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Date: 2025-07-03 Page is: DBtxt003.php txt00028775
TRUMP POLICIES
GLOBAL PUSHBACK

PPR Mundial: EU Just Made a Bold Move Against Trump’s Tariffs
Brussels Response SHOCKED Everyone


Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04K0XQstVZk
EU Just Made a Bold Move Against Trump’s Tariffs — Brussels Response SHOCKED Everyone

PPR Mundial

Jun 26, 2025

207K subscribers

A full-blown tariff war is brewing between Washington and Brussels, as Donald Trump’s “universal tariff” policy slaps a 10% tax on all imports. In response, the EU threatens a 20% countermeasure, putting €580 billion in European exports and $320 billion in U.S. goods at risk—from Boeing to bourbon, BMW to soybeans.

In this episode, we explain:
  • Who will foot the bill for the tariffs
  • How this will fuel inflation on both sides of the Atlantic
  • Why Airbus, Tesla, and US agriculture are directly in the crosshairs
  • What scenarios await if WTO cases and retaliation spiral out of control
  • How the Fed and ECB are bracing for this inflationary earthquake
This isn’t just a trade battle. It’s a systemic shock to global supply chains, currency balances, and inflation targets.

Chapters:
  • 00:00 – Trump’s 10% Tariff Plan: The New Doctrine
  • 00:45 – Brussels Responds: 20% Retaliation on U.S. Goods
  • 01:35 – €580 Billion vs $320 Billion: The Stakes of the Tariff War
  • 02:30 – Boeing, BMW, Bourbon: The Political Targets
  • 03:25 – Impact on Inflation, Exchange Rates, and Interest Rates
  • 04:15 – Trade Shock Ripple Effect on Fed & ECB
  • 05:10 – Germany, France, and Italy React to Export Risks
  • 06:00 – The Airbus Advantage and the Boeing Fallout
  • 06:55 – Green Subsidy Battle: EU Carbon Tariffs on U.S. EVs?
  • 08:00 – Global Scenarios: From WTO to Supply Chain Collapse
  • 09:15 – Final Outlook: Will Trade Diplomacy Stop the Spiral?
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Peter Burgess COMMENTARY



Peter Burgess
Transcript
  • Trump’s 10% Tariff Plan: The New Doctrine
  • 0:00
  • a tit fortat battle has begun with
  • prices jumping every time the dollar
  • moves washington is imposing a 10%
  • universal tariff on all imports while
  • brussels is responding with a 20% tax on
  • us goods saying it will get the same
  • money back
  • 580 billion in european exports and 320
  • billion in american exports ranging from
  • boeing to bourbon bmw to soybeans are
  • now at risk of hitting a two-way wall we
  • explain step by step who will foot the
  • bill for the eu and us tariffs whose
  • exchange rate advantage will disappear
  • how the fed and ecb's interest rate
  • equation will be disrupted and how the
  • eu's retaliation will take shape don't
  • forget to subscribe to our channel turn
  • on notifications and like our videos to
  • Brussels Responds: 20% Retaliation on U.S. Goods
  • 0:46
  • stay up to date with our content the
  • european union responded to washington's
  • general 10% tariff wall rhetoric at the
  • end of summer 2025 with if this tariff
  • wall does not come down we will build a
  • counterwall and the trade table on both

  • 1:01
  • sides of the atlantic quickly turned
  • into a scene of a nerve war the
  • transatlantic tariff dispute which
  • flared up in 2018 with the steel and
  • aluminum trade war dragged on for 5
  • years amid technical committees
  • exemption lists and court cases however
  • donald trump's universal tariff doctrine
  • announced as he prepared for his second
  • term shook the balance to its core the
  • white house proposed a system that was
  • so simple that it left no room for
  • negotiation a 10% tariff on all non- us
  • imports 30 45% on chinese goods

  • 580 Billion vs $320 Billion: The Stakes of the Tariff War
  • 1:37
  • depending on the sector and a 12% cap on
  • imports from neighbors not covered by
  • the north american free trade agreement
  • brussels's initial reaction was to
  • recall the principle of equal treatment
  • in an urgent note to the general affairs
  • council the commission president said
  • 'if the us does not withdraw the columns
  • of the eu customs tariff schedule will
  • be automatically updated to include an

  • 2:00
  • additional 20% on key us goods this
  • means a two-way tariff squeeze in the 10
  • 20% range will begin across the atlantic
  • additional calculation eu27 exports to
  • the us will be 580 billion by the end of
  • 2024 the 20% retaliation imposed on top
  • of this will impose a direct tax burden
  • of 116 billion on european exporters but
  • if the fed implements its quickly
  • compliant dollar policy on tariffs the
  • net effect may remain at around $95

  • Boeing, BMW, Bourbon: The Political Targets
  • 2:31
  • billion policy the net effect may remain
  • at around 95 billion in contrast there
  • is an annual flow of $320 billion worth
  • of goods from the us to the eu brussels
  • 20 point counterwall will impose an
  • additional burden of 64 billion on
  • american exporters market players are
  • writing the net loss premium to the us
  • account euro zone pmi data shows that
  • export volumes are already sustained by
  • domestic demand deficits while in the us

  • 3:03
  • the high share of imported intermediate
  • goods in production will create price
  • pass through the signal that washington
  • would move to a new trump tariff phase
  • sent alarm bells ringing in european
  • capitals on the morning of june 24th
  • even before the white house had released
  • an official statement brussels responded
  • with a declaration that if the us
  • customs wall remains at even 10% we will

  • Impact on Inflation, Exchange Rates, and Interest Rates
  • 3:26
  • respond with equivalent measures in the
  • automotive aviation and agriculture
  • sectors within minutes bruno laame mer
  • appeared before the cameras in paris
  • saying 'we will not enter into a vicious
  • cycle that will lead to mutual
  • destruction but we have a long list
  • ready ranging from boeing to soybeans.'
  • in berlin economy minister robert
  • habbeek immediately after receiving an
  • urgent briefing from volkswagen
  • management said 'we are taking seriously
  • the scenario of a $110 billion loss in
  • germany us exports over a 10-year
  • average in the first stage we will

  • 4:02
  • implement new agreements with east asia
  • to compensate for the decline in us
  • market share in machinery chemicals and
  • high-end automobiles.'
  • he also winked at brussels while the
  • german industry federation bdi increased

  • Trade Shock Ripple Effect on Fed & ECB
  • 4:17
  • the pressure by sharing the conclusion
  • that every 10% tariff means a 2.8%
  • contraction in german production in rome
  • georgia maloney tried to soften the
  • fried customs wall analogy used by her
  • coalition partner lagger but according
  • to the italian export agency database
  • she acknowledged that if all of trump's
  • tariffs come into effect a market worth
  • $3 billion in luxury food and beverages
  • alone would be at risk melany's economic
  • chief jan carlo georgetti said they were
  • ready for a clash saying 'if the us
  • offers to lift taxes on automobiles we
  • will keep procco and cheese on the
  • table.'
  • the stockholm front appeared calm at
  • first glance but foreign trade minister

  • 5:01
  • johan forcell emphasized at a morning
  • press conference that sweden's high-tech
  • machinery exports to the us exceed $18
  • billion so the supply chains of our

  • Germany, France, and Italy React to Export Risks
  • 5:11
  • companies from ericson to volvo trucks
  • will be directly affected we will fully
  • support the commission's package of
  • countermeasures
  • wall street welcomed the white house's
  • universal tariff plan as a second tax
  • cut but on the same day the federal open
  • market committee fomc minutes included
  • the statement that the external trade
  • shock will push up the inflation target
  • causing the 10-year treasury yield to
  • jump 14 basis points the peterson
  • institute simulation outlines three
  • scenarios based on the likelihood of
  • retaliation if the us sticks to high
  • tariffs plus retaliation the real gdp
  • will take a 1/3 hit in the first quarter
  • because import prices will rise by 10%
  • adding 130 basis points to core cpi the
  • fed will have to revise its policy rate

  • The Airbus Advantage and the Boeing Fallout
  • 6:00
  • upward by 2550 basis points this will
  • widen the mortgage coupon by 40 basis
  • points and the corporate bond spread by
  • 60 basis points brussels's retaliation
  • list is ready boeing's widebody aircraft
  • corn and soybeans from missouri and ohio
  • california almonds kentucky bourbon
  • tennessee guitars and hollywood digital
  • services in the micro shooting in 2018
  • the eu targeted precisely these products
  • sending a political signal to republican
  • states with selective taxes now the
  • announcement of total retaliation is
  • enlarging the picture because the eu
  • commission says it is a no holdsb barred
  • list even if it cannot access high-tech
  • and service items that account for 40%
  • of us exports the tax burden it will
  • impose on the agriculture aviation
  • alcohol trio will be enough to shake
  • global supply lines stretching from iowa
  • to tulus the airbus boeing dispute is

  • Green Subsidy Battle: EU Carbon Tariffs on U.S. EVs?
  • 6:56
  • moving to a new stage airbus predicts
  • that eu penalties will increase the list

  • 7:02
  • price that boeing charges its european
  • customers by 20 to 25% which will erode
  • its supply schedule boeing shares fell
  • 4.3% in the first hour of trading the
  • trump camp is arguing that international
  • companies will return i will defeat
  • inflation with corporate tax cuts and i
  • will finance growth through tariffs on
  • the other hand the fed's monetary policy
  • space against a high tariff
  • highinflation economy is narrowing
  • because it will have to absorb risky tax
  • cuts in terms of the budget deficit
  • while raising interest rates to curb
  • inflation fomc members have added a
  • scenario in their dot plot for 2025 q3
  • with a neutral interest rate raised to
  • 3.53.75
  • washington strategy circles say that the
  • mandatory dollar positive expectation is
  • strengthening however losses from the
  • exchange rate spread in exports could
  • wipe out gains from tariff increases the
  • first signal for integrated supply

  • Global Scenarios: From WTO to Supply Chain Collapse
  • 8:00
  • chains comes from the automotive sector
  • vw bmw and mercedes are transporting
  • parts to the us market from mixed
  • mexalei alabama lines 28% of the engine
  • and transmission subsystems used by
  • german manufacturers in assembly are
  • sourced from the eu a 10% universal
  • tariff has brought the german supply
  • chain to the point of a cost profit
  • break the ifo institute has published a
  • report stating that if the tariff wall
  • remains in place for months german
  • manufacturing will contract by 2.8%
  • the boomerang effect of trump's plan to
  • break price competition in exports to
  • the eu will turn into price increases
  • for american dealers and a cooling of
  • consumer demand this is a paradoxical
  • cycle that runs counter to the logic of
  • inflation control the hidden agenda of
  • brussels plan is the green subsidy file
  • the eu is preparing the eu industry
  • subsidy act net zero industry act in
  • response to the us inflation reduction
  • act of 2022 if a customs dispute breaks

  • 9:01
  • out brussels will put on the table the
  • cancellation of import subsidies for
  • green products i.e subjecting american
  • electric vehicles to the eu carbon
  • equivalent tax ali subjecting american
  • electric vehicles to an eu carbon

  • Final Outlook: Will Trade Diplomacy Stop the Spiral?
  • 9:16
  • equivalent tax this could add a carbon
  • footprint fee of $4,05,000
  • to the cost of tesla model y sales in
  • the eu the political message trump's
  • tariffs are not just a cure for the
  • trade deficit they will also hit
  • intrablock support barriers in the eu us
  • green industry race there are three
  • scenarios for the us trade
  • representative usrdg
  • trade dialogue to be held in washington
  • at the end of february first the us
  • leaves room for negotiation despite the
  • 10% threshold and grants flexibility to
  • the group of friendly countries second
  • the eu fixes the basic customs rate at
  • 15% and opens a wto panel in 2026 third
  • the flawed everyone loses spiral french

  • 10:02
  • economy minister bruno lame mer said
  • injecting a systemic shock into global
  • supply chains would raise global
  • inflation by 0.7 to 1% it would force
  • central banks to tighten interest rates
  • and push developing country debt into
  • crisis
  • in the short term the biggest pressure
  • will be seen in the us manufacturing
  • price index according to the chicago
  • fed's tariff price model in sectors
  • where the ratio of imported intermediate
  • goods is above 35% automotive white
  • goods electronics the producer price
  • shock will be 4% in the first 6 months
  • the impact on consumers will be 1 1.3%
  • although trump has proposed a second tax
  • package to rid inflation of the fed's
  • high interest rates low employment
  • squeeze it will be difficult to pass
  • congress as the budget deficit stands at
  • $1.8 trillion wall street cfos are
  • weighing the lesser of two evils a fixed
  • 10% tariff and limited eu retaliation or

  • 11:01
  • a chain of rhetorical battles if the eu
  • implements its retaliation package us
  • aviation exports will decline by $15
  • billion
  • boeing's 2024 av booktoill ratio could
  • fall to 0.8
  • 8.5 billion worth of soybeans and corn
  • will be lost in agricultural exports in
  • energy the eu will renegotiate winter
  • contracts as the spot prime for lng
  • contracts will rise paying the price for
  • replacing us gas with russian gas
  • summary table the trump doctrine carries
  • the risk of starting with 10 points and
  • ending with a 40point cold war if the
  • eu's mega retaliation decision becomes
  • final and china and mexico join in 68%
  • of us imports will be subject to
  • retaliatory measures working economic
  • math producer price index plus two
  • points core cpi plus 0.8 points funding
  • rate plus 150 basis points unemployment
  • pleasure 0.4 four points total factor
  • productivity tfp 0.3 points brussels

  • 12:03
  • final warning diplomacy is still on the
  • table but if the white house does not
  • count the names of the exemption window
  • a multis- sector battle beyond the steel
  • aluminum chapter is inevitable as
  • companies on both sides of the atlantic
  • rewrite their cost schedules the next
  • wave of global inflation is waiting in
  • the wings in the shadow of tariffs what
  • are your thoughts on this matter please
  • share your opinions in the comments
  • section to stay updated on new videos
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