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Date: 2025-08-21 Page is: DBtxt003.php txt00027246

THE UKRAINE WAR WHAT CAN RUSSIA DO? Kyiv Post: Jake Broe: Russians are mass surrendering PLAY YOUTUBE VIDEO Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yi3G8F9U4fw Peter Burgess COMMENTARY Peter Burgess
Jake Broe: Russians are mass surrendering Kyiv Post Aug 17, 2024 100K subscribers ... 397,540 views ... 26K likes Jake Broe says that even he is baffled by the number of Russian soldiers who are surrendering, en masse, who he says look 'terrible' - something that is stunning considering that most of them have never seen combat. Overall, the Russian military, like Russia as a whole, is facing increasing problems that just get worse month-after-month. Now with Kursk and Belgorod, Russia being invaded by Ukraine - things are about to get a whole lot worse for the Kremlin. Jake Broe, who is well known to those who follow Ukraine's war against Russian aggression, for his dynamic, interesting, and accurate analysis of what is transpiring in Russia's war against Ukraine. Through his battlefield map updates and articulate explanations, the war commentator has developed a strong following that regularly checks in to see what he thinks will happen next. Broe, in this exclusive interview with Kyiv Post, explains what internal pressures Russia is now facing that could well lead the world's largest country to a brutal defeat. Broe gives his candid analysis about what outcome the Kremlin is hoping to see, following this November's presidential election in the United States, and expresses why he is a strong supporter of Vice President Kamala Harris, despite the arguments that some Ukraine supporters, who back Trump, make to argue that the former President would do a better job of helping Ukraine to win. Formerly, Broe was a Nuclear and Missile Operations Officer in the United States Air Force for six years where he was in charge of the operations, maintenance, and security of the Minute Man III intercontinental ballistic missile system. Currently, Broe is a commentator on the war in support of Ukraine and operates a YouTube channel with 477,000 subscribers. Follow Jake on social media: YouTube: /@jakebroe X: https://x.com/RealJakeBroe Chapters: 00:00 Intro 00:23 Ukraine’s operations in Kursk and Belgorod regions of Russia 01:44 Will nuclear warfare break out? 04:42 Russian troops seem to be surrendering in very large numbers 06:59 Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko 08:47 The economic issues currently occurring in Russia 10:55 What happens next? 13:18 The upcoming U.S. election 15:40 End Chapters Transcript Intro 0:00 [Music] Jake it's great to see you today thanks for having me back Jason Jake you're a US Air Force veteran and today you're a very popular YouTuber who puts out updates as to what is going on with in the war in Ukraine and there's Ukraine’s operations in Kursk and Belgorod regions of Russia been something really exciting over the past couple of weeks which is Ukraine's invasion of K and belgrad regions of Russia what do you make of that how big of a deal is this well first of all let's just say there's been a huge spike in views and engagements there hasn't been a lot of significant changes on the map the last nine months or so uh so this was a brilliant move by the ukrainians to strike the Russians basically where they least expected we all were thinking that Ukraine was planning something zinsky the last couple months kept hinting that a major oper a was being 1:01 planned and I watched this war daily and I didn't see it coming the fact that they crossed the border into Russia uh maneuver Warfare uh armored columns going across these uh two defense lines staffed by conscripts they've completely humiliated the Kremlin I believe probably Russia did have the intelligence but not even they believed it uh Ukraine was being pretty tricky with Russia's reinvasion of the harke oblast they began moving troops to the Border region Ukraine was talking about we need to protect ourselves maybe Russia invading sui Russia didn't see it coming I didn't see it coming and it's been a spectacle to watch the last nine days so overall Will nuclear warfare break out? though when you look at this weren't you expecting nuclear warfare to break out we've heard for months and months that once there was escalation and once Ukraine crossed the red line and entered into Russia there would undoubtedly be nuclear warfare 2:00 why didn't that happen it is fascinating because I'm I'm checking these clips on Russian media monitor I want to see what the Kremlin is saying about this invasion of their country their Sovereign territory their territorial Integrity is being challenged and nobody right now is talking about nuclear weapons not Putin not meddev not svof nobody wants to talk about nuclear weapons because they know they were never going to use them they were never going to Nuke Berlin or nuke Washington DC in response to the delivery of patriot systems or f-16s it was all Scare Tactics and I used to be a nuclear missile operations officer I've thought a lot about nuclear Doctrine and I made a video on my channel almost two years ago giving 10 or 12 really good reasons why it never makes sense for Russia to use a nuclear weapon but I'll give you my top two why even today when Cur has been invaded 3:01 when the Armed Forces of Ukraine is occupying Russian territory the first reason the chines specifically told Putin you can't use nuclear weapons in your special military operation the other two major nuclear Powers being India and China they've communicated this to Moscow you can't use nuclear weapons that's not good for us so if India and China were to participate in economic sanctions that would be lights out for Russia overnight basically so Putin has to be considerate of India and China and he doesn't want to get on their bad side the other top reason I believe the only reason why Putin is still alive why nobody in Western intelligence is trying to assassinate him maybe Ukraine is trying to assassinate him but nobody in the CIA or MI6 is trying to take Putin out because the West still believes Putin is a rational actor who will not use nuclear weapons we could say that about 4:01 ban or Demitri ukin or some other crazy people in Russia's government so if Putin uses a nuclear weapon that's the end of Putin he'll have to pick his favorite command bunker go underground and he'll never be able to return to the service again that is what Putin would lose if he chooses to use a nuclear weapon even on his own soil even if he starts nuking his own territory the West uh the global South would have to respond and there' be no benefit to the Russians if they used a nuclear weapon Putin knows this Demitri medv knows this sov knows this which is why they've gone so silent on all their nuclear Scare Tactics so aside from that we've seen Russian troops seem to be surrendering in very large numbers something really strange happening within Russia the Russian troops just seem to be surrendering in very large numbers and it's not just some of them it includes the chin those who are mobilized soldiers uh conscripts that 5:00 overall when you look at this what does it say about the current state of the Russian military and what does it say about morale in the Russian military I have to believe that morale amongst the Russian military has been non-existent for quite some time now but I am baffled by these pictures and videos of all these Russians Mass surrendering I've seen the pictures I've seen the videos and they look terrible these are guys that haven't even been in combat the last two and a half years most of the Russians surrendering are conscripts 18 19 20y old draes who didn't sign up for this they're not being paid a real salary they didn't receive real training Russia was trying to cheat they were trying to send their contract soldiers and their best units to the combat zone to make advances and they were Staffing the border with just guys with heartbeats and shocking when Ukrainian forces who actually know what they're doing show up they just surrender in Mass because they didn't ask for this they didn't sign up for this uh so I I 6:02 do have sympathy for these contract soldiers they did the right thing they're going to live unlike a lot of their Patriots their comrades uh if they surrender they'll be treated fairly under the law the rules of international law Ukraine wants to exchange them back to get their own people back so perhaps they won't even have to wait in a p camp that long as for the catchin they're just cowards uh all they do is post on social media they don't do any real fighting and Russian conscripts fear them more than enemy udit uh the chin are used as barrier troops they're used as bullies to intimidate and negatively motivate ordinary Russian soldiers the fact that they would surrender in mass as well proves they're not true believers they're not real Fighters uh they know they'll be exchanged back as soon as possible because karov wants his own guys back to protect himself in Chia Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko so one other character that said some 7:02 very interesting things recently is B Russian dictator Alexander lucenko what do you make of that what is he thinking what is he doing and why is he saying what he is saying yeah it's incredible to me two and a half years into this war lucenko is an idiot but he works for Putin and Putin is signaling like crazy to everyone that he wants to talk he wants a way out of this he wants a ceasefire now the term he gave you know he gave this press conference a couple weeks ago and he basically said acceptable terms to begin peace talks is basically Ukraine surrender everything everything I failed to take militarily the last two and a half years just give it to me now and we can begin the talks for a ceasefire that's not really a sweet deal uh so I don't think lucenko is offering anything different but with Victor Orban going on his world peace tour to Moscow Beijing and Mara Lago now lucenko is 8:00 screaming why doesn't Ukraine and Belarus and Russia just sit down at the table and have a brotherly conversation so that we can achieve peace you can't do that lucenko you can't call the people in ke Nazis for two and a half years and then say can we please sit down with the Nazis and be friends again this is your bed you have to lie in it Ukraine is not this stupid they know that Russia's looking for a freeze in the conflict so they can rearm mobilize more people consolidate their gains and then come back for more of Ukraine's territory in two years four years or six years so lucenko can say whatever he wants Putin can say whatever he wants uh nobody nobody that understands this conflict is going to fall for it so that's really interesting The economic issues currently occurring in Russia how do you make of the situation though going on in Moscow how are they interpreting this specifically in light of the fact that it appears Russia might be having some economic problem problems 9:00 can you talk about some of the economic issues currently occurring in Russia there's so many bad reports for Russia with uh you know four dams failing in two weeks R Russia's losing about one Dam a week and every time one of these dams goes an area is flooded local residents don't have clean drinking water people lose their homes their rail network is collapsing after 2 and a half years of Western sanctions lack of Labor doing all the men fleeing and being mized uh their planes are falling out of the sky their planes are having uh mechanical malfunctions all the time utility disasters in the summertime uh because they couldn't keep up with high temperatures everything this winter is going to get worse Russia just announced a reintroduction of their ban on exports of refined oil oil products uh gasoline diesel kerosene because of quarter of their oil 10:00 refineries are knocked offline they're telling bellarus and Kazakhstan don't export to anyone aside from us we need to buy all of your refined oil products just to heat everyone's home this winter to me it's incredible that RT News two two years ago were making these absurd propaganda videos about by Christmas everyone in Europe will be eating their pet hamsters and and Russia is suffering more nobody in Moscow has been attacked yet they're going to experience this winter massive utility failures due to a lack of Manpower due to a lack of Western components and just general incompetence and Corruption Russia can't save itself uh and I think Putin is very concerned about this winter last winter was bad this winter will be worse and he's just trying to hold on to power at this point so looking towards the next What happens next? few months what should we keep an eye on where do you think there might be some 11:00 big developments and where do you think it goes next for K do you think they'll just hold that position do you think they'll expand what should we look ahead for so Russia has already begun building new trench lines 45 kilometers deep and if Ukraine wants to just create a new buffer zone 20 to 30 kilometers deep into Russian territory for themselves that's a win that's a huge win I don't see why Ukraine needs to go deeper than 40 km because they've already maneuvered behind Russia's two trench lines that they dug On the Border those two trench lines that Russia dug now belong to Ukraine they can just sweep sideways get behind them go north go south into briansk and belgrad and thank you very much Russia you just built Ukraine two trench lines that they can now staff and create a buffer zone on Russia's side of the Border this is what Putin said was their state objective inke and I mean just 12:02 just draw draw a clear contrast between what Russia attempted to do last May and what Ukraine achieved this month it couldn't be any more Stark aside from that you said the next couple months what's coming up I do want to add a political angle here in that I believe uh Ukraine wanted to launch this initiative in KK to reinvigorate Western media and let Western politicians know they're in this fight to win Russia can't win so I do believe this December and January we got to get through the November election first but this December and January before the next US president takes office there has to be another vote in the US Congress another 60 billion in military aid needs to be passed Ukraine knows this and I think supporters of Ukraine and Congress also know this so here here's the result if we give Ukraine the weapons and support 13:01 they need their Heroes will get the job done Russia is a beat dog at this point and uh you can see with these Mass surrenders if we just give Ukraine a little bit more if we just give them a little bit more time Russia will collapse spectacularly so let me ask you just one The upcoming U.S. election last question a personal question we do have the election soon in the United States and there's a lot of people that think that perhaps Donald Trump would do more for Ukraine than the vice president Harris would do when you're looking at it what's your takeaway who do you plan to support people think that because they want to think that I understand there are people who support Donald Trump who also support Ukraine but show me the clip show me the statements show me the tweets because it's all ambiguous at best I've told people uh show me a tweet that Donald 14:00 Trump has sent out in the last 2 and a half years in which Donald Trump condemns a single Russian war crime and I'll vote for Donald Trump but they don't exist so anybody pushing this narrative that Donald Trump might be better for Ukraine you don't actually listen to what Donald Trump says and does you might be listening to Mike Pompeo or some of his advisers but nobody speaks for Trump but Trump and when it comes to JD Vance they were celebrating on Kremlin State TV when Trump picked JD Vance JD Vance could not be any more hostile to Ukraine bragging to his friends that he refuses phone calls and meetings and he absolutely hates Ukraine it's no coincidence that Donald Trump picked JD Vance and J Vance just happened to be the most anti- Ukraine senator in the United States Senate so when it comes to Tim Walls and KLA Harris I argue worst case scenario it's more of the same as far as Biden policy policies but I do believe that when the 15:02 administration changes over and if KLA Harris wins uh we're going to get new people a new National Security adviser a new secretary of defense the entire National Security team will change and I do think there will be a desire to bring this war to an end faster even if it risks you know that's that's the been escalation management stopping Russia from using nuclear weapons I don't see Jake Sullivan changing his mind in the next 5 months but when we get a new person I do think some policies will be changed and more will be done to bring this war to a faster conclusion Jake End this is some really great explanations thanks for your time today thanks for having me back

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