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RUSSIA VIEW OF JASON JAY SMART ... JUNE 1ST, 2025 JasonJaySmart - Daily Update: Inside Russia’s War Machine: Why Putin’s Strategy Is Backfiring PLAY YOUTUBE VIDEO Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=auRkU54iT2I Peter Burgess COMMENTARY Peter Burgess
Inside Russia’s War Machine: Why Putin’s Strategy Is Backfiring - Daily Update Jason Jay Smart Premiered Jun 1, 2025 72K subscribers ... 51,368 views ... 4.7K likes For years, Vladimir Putin portrayed Russia as a global power—militarily unstoppable, economically untouchable, and politically unified. But the war in Ukraine is exposing the truth: Russia is bleeding soldiers, bankrupting its economy, and battling chaos inside the Kremlin itself. In this in-depth breakdown, Jason Jay Smart dissects how battlefield failures, crippling sanctions, and open defiance from Wagner and beyond are accelerating the collapse of Putin’s regime. Backed by verified data, leaked documents, and authoritative sources, this video traces the unraveling of Moscow’s war machine—and what history tells us comes next. ⚠️ Subscribe now for clear, fact-based reporting on Russia, Ukraine, and global security. Follow Dr. Jason Smart: YouTube: / @jasonjaysmart Substack: JasonJaySmart.substack.com X: x.com/OfficeJJSmart Facebook Personal: Facebook.com/JasonJaySmart Facebook Work: Facebook.com/OfficeJJSmart LinkedIn: Linkedin.com/in/JasonJaySmart Mastodon: @OfficeJJSmart@DefenseOfLiberty.Social BlueSky: Bsky.app/profile/JJSmart.bsky.social Web: JasonJaySmart.com Transcript 0:01 so is Russia winning in Ukraine well let's consider this since November 2023 Russia suffered over 615,000 casualties plus another 50,000 deserters and what did Russia gain russia gained a strip of farmland that's smaller than Los Angeles County California so during that same period of time to protect these Olympic gains Russia has lost about 3,600 main battle tanks that's more than the entire 0:34 inventory of all European NATO countries 0:37 combined currently Russia's burning 0:40 through about 1,500 soldiers every 0:42 single day just to maintain control so how is Russia winning back home on the homeland well real inflation is probably close to 27% though the central bank says it's only 11% the key interest rate at the central 1:01 banks about 21% currently and about a million people have fled the country currently about 40% of the federal budget is going to the war and to repression it's certainly not going to the schools or the hospitals or the dire infrastructure in the country none of these are signs of a resurgent superpower in fact they're the unmistakable signs of a regime that is in terminal decline so for all this sacrifice hundreds of thousands of lives lost the economic collapse the global isolation what has Russia actually gained that's the kicker since 2022 Russia has not expanded in Ukraine it has lost territory so what began as a war of conquest has turned to a very slow motion retreat militarily economically and 2:01 morally but how do we get here andrea Saharov the Soviet dissident and Nobel Prize winner said that quote 'A state that does not respect the rights of its own people will not respect the rights of its neighbors such a state becomes a danger to everyone.' And we see that Putin's Russia is clearly that danger not just for Ukraine not just for Europe but to itself incredibly Vladimir Putin who when he began the war against Ukraine said he was liberating Russian speakers amongst other lies has become the single greatest threat to Russian speakers anywhere on the earth no one not NATO not Ukraine has killed more Russian speakers in the 21st century than Putin in fact in all of history Putin ranks second to Stalin in the number of 3:00 Russian speakers that he has killed or maimed my name is Jason Smart i'm a special correspondent for the KEF Post and I spent two decades studying authoritarian regimes including the Putin regime which banned me for life in 2010 for being a threat to the state security so today I'll show you through hard data and historical parallels exactly why it is that the Putin regime won't survive it will collapse and it's tumbling down the road in that direction so right before we begin please like and subscribe doing so helps me get my message out to more people about the truth about the Putin regime thank you so let's look at the numbers in 2024 russia spent $149 billion on its military which is a 38% jump but the really intriguing statistic that's 7.1% of its GDP the highest amount since 1979 during the Soviet 4:01 Afghan war and history tells us something about that no regime has burnt through more than 7% of its GDP and lasted for very long countries throughout history whether it was the Germans the Soviet Union it was Yugoslavia under Malloic decided to spend huge amounts on their military in the end it was not sustainable in the end getting involved in wars in foreign countries or with their neighbors didn't work out well for them it was a bad idea overmilitarization leads to economic strain it leads to isolation and eventually it will lead to collapse and today over 35% of Russia's industrial output is war related whether it's the tanks the drones the small arms but even the war machine is on shaky grounds in fact a 2023 report from Moscow's higher school of economics said so it said that 70% of Russia's tech is still import dependent so despite what Putin says this is not it's strategic 5:03 dependency disguised as self-reliance and that's why when we take an example let's say the drones which Russia always brags about as being a great technological success it ignores the fact that the drones were actually designed by Iranians in Iran but Russia who today claims that produces about 100 Shahed drones doesn't like to admit the fact that 82% of their parts are imported or that between March and May 2025 out of the nearly 8,000 drones sent to attack Ukraine only 12.5% hit their targets and it wasn't modern technology that took down most of the drones quite often what takes down the drones are cold war era anti-aircraft guns so how much does Russia lose every time it loses a drone it loses about $50,000 for something that on average stays in the air about 15 6:00 minutes this is not innovation it's economic self-sabotage burning billions of dollars for battlefield illusions but the illusions are in fact the greatest vulnerability it's not just the balance sheet of what we see in the battlefield the greatest vulnerability of the Putin regime is psychological it's internal because the Putin regime doesn't just manufacture lies it also believes its own lies so as Vakov Havo warned the lie becomes the pillar of the system until even its authors live inside of it and Putin lives in a delusion of invincibility why doesn't he want to negotiate with the United States why doesn't he want to sit down at the table putin believes laws he truly believes that his country is doing great people 7:02 around him restrict the flow of information which allows them to maintain their power and their influence and thereby he makes very bad decisions including continuing to prosecute a war that is bankrupting his nation and is destroying his military but externally we see other signs clear signs that Vladimir Putin is not invincible that forever that illusion that myth was shed shattered and I can tell you the specific day that it occurred is on June 23rd 2023 when 25,000 Wagner fighters led by Pragosian seized the Russian city of Rusttovant during that period of time as you recall they shot down a Russian aircraft and they marched within 200 kilometers of Moscow and why this was such a historic event was not just the fact that there was a mutiny which is a big 8:02 deal it was because it was a collapse of fear it demonstrated that nobody came out to support Putin the Russian National Guard didn't stop Pogosian's people the Russian military didn't stop Pogosian's people the Russian police didn't stop Pogosian's people senior leadership of the Russian military when they met with Pragoian drank coffee with him on the street there's videos of it and they said you know you really shouldn't do this this isn't a good idea come on you know it's not the right thing to do they certainly did not call in an air strike on Preos though they saw him coming they knew where he was hours in advance they did nothing to stop him not the Chetchins not the air force not the army it's because they weren't sure if perhaps Pragoian would succeed and Pregoian would take power and replace Putin so are you going to really go after the 9:01 guy who might be your new boss probably not but there's something else very important about preosion that we do not often talk about precosion had been saying for the weeks leading up to this and it's something that's very much so in the consciousness of the Russian public pregosian had said that the Kremlin didn't care about its soldiers and it was using them as meat so he was complaining that this was not just a military problem but a moral one that there is so much corruption the senior leadership of the Russian military and the defense that the Russian soldiers were suffering as a result he was accusing the Putin regime though he didn't talk about Putin directly he did talk about everyone around him who's on TV seven days a week as being morally vacant as not serving the interests of their 10:01 own people of their own soldiers who are dying needlessly in a war so this moral emptiness is something that Yuri Bismanov talked about yuri Bismanov was a Soviet defector and he gave a wide number of interviews which you can find on YouTube where he says amongst other things that a KGB state collapses not from war but from within due to moral implosion and I think if we look at what's happening today in Russia if you're a Russian you would see moral implosion and we see that Russians are not happy by the way that things are going just in the recent weeks over 2 million Russians 7% of the workforce have defaulted on their credit card debts apartments near the Ukrainian border in Belgrade which is a major city have decreased 32% value these people 11:00 aren't really convinced that the Russian government can maintain control sovereignty over its own territory they're afraid that the Ukrainians might invade Russia and take the land since the war began despite decades of the Russian government spending money to increase the birth rate because it's so drastically bad currently the birth rate has actually dropped another 13% since the invasion began none of these things are fluctuations they're terminal symptoms want to hear something incredible putin during his quarter of a century ruling Russia chose not to build a nation we see that he robbed the nation of its wealth he stole its future he crushed the society but Putin like the despots before him will soon learn a hard truth which is that you can ban the books you can jail the reporters you can bomb the cities but ultimately you can't arrest the 12:01 inflation you can't bomb your way to economic growth no matter how many people you kill it will not make you legitimate and what we see in today's Russia is exactly that so though the truth is banned and reality has been totally rewritten rewritten it doesn't change the fact that Putin's war machine simply was not built to win it was built to survive but currently we see that it's neither winning nor is it surviving but the good news history and all the data point only in one direction which is that Putin's regime won't quietly retire in exile it will end and I'll end the in crisis and it will end from within so in the days ahead we'll take a deep dive into how Putin's regime was built why it was built with such significant structural problems that will fail and how this final dramatic 13:02 chapter is likely to unfold so if you'd want to follow that journey with me please like and subscribe as always thank you and thank you for supporting Ukraine

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