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Trade Report News: Trump Holds the Mic, Carney Holds the Clock
Here’s Why Carney’s Silence Could Break Trump’s Plan


Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0F35cv7d5S4
Trump Holds the Mic, Carney Holds the Clock – Here’s Why Carney’s Silence Could Break Trump’s Plan

Trade Report News

1.37K subscribers

Jul 7, 2025

#news #breakingnews #drama

Trump Holds the Mic, Carney Holds the Clock – Here’s Why Carney’s Silence Could Break Trump’s Tariff Plan

As Trump’s August 1st tariff deadline approaches, the U.S.–Canada trade talks are entering a critical phase. While Trump pushes publicly, demanding fast results, Prime Minister Mark Carney is playing a different game—quiet, strategic, and deliberate. With no major concessions from Ottawa and markets watching closely, Carney’s silence is becoming the most powerful move of all. Could his refusal to rush throw off Trump’s timeline—and derail the entire deal? In this episode, we break down how a calm strategy is creating pressure Trump didn’t expect, and why time may no longer be on his side.

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Peter Burgess COMMENTARY



Peter Burgess
  • 0:00
  • when the person you're dealing with or
  • the country you're dealing with has
  • multiple objectives jumps around a bit
  • and you've got to be nimble if we do see
  • some trade deals coming through
  • obviously with our country uh that would
  • be I think a big boost President Trump
  • has set the clock ticking toward August
  • 1st the day when his new global tariff
  • framework kicks in with import taxes of
  • 10% to 70% for countries that don't sign
  • trade deals in time and while many
  • governments are scrambling to meet the
  • deadline. One country has taken a
  • different path. Canada. In this final
  • stretch, with pressure mounting and time
  • running out, the world is watching
  • whether Prime Minister Mark Carney will
  • bend to Trump's demands or make the most
  • calculated gamble of his career.
  • With tariffs looming, markets rallied on
  • hope. Wall Street bet that Canada would
  • fold quickly, just like others had.
  • Trump had already declared his intent.
  • If a deal wasn't reached by July 21st,
  • tariffs would rise automatically. No

  • 1:01
  • more grace periods, no more backroom
  • extensions.
  • And yet, Canada didn't fold. No major
  • concessions were announced. No dramatic
  • press conferences, no movement at the
  • podium. Instead, there was a calm
  • strategic silence. The usual Trump
  • playbook, high pressure, short timeline,
  • visible chaos, was met with something
  • unexpected.
  • Restraint. Investors kept waiting for
  • news. Business leaders, especially those
  • in steel and automotive supply chains,
  • feared the worst. But from Ottawa, the
  • only response was stillness.
  • Carney's approach emphasize how Canada
  • can help the White House on China, on
  • balance of trade issues, on protections
  • for workers, and on border security.
  • Behind that silence was Prime Minister
  • Mark Carney. A former central banker,
  • Carney wasn't looking to play by Trump's
  • rules. Instead of bargaining point by
  • point, he shifted the game entirely. At
  • the Calgary Stampede, Carney addressed

  • 2:01
  • Albertans directly, not just with words,
  • but with strategy. He called on
  • Canadians to focus inward on housing, on
  • clean energy, on rebuilding economic
  • independence. He knew what Trump wanted.
  • Quick wins, bold headlines. But Carney
  • wasn't playing for the moment. He was
  • playing for stability. Rather than
  • debating dairy quotas or aluminum
  • percentages, Carney brought something
  • different to the table. Value. Canada,
  • he argued, could help the US where it
  • mattered. On trade with China, on labor
  • protections, on border security. This
  • wasn't just a defense. It was a
  • repositioning, a way to say, 'We're not
  • your opponent. We're your ally in a
  • bigger fight.' And it started working.
  • Markets across North America responded
  • with optimism. The TSX and SNP500
  • both hit record highs during the first
  • week of July. According to Bloomberg,
  • much of that optimism stemmed from
  • perceived progress in the US Canada

  • 3:00
  • talks, especially after Canada stepped
  • away from the digital services tax that
  • had angered Washington. But that
  • optimism might have been premature
  • because while Trump's team expected a
  • full deal by July 21st, Carney wasn't
  • rushing.
  • The days ticked down. Trump grew louder.
  • But Carney remained still. And that's
  • when Trump faced a problem he hadn't
  • planned for. What happens when the
  • pressure doesn't work? If Canada holds
  • firm past July 21st, Trump must make a
  • decision. Either follow through with
  • punishing tariffs, which could trigger
  • job losses across border states, or back
  • down and risk looking weak.
  • Reach a deal. And I just wonder what
  • what you think about what messaging
  • should be going out to Canadians in a
  • moment that seems precarious, but of
  • course, we don't really know. I think
  • folks are are just hoping to hear from
  • their prime minister and and from
  • Canadian officials that they're on it
  • and that they're doing everything they
  • can and that they have Canadians back.

  • 4:01
  • The economic stakes are real. Canada's
  • services PMI fell to 44.3 in June,
  • according to S&P Global, well below
  • growth thresholds.
  • US companies, especially in auto parts
  • and logistics, are already cutting
  • forecasts due to uncertainty over
  • crossber flows. Both economies would
  • suffer. But politically, Carney has
  • space to wait. Polls show Canadians
  • understand the stakes and the
  • personality across the table. Trump, on
  • the other hand, has no such room. His
  • trade narrative depends on fast, visible
  • wins. Delays don't just cost time, they
  • cost credibility.
  • In this trade standoff, Trump has the
  • microphone. But Carney holds the clock.
  • The louder Trump pushes, the more his
  • own deadline becomes a trap. And the
  • longer Carney waits, the more he turns
  • Trump's strength into a vulnerability.
  • This isn't about who talks more. It's
  • about who understands the moment better.
  • And right now, silence is speaking

  • 5:01
  • louder than ever.
  • The only thing that can't be created
  • here is an end to the tariffs. It's
  • affected me pretty severely. The main
  • thing being the complete uh drop off of
  • our American sales momentum. It's our
  • plan to say let's produce as much as we
  • can in Canada. In 2025, Donald Trump
  • launched a new round of tariffs. Cars
  • not made in the US 25% aluminum, steel,
  • lumber, more tariffs. His message was
  • simple. Bring factories home. Punish
  • foreign suppliers. Rebuild American
  • industry. But just months into this
  • effort, the consequences are taking
  • shape, and they're not what the White
  • House promised. Canadian firms are
  • pulling back. US businesses are
  • scrambling, and everyday Americans are
  • paying more for cars, groceries, even
  • homes.
  • Ron Marcolan says many businesses in the
  • region have focused on growing trade
  • with Europe and India. A recent survey
  • conducted by the group shows the tariffs

  • 6:01
  • continue to negatively impact businesses
  • across Canada.
  • Across Canada, the message was clear.
  • The US was no longer a stable trade
  • partner. In New Brunswick, glass maker
  • Curtis Dion saw his US sales vanish. In
  • 2024, buyers from the US made up 10% of
  • his business. In 2025, that number
  • dropped to zero. Schneider Electric, a
  • global energy firm, made its own move.
  • It expanded production at its plant in
  • Brousard, Quebec, boosting capacity by
  • 30% and hiring 17 new workers. The goal
  • wasn't growth for its own sake. It was a
  • pivot away from dependency. The company
  • said it planned to produce as much as we
  • can in Canada, regardless of what
  • happened across the border. And the data
  • supported this shift. According to
  • Statistics Canada, in May 2025, exports
  • to the US declined while exports to
  • other countries surged nearly 6%. A

  • 7:00
  • record. That shift wasn't symbolic. It
  • was structural. Canada also holds
  • strategic leverage. Ontario briefly
  • floated a 25% sir charge on electricity
  • exports to the US chlorine, aluminum,
  • and softwood lumber. Key ingredients for
  • US infrastructure and consumer goods
  • largely come from Canadian sources. And
  • if tariffs push them out, the
  • alternatives will be slower, pricier,
  • and less secure.
  • One thing's for sure, cars are about to
  • get more expensive in the US. Aluminum
  • is a whole different world. There's a
  • reason why it was outsourced to begin
  • with. We have to ask ourselves, what are
  • the reasons why we don't produce enough
  • in this country?
  • Inside the US, many companies are caught
  • off guard. Big brands like Walmart
  • stocked up early. Their imports from
  • China jumped 33% in 2024. But small
  • firms didn't have that luxury. Deer
  • Stags, a footwear company, imports 98%
  • of its shoes from China. With no room to

  • 8:02
  • stockpile, they now face tariffs over
  • 16% pulled directly from their bank
  • account by US customs. At IT Logistics
  • in Fort Worth, Texas, companies rush to
  • store goods before tariffs kicked in.
  • But that came at a cost. Warehousing,
  • shipping, compliance, it all adds up and
  • all of it gets passed to the customer.
  • For businesses without deep pockets,
  • this isn't protection, it's punishment.
  • That brings us to the people who have no
  • choice but to absorb it all. American
  • consumers. In March 2025, the aluminum
  • tariff was raised to 25%.
  • By May, the US Midwest aluminum premium
  • had jumped more than 60% according to
  • SNP Global. Coca-Cola warned it may
  • shift more packaging to plastic to avoid
  • the impact. In the auto sector, the
  • fallout was sharper. The average
  • transaction price for new cars in the US
  • neared $50,000 in February 2025 with

  • 9:01
  • tariffs. Analysts from Cox Automotive
  • projected price hikes between 15% and
  • 20% for cars built outside the US or
  • made with foreign parts. That's roughly
  • $6,000 added per vehicle. The
  • construction industry was hit, too. Core
  • Logic estimated that tariffs on steel,
  • aluminum, and Canadian lumber could
  • raise the price of a newly built home by
  • $22,000 over the next 12 months. That's
  • on top of a market where over 100
  • million American households already
  • can't afford the median home price.
  • Trump promised a revival. Factories,
  • jobs, American steel. But reality moves
  • slower. New aluminum smelters take up to
  • 10 years. Sawmills can't ramp up
  • overnight. Labor shortages and
  • environmental limits stand in the way.
  • Meanwhile, Canada is already moving
  • forward, cutting exposure to US risk and
  • finding new markets. And back in the US,
  • it's not China or Mexico footing the

  • 10:00
  • bill. It's the small manufacturers, the
  • independent builders, the families
  • trying to buy their first home. Trump
  • called it a trade strategy, but to many
  • Americans, it's starting to look like a
  • bill they can't afford
  • that deal. The White House is very hard
  • to read. Do they want a deal or not?
  • Economy, it will certainly not be good
  • for any economy to tariff each other and
  • uh and back and forth reciprocal
  • tariffs. The headlines said Trump won.
  • Canada had backed down, scrapping a
  • digital services tax just hours before
  • it took effect. Trump reopened trade
  • talks and claimed victory. But behind
  • the scenes, the pressure was only
  • building. Now Trump is going further,
  • targeting one of Canada's most vital
  • sectors, auto manufacturing. And as the
  • deadline approaches, Prime Minister Mark
  • Carney is signaling this fight isn't
  • over. This is no longer just a tax
  • negotiation. It's a clash over economic
  • survival with two nations locked in and

  • 11:00
  • one sector at the center. But you know,
  • the president keeps talking about
  • sticking points like supply management.
  • Obviously, he's going after auto sector.
  • So, we'll see. It's looming. Only 19
  • days in counting. Since March 2025, the
  • US has imposed a 25% tariff on Canadian
  • automobiles with small carveouts for
  • US-made parts. The move hit hard across
  • an integrated crossber supply chain.
  • Canada exports around 85% of its auto
  • production to the US, most of it through
  • systems where parts cross the border up
  • to six or seven times before final
  • assembly. But tariffs broke that rhythm.
  • US automakers facing cost uncertainty
  • paused many new tooling programs. In
  • Windsor, Ontario, Canada's auto hub,
  • some facilities laid off up to 50% of
  • workers by mid 2025.
  • Even logistics stalled. Truckers
  • reported slower traffic and fewer loads.
  • With over 70% of US Canada trade moved

  • 12:00
  • by truck, the disruption spread fast.
  • Talking about I mean, Donald Trump seems
  • so intent on destroying Canada's ability
  • to make cars. That seems to be such a
  • suan.
  • April 2025 brought more bad news.
  • According to Statistics Canada, Canadian
  • auto exports to the US dropped 23%
  • compared to April 2024.
  • The chain reaction was immediate. Halted
  • production, idle workers, frozen
  • investments. But amid the damage, Carney
  • began reccalibrating. In early July, the
  • prime minister met with top executives
  • from Ford Canada, GM Canada, Stalantis,
  • and the Canadian Vehicle Manufacturers
  • Association. Behind closed doors, they
  • mapped out responses from legal options
  • to production shifts. One sticking point
  • was Canada's zero emissions vehicle
  • mandate. As of quarter 1, 2025, EVs made
  • up only 8% of new vehicle sales. Yet,
  • the law required that 20% of all

  • 13:00
  • passenger vehicles sold in 2026 be EV or
  • hybrid. Automakers warned the target was
  • unreachable. Missing it would mean
  • buying carbon credits or paying up to
  • 20,000 Canadian per vehicle for charging
  • infrastructure.
  • Facing economic headwinds and corporate
  • backlash, Carney signaled flexibility,
  • not surrender. He also leaned into
  • longerterm reforms, dismantling
  • interprovincial trade barriers and
  • accelerating free trade efforts with
  • Europe and Asia. It's a shift modeled
  • after Australia, diversifying away from
  • US dependence. This wasn't retreat, it
  • was repositioning.
  • Trump's next deadline is July 9th.
  • That's when his temporary tariff freeze
  • ends. Unless Canada makes new
  • concessions, more tariffs could be
  • triggered, possibly targeting untaxed
  • sectors. But Carney has his own date
  • circled, July 21st. That's the deadline
  • he set for a new Canada US deal. If no
  • agreement is reached, Ottawa could
  • reintroduce its retaliatory tariffs,

  • 14:01
  • covering over 125 billion in US goods
  • from agriculture to tech. Meanwhile, the
  • public is already pushing back. The Buy
  • Canada movement is growing. Consumers
  • are ditching US wine and spirits.
  • Crossber travel is down. Vacation homes
  • in Florida are hitting the resale
  • market. Canadians aren't waiting for
  • policy. They're voting with their
  • wallets. Behind the scenes, Canada is
  • also working to expand trade with the EU
  • and Indo-Pacific, building economic
  • resilience far from Washington's reach.
  • The next two weeks will decide
  • everything. Will Trump push for more,
  • confident that Canada will blink again?
  • or has he overplayed his hand, pushing
  • Carney into a corner where retaliation
  • becomes politically unavoidable?
  • On July 9th, we may see the first
  • answer. By July 21st, we'll know who
  • flinches and who fights back. This isn't
  • just about cars. It's about leverage,

  • 15:00
  • leadership, and how far each side is
  • willing to go. Stay tuned.


About
  • Trump’s Trade Bluff Exposed by China — Only Paper Promises, and Trump Called It Victory ... by Trade Report News
  • Trump Meltdown as Canada Turns the Tables — Here’s How Carney Used Energy Exports to Flip the Script ... by Trade Report News
  • Trump’s Meltdown as His Auto Gamble Backfires – But Canada Refuses to Fold ... by Trade Report News


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