Trump’s Tariff Tantrum | The Coffee Klatch with Robert Reich
Robert Reich
Premiered Apr 5, 2025
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The Coffee Klatch with Robert Reich
- How much damage will Trump's trade wars cause?
- What are Republicans hiding in their new budget plan?
- And what can Wisconsin and Florida tell us about the 2026 midterms?
- Heather and I answer this week's biggest questions on today's Coffee Klatch.
The Coffee Klatch with Robert Reich
Robert Reich
Transcript
- 0:00
- and it is the Saturday coffee clutch with Heather Loft House and yours truly Robert Rich and Heather it is so lovely
- to see you another terrible week but you are the highlight of my terrible week
- wow Bob ditto I don't really believe you or it's even lower than I thought no no
- it's been Well it's been a You know I I don't know how about how you feel but
- every time I wake up and I look at the news and probably I shouldn't do this
- but I I I'm shocked i I just everything I you know I'm prepared i'm stealed for
- the worst but it's just it continues to shock me this administration this regime
- which which wake up i mean I'm waking up so many times yeah you know and I feel like I've said I'm a seven but I think
- the seven is the outside shell and inside the shell is like a sweating crying three
- anyway so what are we what are we going to talk about today what what's the what's the high what are the highlights
- 1:05
- of the week that you would like to explore and some low lights i have to do it okay so let's do People are getting
- fired up let's talk about that trump's terrible tariffs where the budget stands people are getting fired and they're
- getting fired up yeah both yeah well exactly says the former Secretary of Labor so yes so let's get into it let's
- start with today is a day of peaceful protest and 250,000 people at least are
- getting out in all 50 states um so that's good to see right that's that's a
- very very important i I think you know this word solidarity that is thrown
- around all the time is very important uh for people's morale for just a sense of
- of of steadiness to know that there are many other people out there who share our values uh that there that there are
- huge numbers of people who are as upset and as disoriented and depressed uh as
- 2:03
- as we are by what's what's happening uh to this country and around the world uh
- so that that's one reason why uh these protests are so important and that
- reminds me of Cy Booker this week who stood up on the Senate floor for 25
- hours and 5 minutes beating STM Thurman's record who had spoken out spoken out against the Civil Rights Act
- of 1957 so this was you know it had some
- important larger pictures sorry I just I think it was incredibly important for Cy Booker to do
- this because it it just showed that speaking out uh and he did it you know people are not paying attention to what
- he said he actually and I watched part of it and it was such a direct assault on Donald Trump uh that I think he gave
- gives other people courage uh indirectly um I by the way uh Stum Thurman did I
- 3:00
- ever tell you my story about St thurman i don't know if you did I want you to retell it i'm going to lie and say no
- well I'll do it very very briefly we got into an elevator this was years ago i was secretary of of labor and uh he was
- there and he said 'Mr secretary,' he was about 100 years old he said 'Mr secretary I I like your suit.' Uh do
- they make that in an adult size he was not don't believe that Bob
- he was What was your response i thought you handled it beautifully he was Well I just said 'Uh I don't know Senator.' And
- then I left the elevator he was such a jerk that's not a nice thing to say
- about somebody who has passed but he really was but that is a horrible thing to say to someone i mean are you kid
- talk about a bully um in terms of he was a bully and he was a a racist among
- other things we know this hence he was on the floor for 24 hours talking racistly um so but the other thing about
- Cy Booker I think it's important to note that he did this live it went live on Tik Tok when he hit the 24-hour mark
- 4:03
- there were already a 100 million likes but it's at last I looked it was over 350 million likes and I think his tone
- is so important it wasn't anger it was a tone I think of unity um and also
- sadness i mean it was kind of solemn and so I do think it had that unifying
- um effect and people were looking about it even though some people online were saying 'Oh so self- serving and oh is he
- a politician?' It turns out he is a politician not only is he a politician but he's a very good politician uh and
- coming up with this idea you know I'm sure a lot of people in his staff said 'Oh you can't do it it's just going to
- be crazy it's going to be look like a a carnival act.' But what's important is
- that it did make the point um it made the point that that there there is a a
- sense of outrage about what is happening in this country uh and you can talk for
- 5:00
- 25 hours or 26 hours about it and you can get huge numbers of people i mean
- how many did you just said 255 million 350 likes at least 350
- yeah i mean that's extraordinary numbers uh talk about a demonstration uh well
- this is important this is important for people to know it's important for people to see it's important for for people to
- assimilate so big numbers kudos to Cory Booker in other big numbers tariffs i
- mean where do we begin i'm so excited to be having coffee with you in particular you've talked about tariffs for years
- listen here's the thing that is just so staggering uh you know since this over
- this week uh American corporations have lost over $3
- trillion in their valuations i mean how
- Heather I mean $3 trillion in the valuations of American corporations and you're not even talking about the stock
- 6:03
- market and you're not even talking about other things well we're talking about their market valuations totally going
- down by $3.1 trillion uh this is this is so much more than Trump is talking about
- um saving money so he can give this big uh tax cut to the wealthy i mean this is
- a gigantic uh problem for it's a problem for American companies it's a huge
- problem for retirees who've put their money in the stock market it's a problem for anybody who's put their money in the
- stock market uh it's it's just a it it it it shows how stupid I mean just
- incompetent this administration is the tariffs okay so he comes out with this piece of cardboard right and it has all
- the numbers on it where they've used ridiculous one numerator one denominator
- tada here's our number all the same across all different countries um same
- 7:00
- calculations i mean this process is in I mean it's a ter terribly
- designed economically speaking Heather the word is bonkers now bonkers
- is a good word uh it's used in England a lot in the UK uh but it's bonkers the
- the there was no process here as far as I can tell i think he I I think they must have just thrown numbers up into
- the air um and maybe yeah the chat GPT they said well
- if if a if a country has this much trade deficit with the United States what
- should be the reciprocal quote unquote reciprocal tariff on that country it's
- absurd uh and it's going to hurt a lot of people it's going to hurt a lot of
- people in this country because they're going to pay huge amounts more the typical American family the best estimate I've
- seen is about $4,000 this year the typical American
- 8:02
- family $4,000 more in terms of what it buys uh but it's a regressive tax uh
- because the the poor family the the family that is workingass is going to pay a much larger percentage of its
- income that $4,000 means a much bigger percentage of income than it does to
- Elon Musk uh or or Jeff Bezos it it you know you you couldn't have contrived
- anything that is cruer and and and stupider i mean really cruel and stupid
- but he gets the award why why is he doing it uh well uh I that's a very very good
- question here's what he says he he says he says he's doing it because he wants
- um all of these companies the world global companies to make stuff in the United States and it's going to be
- cheaper for them to make stuff in the United States than to make it in China or wherever they're making it and try to
- 9:02
- send it to the United States because sending it to the United States means you have big a big tariff the problem is
- uh the re I mean this is so ludicrous uh a lot of companies a are not going to do
- this uh they it's simply not worth the the the money that it's going to cost to
- create a new factory in the United States especially when you don't know what Donald Trump is going to do 3
- months from now or or six years from now i was going to say the timeline to build Oh you're going to build a factory
- tonight yes you have to That's right it takes time and a lot of effort and a lot
- of planning to build a factory you're not going to do it if you if you think circumstances may change and they will
- change uh especially with this administration uh secondly uh you're not
- going to get great jobs out of just building a factory uh the reason in the 1960s and 70s and 80s we had terrific
- 10:03
- factory jobs in this country is because labor unions labor unions were active
- and they gave workers a great deal of leverage in bargaining for higher wages
- in those factories um American workers don't have that leverage any longer uh
- the uh percentage of the workforce unionized in in American manufacturing
- is very very tiny uh and and and besides you're going to have so much technology
- and you're going to have artificial intelligence uh you're going to have so much kind of machinery in those
- factories i'll be surprised if there are any jobs uh that are being created the
- whole thing is is just nuts can I just say yeah nuts or bonkers it's bunker
- well it's bunkers and nuts bunkers and nuts so you talk about Smoot Holly and the last time we had huge tariffs it led
- to disastrous results in the economy there was not a war going on that we are
- 11:03
- responding to this feels self-inflicted but not only that it's feels like it's
- been telegraphed i mean this are we I mean we say we look at the news and we're surprised and I agree with that
- but these pe the Wall Street right isn't their main job to assess risk and to
- build models to look at where things could go up or down i mean how how did
- we not we not anticipate this well this is sort of another this is another 2008
- in terms of a Wall Street meltdown uh or could be uh but uh no I think you you
- put your finger on it just now there was no national emergency here i I mean and
- this goes for everything Trump is doing you know his Trump is the national emergency he is the national emergency
- you know the his his mass uh deportations using uh a part of a law
- 12:00
- that comes from uh you know from 1798 when you had a war on it's a kind
- of a wartime act um and then uh all of these tariffs that he's applying he's
- using another wartime emergency uh act to give him justification to do
- this all this is all wartime emergency stuff and Heather I don't know if you've
- noticed it but I didn't notice that there was a wartime emergency before Trump took office i mean he's he's
- creating chaos and he's creating emergency but there was not an emergency
- there was not chaos there is now and it's the world order it's it's so much
- larger than us and trade is a two-way street i mean this is not going to end
- well it's already a trade war i mean this is the war this is a war you want a war we have a trade war china the China
- 13:01
- has already retaliated putting huge tariffs on American goods mostly farm
- products that are coming into China well what's going to happen to the agricultural sector the Midwest i mean
- they're going to need a lot of help uh and then at the same time you have Europe and Europe is going to put some
- uh recip kind of reciprocal uh tariffs on us uh there's no end to it this is
- Smoot Holly you said it before this is 1930 that smooth holly that tariff which
- was a generalized tariff what what what Trump is doing uh really made uh the the
- Great Depression much worse uh it hastened the Great Depression now I'm not predicting a great depression but
- Trump wants an emergency he loves an emergency an emergency gives him more
- power this is all about his power so it's affecting as you said the world
- 14:01
- order the rule of law democracy Wall Street Main Street our collective
- consciousness our sleep patterns but does it feel I mean it does feel
- like there is a response that's beginning to happen you've said when these big catastrophic things happen
- people have to look at how the system was broken in a way that's different than how they might have looked at it as
- it was broken without all of this that that is the
- silver lining I keep going back to uh that Trump is breaking everything in a
- way uh that makes people go back to first principles and say 'Wait a minute who's the economy for is it for the CEOs
- is it for the billionaires or should it be for me and if it's for me what kind of economy do I want and what kind of
- economy should I support and it's forcing Democrats uh to re-evaluate what
- they're doing it's even forcing some Republicans i I don't know if you watched uh this week I think one of the
- 15:05
- biggest news items was that several Republicans in the Senate pushed back against Trump's tariffs against Canada
- canada terry what do you how are you penalizing why are you penalizing Canada
- it's almost uh it's almost like a joke but Republicans in the Senate are not
- taking it as a joke they are starting to mobilize against Trump uh and in all
- sorts of ways I think the demonstrations today are very important cy Booker very
- important uh what uh I mean AOC and uh and and Bernie Sanders have been doing
- and they're going to be doing more of it uh the next stop is one week from today in Los Angeles in Los Angeles that's
- right and it's it's it's important for them to do this anti- oligarchic tour uh
- because people have to understand that the American oligarchy the billionaires
- 16:05
- are really running a lot of America uh their big money is polluting our
- politics so again back to basics back to basics one thing you and I like to do is
- debunk myths too was the having these trade deficits so catastrophic i mean
- they're trying to spin and say h the trade deficits i mean we had to get in and handle these to debunk that is very
- easy uh trade deficit all trade deficit means is that another country is selling us more than we sell to it uh now if
- another country wants to keep our dollars uh and and continue to sell us more than we sell to it in one way you
- might say well that's pretty generous of of that country i mean it's it's not
- clear that a trade deficit is all bad a trade deficit in those terms might be
- quite good uh and you know the imbalance is just in the words uh if uh if a
- 17:03
- country is going to continue to sell us more than we sell to it eventually I
- suppose the value of the dollar could suffer uh but uh you know let let's not
- assume that all trade deficits are bad just because they're called deficits
- i know and then of course we have to look back because history repeats itself we know this all too well now in Trump
- 1.0 um his first term he had the trade
- representative fine the trade representative had a chief of staff that chief of staff is now the trade
- representative today that's Greer Jameson Greer and we have to recall that there was a study that came out that
- showed not surprisingly that certain corporations who requested exemptions
- from tariffs in Trump's first term then of course got the exemptions because
- which ones got the exemptions who were approved out of thousands applying many who had given to the GOP so this is this
- 18:06
- is a very important point Heather uh that all of these moves whether we're talking about the trades and tariff or
- we're talking about uh how Trump is approaching universities or how Trump is is dealing with big law firms i mean
- he's basically extorting uh concessions uh from them and and those concessions
- could next week or next month uh be turned into what uh some money i mean
- he's already the big law firms are already saying 'Okay we're going to give you hundreds of of of of millions of
- dollars of pro boner work.' What does that mean i you see I mean Trump deals
- in power and money those are the only languages he understands his entire
- economic policy the entire economic policy of the Trump administration comes down to three things one is a big tax
- 19:03
- cut for the wealthy and they think they're going to get it because they put
- they put so much money into the Trump campaign and they continue to put money into Trump businesses so they want that
- tax cut and that's what they think they are owed and Trump is is certainly
- trying to do that uh the second thing is cuts in programs that people need i mean
- social security and Medicaid and veterans affairs i mean these programs
- are hugely important to people uh and Trump is just is just laying off
- enormous numbers of staff for each of these programs so the the programs cannot function and the third piece of
- all of this is the tariffs and you put them all together the tax cuts for the wealthy and the program cuts that are
- going to hurt working people and the poor and the tariffs that are really
- going to be a regressive tax on working people and the poor and what do you get you get a huge
- 20:06
- redistribution hidden secret upward from average working people to Trump's
- cronies that's what this is all about and the misinformation that's out there
- saying that is not what's happening and how this is going to get so much money back into the pockets of the working
- class is incredible the videos that are out there going around that also Trump is putting out on Truth Social well it's
- it's propaganda i mean let's let's talk about this is agit prop this is this is stuff that you know was developed in
- Nazi Germany uh they knew the big lie if you keep on telling people over and over and over they will eventually believe it
- unless there is somebody on the other side who has a bigger or at least as big
- a megaphone and this is why it's so important what Bernie and AOC are doing and Cy Booker and others to just get the
- 21:01
- truth out right right so can we talk a little bit more about where the budget
- stands um so the Senate has said 'Here is our version of the budget it has
- fewer cuts and now we're all going to vote so what are we looking for what's going to happen well there's something
- called reconciliation uh
- reconciliation is a is a process i mean it's it's arcane and now it feels kind
- of arcane you can get a bill through the Senate without a filibuster without
- needing 60 votes for a closure uh and that's what the Republicans are trying
- to do and what Trump wants to do to get his big tax cut through uh and reconciliation is a process that um he
- they're going to try to do this tax cut on uh but the question is you know what
- what does the parliamentarian of the Senate think about this uh you have to go through a lot of hoops to get
- 22:01
- reconciliation uh tell us about the parliamentarian we don't talk enough about the Senate parliamentarian we
- don't talk because nobody thinks about the Senate parl the Senate parliamentarian usually doesn't have any
- power at all but in something like this the parliamentarian really is very important because the parliamentarians
- can say to the Republicans no you can't use reconciliation unless you do X Y and
- Z uh and that's why the Republicans are all everybody's looking at the parliamentarian right now you know every
- every what every three to eight years the parliamentarian becomes very important yeah exactly so here we have
- um this budget happening um I thought I read something in the New York Times so
- you've talked about this that there is so we just talked about some magical math around the tariffs that was kind of
- not sophisticated enough to put it nicely now we have different math happening here with the budget where
- 23:00
- everyone's saying 'Oh you know tax cuts are what are we talking about?' Can you talk a little bit about the tricks
- they're trying to pull as it relates to the way they're spinning the budget well this is also important in terms of the
- process in the Senate uh and in the House because you have something called a budget uh and the uh the the House and
- the Senate the House and the Senate do something that's called scoring which means basically they are uh looking at
- how much a tax cut in this case is going to cost uh over the next years uh what
- Trump did uh for the first tax cut is say okay the window we're going to look
- at costs are only is only 10 years and this is going to cost $4
- trillion over 10 years didn't look didn't look beyond 10 years didn't say okay over 15 years over 20 30 40 years
- no just 10 years uh and then we come to
- the second Trump tax cut uh and what the Republicans and Trump want to do is say
- 24:08
- uh you have to use as the basis as the status quo from which you measure the
- future cost of this next the second the big tax cut you've got to use as the
- baseline where we are right now in other words forget this $4 trillion $4
- trillion is going to evaporate uh the new cost of the new tax cut is going to
- be $4.5 trillion so that the total cost of both tax cuts no never add them
- together the Republicans say i mean this is insane this is insane there was this
- great there was this great New York Times article in the Upshot it was a couple weeks ago and so um these two
- reporters Marggo Sangeratz and Alicia Parapiano asked different
- 25:00
- economists to explain how this works for us okay so there were two that I liked that were particularly helpful okay
- imagine it's like this your daughter's graduating from college you've been paying for her education so you're
- expecting to have a big improvement in your budget however after graduation your daughter announces that there's no
- need for her to go find a job since covering her expenses is just a continuation of current policy it's just
- That's right just a continuation it's just the status quo so just keep on keep on paying me right and that was Michael
- Peterson who did that one and then this one is um Jessica RLE who said so it's
- like this basically imagine last year despite being deeply in debt I bought a
- $100,000 sports car so next year buying another $100,000 sports dollar sports
- car is not irresponsible because I'm merely spending the same amount as I did last year see and if I purchase only a
- $70,000 sports car then I should be congratulated for reducing my spending my 700 I mean by 30,000 i mean what
- 26:01
- these but that's that's what it is these show how crazy uh these these ideas of
- scoring these Republican ideas are but also they take no account of the def the
- deficit the budget deficit and the and the debt i mean they are going to be
- huge and again Heather just to put this in context Trump is saying that the
- United States is going to get so much money in from these tariffs uh that we
- can afford to spend uh essentially spend a lot of money on these tax cuts uh but
- that can't be right i mean the ma the mathematics doesn't work uh no
- mathematics does these are I don't know if you remember uh in the Reagan administration they talked about magic
- asterisks do you remember that phrase i do i remember it being referenced i was too young at the time well uh David
- 27:00
- Stockman uh you know as as in charge of the budget he said that well it's these
- these are magic asterisks don't worry about the asterisks in this budget
- it's just the same thing this is even more magic uh and it and it doesn't work
- and it doesn't work and some people say 'Okay Trump is a businessman he must know what he's doing he's a failed
- businessman he failed at every business he's ever he's ever entered.' That's it
- it's so important and we from Inequality Media Civic Action put a video out about that and we got such a huge response on
- TikTok by people saying in the comments 'I actually didn't know this this is news to me.' That kind of thing because
- he is a good con man the greatest conmen in history uh are are are able to not
- only lie but lie in such a way that people forget their own memory i mean
- they they forget that things that are already they've registered i mean everybody knows uh they must know that
- 28:04
- Trump was a failure but they don't really register it everybody knows that the first tax cut was a huge failure in
- terms of nothing trickling down to average working people remember he said $4,000 would trickle down to the average
- working people well no most of the benefits of the tax cut went to the very
- wealthiest people in the United States and nothing trickled down and he's doing the same thing again
- okay speaking of this has been the first coffee clot we've had in months where we
- haven't mentioned and I have to ruin it Elon Musk oh can we Sorry can we talk
- about what happened in Wisconsin this week you you take it away oh well the big big deal I mean Elon Musk u he sunk
- uh a bunch of his money i mean a rounding error million to somebody who who is that's right a rounding error to
- somebody who's uh the richest person in the world uh he's not getting into this race for the uh justice the Supreme
- 29:08
- Court the person who's going to be the swing vote on the Supreme Court uh and
- uh he lost and the Democrat or the liberal won uh Susan and uh yeah and and
- Susan Crawford won by a big margin 10 points which is a very very big margin
- um and particularly if you've got all that money on the other side it turns out that Elon Musk himself figured into
- the election a lot of people at Wisconsin and bless you Wisconsinites uh
- you said 'No if Elon Musk is trying to rig this election uh for Shiml I'm not
- going to vote for Shiml i'm going to vote for Susan Crawford.' And that's what a lot of people did i think Elon Musk u the odor of Musk is is going to
- become such a negative and is already such a negative political odor uh that a
- 30:02
- lot of candidates are going to say no so the odor of Musk yeah it's interesting and it's interesting to see people say
- well he was only coming to DC for six months anyway but he'll still have it's been there's been a change this week
- that has been fascinating to watch um and it was it was a blow to him i mean
- 10 points there were record-breaking um turnouts in so many different
- counties across the state you saw that New York Times image of how everyone moved left to the blue i mean all the
- counties did every county in in Wisconsin uh and actually Tuesday was a very important day also in Florida uh
- because uh the Republicans were counting on getting both of these special elections they did but by very tiny
- margins i mean margin margins that are much smaller than the margins that Trump
- took these districts by uh which means that the entire Republican party ought
- to right now understand that not only is Musk a huge liability but there are no
- 31:05
- coattails with Trump he is also becoming a liability right it was these two ruby
- red districts um in Florida and the Democrats overperformed which is terrifi
- terrific to see and the margins by which the Republicans won were way less than
- Trump's you know 30 points over in November i think they were 14 um
- something around you know half that so that was fascinating to see and Heather
- this was all before uh uh Trump you know his tariffs and the meltdown of the
- stock market and the you know I mean can you imagine if those elections were held
- next Tuesday i know it i know it uh it's so horrific watching it all Bob it
- really is it's terrible can Wait a minute before can I just say something before you say it's terrible i agree
- with you it's terrible but going back to the first point you made at the beginning of our discussion uh it
- 32:06
- reveals uh all of this terribleness reveals to many people who did not see what the
- oligarchy was doing in America many people didn't see uh the uh the
- consequences of having so much wealth in the hands of so few people uh many
- people didn't see the the the the money uh that was corrupting and is corrupting
- our politics now they have no excuse not to see it they see it and there will be
- a reckoning you've told us and this feels like the beginning of a response
- um that we're watching and it feels good to see other people paying attention
- feeling fired up so kudos to everyone who's keeping the fight up for democracy
- and our public services right yes and many many many people I I I just want to
- 33:01
- say many people who are watching many of you out there you are demonstrating you are keeping you know you you're jamming
- the White House and the capital switchboards you are protecting vulnerable pe vulnerable people in your
- communities uh you are you are being more activist than you've ever been in your lives and I salute you and as I'm
- sure does Heather uh it is because of you uh that the tide is beginning to
- turn that's it someone sent me So Val Kilmer who was a beloved actor died this
- week many people saw that obviously and mourned his uh passing and someone sent
- us this clip which was funny because it's your son Sam talking about growing
- up with you as a dad and what it meant to grow up with a Secretary of Labor as
- a dad and one of the perks was getting to go to a movie premiere can we watch this cuz it's actually kind of funny to
- hear him talk about you thank you for letting us do it when we were in Washington the few trappings of that
- that I really appreciated were Hollywood pieces like we went to the premiere of
- 34:08
- Batman Forever for this story to make sense you have to understand that like all I understood about politics was what my dad brought home he was secretary of
- labor for Clinton and I knew that N gingrich was like the enemy okay that's
- what I knew so it was after the premiere of Batman Forever and someone says Bob to my dad and dad turns around and
- there's N so he turns around and says this is my son Sam and I fold my arms
- and I turn Wow people have traced that back to now
- the divide begins yeah he started partisanship it all happened at Batman forever do you remember that screening
- yes I do and that was that was the beginning of Sam's activism it may be the end of Sam's activism too i was
- embarrassed i mean I I could not I was Secretary of Labor i could not turn my back on New King but there he was at the
- 35:00
- age of nine sam did so good well thank you for letting us
- play that and Heather thank you uh you are just uh a a font of uh of energy and
- wisdom and clarity and I really appreciate you as my as my partner in in
- crime here and in inequality media civic action that is so lovely of you thank
- you it is true and and and for those of you out there uh I just want to thank
- you again for your activism your tenacity uh your uh your willingness to
- go through all of this with us uh because it's not easy and it's uh it's
- that's saying it in a in a very nice and modest way uh let me also uh hasten to
- thank uh Michael Lahanos Calderon uh and Naomi Bradford uh for their uh enormous
- and very important help in getting this uh coffee clutch to you and uh the
- entire staff of Inequality Media Civic Action that continues to make sure we
- get the truth out thanks [Music]
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