolina. Uh, you know, if it comes down, I think we're going to win Maine and out of Ohio, Iowa, Texas, Mississippi, Florida, Alaska, 17:00 Alaska, we got to pick up too. And I I every day that I see, we're not say hell a day, we'd do that. But the way I see things going, I think I said I I think we're gonna pick up we're gonna have a majority in the Senate. Well, you you got to do that, James. But you also have to defend Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, which I think which I think is very doable, but you know, one or two of those might be tough. You know, if you win Iowa, you're going to win Michigan. Okay. And Minnesota it just it doesn't I I agree. If you win North Carolina by the amount that I think that Cooper is going to win it by, you're not gonna lose Georgia. It they just run in tandem. Now, if it becomes a 50/50 year, you know, if it's a 2022, which is actually a good year for Democrats, but it then you kind you kind of pick and choose. I I I hope I you 18:01 know, right now I feel like it's not going to be a pick and choose election. I think that, you know, and again, I I be a one-trick pony, Virginia, and New Jersey is going to tell us a lot. A lot way a real lot. Um, and the final qu before we get to the final question, I just want our listeners to know that uh we I guess they've just announced who is going to host the Kennedy Center Honors in December. You know, that's a job that's been done by some of the great entertainers. uh in and in in in America from from David Letterman to some of the great Hollywood stars. This year it is going to be hosted by are you ready James? Donald J. Trump. Oh my god. Yeah. So I I I know I know CBS I'm sorry I ain't going to watch it that night. I'm gonna uh I'm not He's gonna make a [ __ ] fool of himself. Well, I can watch that the next day. 19:01 Yeah, you know I wash up. I don't know, but it's it understand it's going to get worse and worse and worse and worse. We got one more question. James Charlie in Scranton, Pennsylvania, uh says, 'Isn't the reason abortion didn't play a major role in 2024? Is the different electorate in a presidential year?' Uh well, the reason we lost is Democrats didn't come out and vote. Trump didn't get more votes in 2024. They got in in 2020. Um I I kind of surprised, you know, after Kansas and the 2022, I think there was a real feeling that this it turned out to not be the issue that Democrats thought it would be, kind of hoped it would be. And I I 20:02 maybe people felt like if they lived in a state that they were protected and they lived in, you know, Texas or Louisiana, it didn't matter. I don't know. But it it certainly did not turn out into the issue that we thought it would be. I don't I don't to control a lot of voting behavior in 24. Yeah. And I don't think it's going to be a huge issue this time with one very important caveat. If, as they are under pressure to do, the FDA in any way cracks down on the mailing of that uh of that abortion pill, uh I think that is going to energize that uh that pro that pro-choice group and women and I think it will make a difference. I don't think Trump wants them to do that, but they're under a lot of pressure because the pro life people are coming saying, 'Hey, we delivered for you and now we're finding that abortions are up.' Uh, and so you got to do this. I don't know how he'll 21:00 resolve that, but that would be a gift to Democrats. You know, that the the states with the highest abortion rates, I think, are the states that outlawed. Yeah. There's always been more abortions in Ireland, Italy. And Italy is never illegal and and is now legal in Ireland. I I if if you want fewer abortions, I I'm not sure maybe we should get somebody on here that outlawing is the best way to achieve that goal. I think I think there's a lot of evidence to the contrary. Yeah. But whatever it is, we didn't it didn't turn out to be as big issue as we thought. And right I don't you know that that's tells you something about something. I'm not sure what. Well, one thing I will tell you is keep those questions and emails coming in. We love them. I will get to as many as we can. And if you are disappointed we didn't get to one this week, send it again. [Music] 22:03 [Applause] [Music] [Applause] [Music]

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