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US ELECTION 2024 TIGHT ... BUT HARRIS HAS A BETTER PLATFORM! Republik: Kamala Harris SKYROCKETS In BOMBSHELL FINAL POLLS 2024 Election Map Projection PLAY YOUTUBE VIDEO Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gEmf1CGVM94 Peter Burgess COMMENTARY There is a lot of GOP 'red' on the map! A lot of this 'red' does not mean a lot of GOP voters because many of these States have very low population densities and small populations. Ever since I first watched American elections and the associated media reporting, I was bothered by the confidence of reporters in what to me was unbelievably weak statistical analysis. When I first archived this map ... just before the Election on November 5th, I was still quite confident that Kamala Harris would win, and even win by a big margin if not a full landslide. Why was I so wrong? Why were almost all the political pundits wrong? I don't have a good answer to this question ... except perhaps to lambast the whole of the media in the United States for allowing itself to be so poor at its core job of informing the public. The media does this very poorly ... and it has been getting worse year over year for a very large number of years! Peter Burgess
Kamala Harris SKYROCKETS In BOMBSHELL FINAL POLLS 2024 Election Map Projection Republik 31.2K subscribers Nov 4, 2024 No description has been added to this video. Transcript 0:00 just one day after a shocking poll out of Iowa shifted The Narrative new surveys have dropped another bombshell revealing a decisive lead for one candidate in multiple Battleground states with the stakes higher than ever and election day just hours away this last minute data has completely upended expectations sending one campaign in a frenzy record-breaking turnout only intensifies the suspense with these late shifts making this presidential race one for the history books be sure to watch this video all the way through as the map will look totally different from anything that I've shown before now let's break down the polls and examine how this development might shape the final outcome I'll start right away with one of the shocking polls this one out of North Carolina the state has emerged as one of the most closely watched Battlegrounds in this election the New York Times sucher Sienna poll shows Harris holding a two-point Edge creating a surprising change to tilt blue just a day from the election this is a State 1:00 Trump won by 4% in 2016 and by 1% in 2020 early voting numbers further highlight the Race's uniqueness nearly 4.5 million ballots have already been cast with Republicans at 33% Democrats right behind at 32% and 35% falling into the other category High turnout among Core Democratic groups hence at a rare opportunity for Harris to turn North Carolina blue for the first time in 16 years a shift that would deal a huge blow to Trump's electoral map before we continue don't forget to hit the like button and subscribe to stay up to date on everything related to the 2024 election we'll be posting a new video every day until election day and be sure to drop a comment with the state you're from and which candidate has your vote can't wait to see where everyone stands going to the West Coast in Washington Harris holds a substantial 19point Advantage firmly positioning the state as solid blue Washington's deep rooted Democratic leanings and history of 2:00 support keep it securely in Harris's column further down in Oregon Harris sustains a strong double-digit lead placing it confidently in the likely blue category this stable margin reinforces Harris's foothold on the west coast contributing to a consistent Democratic alignment throughout the region in California where Harris has long-standing political ties she commands a 24-point lead underscoring the state's solid blue status California's steadfast support strengthens Harris's Domin along the coast securing the West as a key Democratic Block in this election in Nevada it continues to be a very contested Battleground this cycle this New York Times poll shows Harris ahead by a three-point margin creating a new dynamic in this traditionally competitive State Clark County Nevada's largest and a crucial Democratic base will be key to Harris's path to Victory although Republicans have made gains recently Harris's campaign is bang banking on high turnout in Democratic 3:01 areas to hold Nevada in her column with election day tomorrow the state remains on a knife's edge with both campaigns making an allout effort in these critical Final hours Arizona has been another intense Battleground with the new pole placing Trump ahead of Harris by a notable four-point margin this unexpected lead shifts Arizona further into the lean red category Maricopa County which accounts for approximately 60% of Arizona's total votes remains a crucial area to watch as any swing here could reshape the state's outcome Harris's campaign has intensified its focus in Maricopa recognizing that closing the Gap in this key county is essential for flipping Arizona in New Mexico Harris maintains a steady 6.5-point lead securing its position as lean blue despite some GOP efforts to gain ground the state's solid Democratic base has bolstered Harris's Campaign which is now looking to widen her lead even further in this historically blue 4:00 territory and ensure they keep it in future elections over in Colorado Harris's 11-point lead highlights the state's continued shift leftward Colorado's rapid Urban growth particularly in Denver and Boulder has helped reinforce the state's likely blue classification strengthening Harris's foothold on the western map in the central us Trump commands significant leads in Wyoming Utah and Idaho where his previous winning margins have reached between 20 and 40 points Montana also remains solidly Republican with Trump currently holding an 18-point advantage keeping it firmly in the solid red category Nebraska's second congressional district is a notable outlier in a largely red state with Harris leading by double digits placing it in the likely blue category the remaining parts of Nebraska along with North and South Dakota Kansas and Oklahoma remain safely in the Republican column in Texas Trump's 7.8 Point Lee 5:00 reflects a slight improvement from his 2020 performance placing the state comfortably in the lean red column Harris's team is monitoring demographic shifts here recognizing Texas's long-term potential adding further energy is a closely watched Senate race where Democrat Colin ald is mounting a strong challenge adding further complexity to this traditionally conservative state in Alaska Trump holds a comfortable eight-point lead making it a likely win for him meanwhile Harris is well positioned in Hawaii where the state's strong Democratic alignment keeps it firmly in the solid blue category in the midwest a region both campaigns are intensely focused on Harris is aiming to secure Minnesota along with the pivotal blue wall states of Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania these states are essential to her path especially considering Trump's notable 2016 victories there polls across the Midwest reveal neck-and-neck races making this area a potential election decid 6:00 I've been highlighting this path for Harris for some time as Trump's best move would be flipping just one of these states but with this new polling data the strategy might be shifting keep watching to see how today's map could change everything in Minnesota Harris holds a 5.7% lead positioning the state as lean blue while this margin has seen a slight dip Minnesota's decades long Democratic Trend since 1972 and its robust base of democratic voters suggest it will remain in in Harris's favor over in Iowa Trump has been favored to win the state throughout most of this cycle continuing the pattern from the last two elections when he took the state by nine and eight points respectively however with limited polling data between Harris and Trump Iowa is placed in the Tilt red category for now I'll discuss the czer poll later on in Illinois Harris is up by 17 points securing the state as a solid blue stronghold Indiana however is expected to to fall comfortably to Trump 7:01 who holds a strong double-digit lead making it a likely win in alignment with past election results Ohio shows an eight-point lead for Trump though the margin has tightened compared to previous years Ohio once reliably Democratic has shifted to the GOP with 2022 seeing Republican Governors win by substantial margins given this trend Ohio is marked as likely red on the electoral map keep an eye on this state as the most recent post poll has Trump ahead by only 3% in Wisconsin Harris has a two-point advantage in this poll a crucial lead in this notoriously competitive state with high voter turnout expected in Milwaukee County Wisconsin is currently leaning tilt blue though both campaigns are fiercely targeting it as a critical Battleground in Michigan Sienna polls show a deadlock at 47% each underscoring the state's role as a true tossup with the UAW strike emphas izing the importance of 8:00 workingclass Voters labor support could be decisive as both campaigns Focus intensely on Michigan's 15 electoral votes the state remains a top priority in the Northeast Harris holds steady with several States firmly in her favor Vermont Connecticut Delaware Massachusetts Rhode Island Maryland and Washington DC remain solidly Democratic even New Jersey appears secure for Harris despite recent challenges faced by democrats in the state in New York Harris has a comfortable lead of 14 points marking it as a solid Blue State for the Democrats New Hampshire is in the lean blue category for Harris with polls indicating a lead of 6.6% Maine however offers a more nuanced Outlook Harris leads Statewide by 17 points although Maine's electoral history has been less predictable Clinton's margin in 2016 was just 3% with Biden's less than 10% Harris appears secure in Maine's First District 9:01 but the second district leans red reflecting Trump's past success there in the Southeast Trump support holds strong across several States Missouri Arkansas Louisiana Mississippi and Alabama remain solidly in his column with Trump enjoying a 23-point lead in Tennessee and comfortable margins in Kentucky and West Virginia South Carolina 2o is classified as likely red underscoring the gop's strong presid pres in the region Florida has increasingly leaned toward the GOP as evidenced by Trump's three-point victory in 2020 and Ron desantis's significant 20po win in the 2022 gubernatorial race with Trump currently leading by seven points Florida remains in the lean red category although Harris's stronger performance relative to Biden's in recent polls suggests the race could tighten as election day draws near now we have the final three states and all three are extremely important in Virginia a state 10:01 with a longstanding democratic tilt kamla Harris seems well positioned for a comfortable win holding a 6.2% lead over Trump with some recent polls even showing a double digit Advantage Virginia remains securely in the lean blue category given the state's consistent support for Democrats it's unlikely to shift toward Battleground status this cycle while Republicans may have looked to gain ground the numbers indicate that Harris is solidifying Virginia's position as a democratic stronghold in 2024 Georgia with its pivotal 16 electoral votes stands as one of the most critical Battlegrounds this election recent polls show Harris ahead by a slim 1% turning up the stakes for both campaigns if Harris can secure Georgia and maintain her lead in other key States like Arizona and Pennsylvania her path to Victory strengthens considerably at present Georgia is classified as tilt blue Pennsylvania with its crucial 19 electoral votes 11:00 stands as one of the most decisive Battlegrounds this election cycle with the power to shape the final outcome currently Harris and Trump are locked in a tight race tied at 48% in the New York Times poll underscoring the high stakes in this must-win state early voting trends lean toward the Democrats with close to 1.8 million ballots cast so far 57% from Democrats and 33% from Republicans suggesting strong early enthusiasm on her side for now Pennsylvania remains a tossup and a victory here could be pivotal in defining Harris's path to the presidency as the campaign enters its final stretch with the electoral map now complete these final New York Times chel Sienna poll numbers reveal a map that I've honestly never seen before Harris holds leads of 4946 in Nevada 4846 in North Carolina 4947 in Wisconsin and 4847 in Georgia which which would give her the 12:00 win and put her in the White House meanwhile Pennsylvania and Michigan are locked in a tie yet with the previous leads Harris still wins without needing either of these states Trump maintains a 4946 Edge in Arizona making it one of his strongest footholds in these last moments it's all very interesting because this doesn't include the surprising Iowa pole that has Harris ahead by three with election day tomorrow the stage is set for a high stakes Showdown these margin show Harris with a clear Edge as we enter the final stretch and if all of these recent surveys from highly rated posters turn out to be correct it could be a landslide victory for Harris keep in mind this is just a projection based on recent polling data and Trends and things can shift quickly make sure to stay informed check multiple sources and follow updates from trusted sources as election day approaches please share this video to remind others not to let up every single vote counts no matter what you hear showing up at the polls is 13:00 essential even if your state feels solidly in One Direction your vote is key in local races that can make an enormous difference in your community make your voice count and be part of the process let me end by quickly explaining the map colors which indicate the level of confidence and margin of victory in each state safe states are projected wins by 15 plus points with little chance of an upset likely states are margins between eight and 15 points fairly secure but not guaranteed lean states are tighter races with a 3 to eight point margin where the leader is favored but the outcome could shift tilt states are the closest contests with margins under three points making them true Battlegrounds these colors provide a snapshot of how secure or competitive each state is offering insight into where candidates are focusing their efforts as election day approaches thanks for tuning in don't forget to like comment and subscribe for daily updates as we approach election day

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