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THE UKRAINE WAR
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PPR GLOBAL: Breaking News! US M1A2 Abrams suddenly appeared on eastern border for Russian threat!


Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yk1qCJgm1xY
Peter Burgess COMMENTARY

Peter Burgess
Breaking News! US M1A2 Abrams suddenly appeared on eastern border for Russian threat!

PPR GLOBAL

524K subscribers

Aug 4, 2024

Breaking News! US M1A2 Abrams suddenly appeared on eastern border for Russian threat!

Transcript
  • 0:04
  • welcome to PPR Global the recent
  • remarkable military activity on Poland's
  • border with Belarus points to
  • developments that could change the
  • balance of power in Eastern Europe in
  • particular the US military
  • reinforcements to Poland and NATO's
  • moves to reinforce its eastern border
  • have raised tensions in the region by
  • sending powerful war machines and
  • strategic equipment to Poland the United
  • States is further strengthening NATO's
  • Eastern flank American war machines
  • include Pats and M1 Abrams Tanks very
  • specialized equipment which are being
  • transferred to the most critical area
  • between NATO and Russia these moves are
  • critical not only for Poland but for the
  • security of the whole of Europe so what
  • lies behind this military
  • mobilization what is behind Poland's
  • ultimatum to Belarus and its border
  • exercises we will discover the details
  • together if you want to be informed

  • 1:00
  • about such critical developments do not
  • forget to subscribe to our Channel and
  • turn on notifications now let's analyze
  • the Strategic moves Behind These
  • important developments in particular the
  • US military upgrade to Poland and the
  • most powerful us war machines in the
  • Polish Army have made Poland the Eastern
  • stronghold of the alliance Poland has
  • started to take some measures to avoid
  • being the next Target and to challenge
  • Vladimir Putin the cooperation between
  • the two countries has been increasing
  • recently the United States is
  • strengthening its military presence near
  • Russia's borders the US Army is carrying
  • out an important logistical move as part
  • of its efforts to increase its strategic
  • presence in Europe in order to
  • strengthen NATO's Eastern flank in this
  • context convoys carrying equipment
  • belonging to the US Army were filmed
  • moving along the motorways of Poland
  • residents in the Lui and vapula regions
  • of Poland have witnessed a noticeable
  • increase in the number of military

  • 2:01
  • vehicles traveling on the roads Poland's
  • radio zet news agency reporting on these
  • developments published photographs of
  • military convoys including tanks and
  • other armored vehicles according to the
  • report by the end of September the US
  • military will transport a variety of
  • military equipment from the military
  • base in Manheim Germany to warehouses in
  • pows as part of the NAT funded Army
  • prepositioned stockpiles program this
  • equipment includes tanks armored combat
  • vehicles and artillery systems the aps
  • program is critical to ensure that NATO
  • member states are prepared for war and
  • can respond quickly in the event of a
  • crisis this strategic move aims to
  • increase deterrence on NATO's Eastern
  • borders especially in the context of
  • Russia's increased military activity in
  • Ukraine and intensifying Regional
  • security concerns the storage facilities
  • at poids serve as a central point to
  • support the operational capabilities of
  • us and NATO forces in Europe at the same

  • 3:00
  • time the Strategic location of the
  • warehouses in poids strengthens the US
  • Army's military presence in Europe the
  • facility is notable for being directly
  • adjacent to an Airfield this facilitates
  • the rapid Air transport of ammunition
  • and military equipment when necessary
  • this provides a great advantage in terms
  • of military mobility and logistic
  • capacity in the future the facility is
  • planned to house 87 tanks more than 150
  • infantry fighting vehicles
  • and 18 self-propelled howitzers this
  • shows that the facility will be capable
  • of supporting large-scale military
  • operations in June the US Army announced
  • the successful arrival of 14 M1 Abrams
  • tanks and one m88 armored recovery
  • vehicle at this strategic Point located
  • about 250 Mi west of Poland's border
  • with
  • Ukraine this movement signals a
  • strengthening of NATO forces in the
  • region and an increase in their
  • operational capacity retired US army

  • 4:00
  • colonel Ray wyi said last month that the
  • 4:03
  • poids facility will eventually be
  • 4:05
  • capable of supporting an armored Brigade
  • 4:08
  • he emphasized that the US and NATO
  • 4:10
  • military presence in the region could be
  • 4:12
  • considered as a clear message to Moscow
  • 4:15
  • voyi also stated that thanks to this
  • 4:18
  • facility the equipment will be able to
  • 4:20
  • be shipped to the front line in just a
  • 4:22
  • few days instead of a month-long
  • 4:24
  • shipping time by ship this rapid
  • 4:27
  • mobilization capability is critical to
  • 4:29
  • Regional security Dynamics and
  • 4:31
  • significantly increases NATO's ability
  • 4:33
  • to react quickly in the event of a
  • 4:35
  • crisis Poland has also been among the
  • 4:38
  • countries most affected by the Russo
  • 4:39
  • Ukrainian War as it is neighboring
  • 4:42
  • Ukraine this is why Warsaw is Keen to
  • 4:45
  • protect its borders relations between
  • 4:48
  • Poland and Russia are characterized by a
  • 4:50
  • historical mistrust the Ukraine war
  • 4:53
  • further reinforced this distrust as a
  • 4:55
  • matter of fact these developments could
  • 4:57
  • drag Poland into a wider conflict with

  • 5:00
  • devastating consequences According to
  • 5:02
  • some experts Poland may even be Russia's
  • 5:05
  • next Target Poland and the United States
  • 5:07
  • have had a volatile relationship over
  • 5:09
  • the years however the war in Ukraine has
  • 5:12
  • brought them closer and made Poland an
  • 5:15
  • indispensable Ally on the other hand
  • 5:18
  • NATO's efforts to strengthen its eastern
  • 5:20
  • flank in Poland are taking place at a
  • 5:23
  • time of heightened Regional tensions due
  • 5:25
  • to Russia's fullscale invasion of
  • 5:28
  • Ukraine the ukra Ukrainian partisan
  • 5:30
  • group fire continues to provide
  • 5:33
  • remarkable information on military
  • 5:35
  • activity in Russia this resistance group
  • 5:38
  • reported the presence of a convoy of
  • 5:40
  • advanced t90m Pro Riv tanks seen near St
  • 5:43
  • Petersburg after being transported from
  • 5:45
  • a military training ground in covo in
  • 5:48
  • the Leningrad region of Russia this is
  • 5:51
  • considered an unusual observation in the
  • 5:53
  • region St Petersburg is closer to NATO's
  • 5:56
  • Estonian borders than to the Ukrainian
  • 5:58
  • front the information provided by the

  • 6:01
  • atesh partisan group also reveals the
  • 6:03
  • pressure on Russia's defense industry
  • 6:06
  • caused by the heavy sanctions imposed by
  • 6:08
  • the West the group points to increasing
  • 6:11
  • difficulties and systematic problems in
  • 6:13
  • the Russian defense industry the
  • 6:15
  • partisans also report that a convoy of
  • 6:17
  • valuable t90m Pro Riv tanks was spotted
  • 6:21
  • in an area close to Estonia and Finland
  • 6:24
  • about 150 km from St Petersburg the
  • 6:27
  • images show a Russian armored Convoy of
  • 6:30
  • at least 10 vehicles but the location of
  • 6:32
  • the sighting of these modern machines is
  • 6:34
  • of great importance St Petersburg is not
  • 6:37
  • a region directly involved in the war in
  • 6:39
  • Ukraine but it is located quite far from
  • 6:42
  • the border with the defended country
  • 6:44
  • another batch of Russian armored
  • 6:46
  • vehicles will soon turn into a pile of
  • 6:48
  • Rusty scrap just like before a
  • 6:51
  • representative of the Ates group
  • 6:53
  • commented pointing out the irony of the
  • 6:55
  • situation these tanks are reportedly
  • 6:58
  • being used for training Purp near St

  • 7:00
  • Petersburg and are expected to be sent
  • 7:02
  • to the active front with new Crews soon
  • 7:05
  • this Mobility further complicates the
  • 7:07
  • Dynamics of Russia's military strategy
  • 7:09
  • and its implications for regional
  • 7:11
  • security as the situation in Eastern
  • 7:13
  • Europe escalates Putin remains confident
  • 7:16
  • that he can outflank the west and win in
  • 7:19
  • Ukraine the annual NATO Summit in early
  • 7:22
  • July resulted in a series of encouraging
  • 7:24
  • statements and practical measures in
  • 7:26
  • support of Ukraine however this widely
  • 7:29
  • anticipated meeting in Washington DC
  • 7:32
  • failed to produce the kind of decisive
  • 7:34
  • action that could convince Vladimir
  • 7:36
  • Putin to end his
  • 7:38
  • occupation sometime before the NATO
  • 7:40
  • Summit it was already clear that there
  • 7:42
  • would be no serious discussion about a
  • 7:44
  • membership invitation for Ukraine
  • 7:46
  • instead the emphasis was to be on
  • 7:48
  • improving the existing partnership and
  • 7:50
  • the alliance leaders were to retain as
  • 7:52
  • much room for maneuver as possible in
  • 7:55
  • dealing with the Russian Ukrainian War
  • 7:57
  • post-summit coverage centered on the

  • 8:00
  • official communic declaring Ukraine's
  • 8:02
  • irreversible path to Future NATO
  • 8:05
  • membership but not everyone saw the
  • 8:07
  • wording of the joint statement as a
  • 8:09
  • turning point indeed some Skeptics
  • 8:12
  • interpreted this latest restatement of
  • 8:14
  • NATO's open door to Ukraine as an
  • 8:16
  • indication that the alliance was still
  • 8:18
  • no closer to agreeing on a specific time
  • 8:20
  • frame for Ukrainian membership the
  • 8:23
  • summit was of course not a complete
  • 8:25
  • disappointment many countries promised
  • 8:27
  • Ukraine additional air defense systems
  • 8:30
  • meeting one of kiev's most urgent
  • 8:32
  • demands to protect the country from
  • 8:33
  • Russian bombing there were announcements
  • 8:35
  • of the imminent arrival of the first
  • 8:37
  • F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine and
  • 8:40
  • additional mechanisms were announced to
  • 8:41
  • coordinate arms deliveries and improve
  • 8:44
  • cooperation NATO members also agreed in
  • 8:47
  • Washington to allocate 40 billion EUR
  • 8:49
  • for military aid to Ukraine next year
  • 8:52
  • while this figure is certainly
  • 8:53
  • significant it falls far short of the
  • 8:56
  • level of funding needed to ensure
  • 8:57
  • Ukraine's victory this is not a new

  • 9:00
  • issue although the total GDP of the West
  • 9:03
  • dwarfs that of Russia Western leaders
  • 9:05
  • have yet to mobilize their financial
  • 9:07
  • resources to give Ukraine an
  • 9:09
  • overwhelming military Advantage as a
  • 9:12
  • result it is the much smaller Russian
  • 9:14
  • economy that currently produces more
  • 9:16
  • artillery shells than the entire Western
  • 9:19
  • World the modest progress made at the
  • 9:21
  • NATO Summit reflects the lack of urgency
  • 9:24
  • that has hampered the Western response
  • 9:26
  • since the beginning of Russia's
  • 9:27
  • full-scale invasion this hesitation is
  • 9:30
  • unlikely to lead to a change of heart in
  • 9:32
  • Moscow on the contrary Russian
  • 9:35
  • politicians are much more likely to see
  • 9:37
  • the West's current stance as evidence
  • 9:39
  • that the war is going according to plan
  • 9:42
  • unlike the West the Kremlin has a clear
  • 9:45
  • and cerent vision of a future Russian
  • 9:47
  • Victory in Ukraine this includes the
  • 9:49
  • gradual erosion of Ukrainian Battlefield
  • 9:51
  • resilience through Relentless
  • 9:53
  • high-intensity fighting on the front
  • 9:55
  • lines of the war and the extensive
  • 9:57
  • bombing of Civilian infrastructure and
  • 9:58
  • popul centers throughout the country in

  • 10:01
  • parallel with these military measures
  • 10:03
  • Russia will continue to conduct a
  • 10:05
  • variety of influence operations
  • 10:07
  • targeting Ukrainian and Western
  • 10:09
  • audiences in order to demoralize and
  • 10:12
  • create division this will leave Ukraine
  • 10:14
  • increasingly isolated and exhausted
  • 10:16
  • eventually leading to collapse and
  • 10:19
  • capitulation Russian officials believe
  • 10:21
  • that Ukraine will find it difficult to
  • 10:23
  • attract the attention of its Western
  • 10:25
  • allies and are encouraged by growing
  • 10:27
  • signs that many in the west now now see
  • 10:29
  • the occupation as a dead
  • 10:32
  • end Putin himself seems more confident
  • 10:35
  • than ever that the West will lose
  • 10:37
  • interest in the war and expects Western
  • 10:39
  • leaders to force Kiev into a negotiated
  • 10:41
  • settlement on Russian
  • 10:43
  • terms since the occupation began nearly
  • 10:46
  • 2 and A2 years ago Western leaders have
  • 10:48
  • failed to show the kind of resolve that
  • 10:50
  • would force Putin to reconsider his
  • 10:52
  • expectations instead of flooding Kiev
  • 10:55
  • with the latest tanks Jets drones and
  • 10:57
  • missiles Ukraine's Partners have
  • 10:59
  • steadily slowed down military aid while

  • 11:01
  • imposing absurd restrictions on the use
  • 11:03
  • of Western weapons the West's messages
  • 11:06
  • were equally inadequate instead of
  • 11:08
  • publicly committing to Ukraine's Victory
  • 11:10
  • Western leaders talked about preventing
  • 11:12
  • Ukraine's defeat and standing by Ukraine
  • 11:15
  • for as long as necessary this is not the
  • 11:17
  • language of power that Putin understands
  • 11:20
  • faced with continuing signs of Western
  • 11:22
  • indecision the Russian dictator is now
  • 11:24
  • escalating his demands the latest peace
  • 11:27
  • proposal envisaged Ukraine hand ing over
  • 11:29
  • all the territory occupied by Russia and
  • 11:32
  • a significant amount of additional
  • 11:34
  • territory not currently under Kremlin
  • 11:36
  • control there can be little doubt that
  • 11:39
  • he is as determined as ever for
  • 11:40
  • Ukraine's complete surrender and
  • 11:43
  • subjugation Putin knows that he cannot
  • 11:45
  • hope to match the Collective Strength of
  • 11:47
  • the democratic world but this does not
  • 11:49
  • encourage him instead he expects the
  • 11:53
  • continued weakness of the West to give
  • 11:55
  • Russia a historic victory in Ukraine as
  • 11:59
  • as long as the West is not finally ready

  • 12:00
  • to convert its vast Financial military
  • 12:03
  • and Technical potential into war-winning
  • 12:05
  • support for Ukraine he may be proved
  • 12:08
  • right meanwhile the war in Ukraine is
  • 12:12
  • reshaping European
  • 12:14
  • Defense the recent reelection of Ursula
  • 12:17
  • vand liion as president of the European
  • 12:19
  • commission marks another chapter in
  • 12:21
  • European politics especially in light of
  • 12:24
  • the ongoing Ukraine Russia conflict
  • 12:26
  • fonder lion who previously served as
  • 12:29
  • Germany's defense minister won a strong
  • 12:31
  • majority signaling continuity in the
  • 12:33
  • eu's current policy Direction her tenure
  • 12:36
  • was characterized by her hawkish stance
  • 12:38
  • on most policies especially regarding
  • 12:41
  • the war in Ukraine the role of the
  • 12:43
  • president of the European commission is
  • 12:45
  • varied and critical firstly the position
  • 12:48
  • involves managing the EU bureaucracy
  • 12:50
  • which despite its relatively small size
  • 12:53
  • by European standards has significant
  • 12:55
  • legal authority over a wide range of
  • 12:57
  • European affairs perhaps even more

  • 13:00
  • critical is that the president serves as
  • 13:02
  • a crisis mediator between various
  • 13:04
  • European countries this aspect of the
  • 13:07
  • role is particularly vital given the
  • 13:09
  • eu's complex decision-making processes
  • 13:12
  • which often require unanimity or
  • 13:14
  • qualified majority voting the eu's
  • 13:17
  • voting system is a nuanced and complex
  • 13:19
  • Affair reflecting the diverse needs and
  • 13:22
  • influences of its member states on
  • 13:25
  • matters requiring unanimity each country
  • 13:28
  • regardless of its size effectively has
  • 13:30
  • veto power this can lead to protracted
  • 13:33
  • negotiations and search for compromises
  • 13:36
  • as malta's interests have to be balanced
  • 13:39
  • with those of Germany on the other hand
  • 13:41
  • the qualified majority voting system is
  • 13:43
  • a hybrid structure that takes into
  • 13:45
  • account both population size and
  • 13:47
  • economic power similar to the US
  • 13:50
  • Electoral College it provides a more
  • 13:52
  • balanced approach to decision-making
  • 13:54
  • although it still favors smaller states
  • 13:56
  • to some extent but its complex it
  • 13:59
  • requires skillful management and

  • 14:01
  • mediation a task that falls on the
  • 14:03
  • shoulders of the commission president in
  • 14:06
  • Her pre-election speech fion outlined
  • 14:09
  • her priorities for the upcoming term
  • 14:11
  • while many of these were expected such
  • 14:14
  • as advancing the green New Deal and
  • 14:16
  • strengthening cyber defense capabilities
  • 14:19
  • one proposal stood out the creation of a
  • 14:22
  • common European air defense area this
  • 14:25
  • initiative marks a significant shift in
  • 14:27
  • EU policy and could potentially change
  • 14:29
  • the balance of power between the EU and
  • 14:32
  • NATO the two institutions that have
  • 14:34
  • dominated European Affairs for the last
  • 14:36
  • 75 years the evolution of the European
  • 14:39
  • Union from the coal and Steel Community
  • 14:42
  • to the European community and finally to
  • 14:44
  • its current form has focused primarily
  • 14:47
  • on economic integration despite facing
  • 14:51
  • numerous challenges and ongoing debates
  • 14:53
  • the EU has made significant progress in
  • 14:56
  • creating a common trading block a
  • 14:58
  • unified market and harmonizing Banking

  • 15:01
  • and Financial regulation in fact the
  • eu's achievements in these areas have
  • exceeded the expectations of many
  • observers a quarter of a century ago
  • especially in the wake of the financial
  • crisis of the mid
  • 2000s NATO has been the primary
  • institution responsible for European
  • Defense initially against the Soviet
  • Union and now against Russia NATO
  • dominated by the United States or more
  • generously by the United States and the
  • United Kingdom faced significant
  • challenges in the 2000s and
  • 2010s during this period many European
  • countries notably Germany downplayed
  • their security concerns this complacent
  • attitude persisted even after Russia's
  • first invasion of Ukraine in 2014 with
  • some European countries including
  • Germany considering significant Cuts in
  • military spending or even disbanding
  • their Armed Forces
  • altogether Russia's fullscale invasion
  • of Ukraine in 2022 significantly changed
  • changed this landscape the ferocity and

  • 16:01
  • scale of the war forced European
  • countries to reassess their security
  • priorities leading to A Renewed focus on
  • defense capabilities and spending this
  • is the context in which Von's proposal
  • for a common European air defense domain
  • gains relevance the need for such a
  • system is clear the Ukraine war has
  • clearly shown how vulnerable critical
  • infrastructure is to missile and drone
  • attacks European leaders are ACC cutely
  • aware that their countries which are
  • more technologically advanced and
  • infrastructure dependent than Ukraine
  • would face even more disastrous
  • consequences from similar attacks an
  • integrated air and missile defense
  • system is seen as an essential component
  • in mitigating this threat the proposed
  • European air defense area would probably
  • include a network of radar systems
  • surface-to-air missile batteries and
  • Interceptor aircraft integrated through
  • an advanced command and control system
  • such a system would need to be able to

  • 17:00
  • detect track and intercept a wide range
  • 17:02
  • of Airborne threats from ballistic
  • 17:05
  • missiles to low-flying unmanned aerial
  • 17:08
  • Vehicles the technical challenges
  • 17:10
  • involved in creating such a system are
  • 17:12
  • significant and require not only
  • 17:14
  • significant financial investment but
  • 17:16
  • also an unprecedented level of
  • 17:18
  • coordination and integration between
  • 17:20
  • European militaries one of the main
  • 17:23
  • technical obstacles will be to achieve
  • 17:25
  • interoperability between different
  • 17:26
  • National systems European countries
  • 17:29
  • currently operate a wide range of air
  • 17:31
  • defense systems from the American
  • 17:33
  • Patriot missiles to the Franco Italian
  • 17:36
  • samp T system integrating these various
  • 17:38
  • systems into a coherent hole will
  • 17:40
  • require significant technical expertise
  • 17:43
  • and the development of potentially new
  • 17:45
  • interface
  • 17:47
  • Technologies another critical aspect of
  • 17:49
  • the proposed air defense domain is the
  • 17:51
  • need for real-time data sharing and
  • 17:54
  • decision-making
  • 17:55
  • capabilities given the short flight
  • 17:57
  • times of modern missiles especially in
  • 17:59
  • the European theater reaction times must

  • 18:02
  • be measured in minutes or even seconds
  • 18:05
  • this requires the development of
  • 18:07
  • advanced artificial intelligence and
  • 18:08
  • machine Learning Systems to help human
  • 18:10
  • operators make decisions in a fraction
  • 18:12
  • of a second the creation of this air
  • 18:14
  • defense area can also stimulate
  • 18:16
  • innovation in other areas of military
  • 18:19
  • technology for example it could
  • 18:21
  • stimulate the development of new types
  • 18:23
  • of missile interceptors more advanced
  • 18:25
  • radar systems or new electronic warfare
  • 18:28
  • capabilities
  • 18:29
  • this could revive the European Defense
  • 18:31
  • industry and reduce the continent's
  • 18:34
  • dependence on American Military
  • 18:36
  • technology what makes F Lion's proposal
  • 18:39
  • particularly striking however is her
  • 18:41
  • suggestion that this should be an EU
  • 18:43
  • initiative rather than a NATO initiative
  • 18:46
  • this represents a potential shift in the
  • 18:48
  • traditional division of responsibilities
  • 18:50
  • between the two organizations and could
  • 18:52
  • signal a more assertive EU role in
  • 18:54
  • defense matters The Proposal faces
  • 18:56
  • several challenges both techn and
  • 18:59
  • political first and foremost is the

  • 19:01
  • question of resources previous attempts
  • to create European Defense initiatives
  • independent of NATO have failed due to
  • lack of funding and political will
  • however the war in Ukraine has prompted
  • many European countries to significantly
  • increase their defense budgets this
  • influx of resources could potentially
  • support both NATO commitments and new EU
  • defense initiatives another challenge
  • lies in the relationship between the EU
  • and NATO most most EU members are also
  • 19:30
  • NATO members but there are
  • 19:32
  • exceptions four EU countries Malta
  • 19:36
  • Ireland Austria and Cyprus are not part
  • 19:39
  • of NATO while malta's security concerns
  • 19:42
  • are primarily focused on illegal
  • 19:44
  • immigration from Africa and Ireland has
  • 19:46
  • historically adopted a somewhat passive
  • 19:48
  • approach to Continental defense issues
  • 19:50
  • Austria and Cyprus present more complex
  • 19:53
  • situations Austria can navigate this new
  • 19:55
  • defense landscape by remaining neutral
  • 19:58
  • and aoid voiding certain decisions due

  • 20:00
  • to electoral and historical
  • 20:02
  • circumstances Cyprus however poses a
  • 20:05
  • more significant challenge as an EU
  • 20:08
  • member state with less than 1 million
  • 20:09
  • inhabitants Cyprus has Dee rooted
  • 20:12
  • cultural and military conflicts with
  • 20:13
  • turkey an important trading partner of
  • 20:15
  • the EU but not an EU member State
  • 20:18
  • cyprus's veto power over EU decisions
  • 20:21
  • could potentially complicate the
  • 20:22
  • implementation of a common air defense
  • 20:24
  • area especially if it perceives that the
  • 20:27
  • system could benefit turkey
  • 20:29
  • the situation is further Complicated by
  • 20:31
  • cyprus's unique position in European
  • 20:33
  • Affairs the last time Cypress was the
  • 20:35
  • subject of significant international
  • 20:37
  • news coverage was during the financial
  • 20:39
  • crisis of the late 2000s despite being
  • 20:42
  • the recipient of the smallest bailout
  • 20:45
  • among the affected European countries
  • 20:47
  • cyprus's status as a money laundering
  • 20:50
  • Center made the bailout
  • 20:52
  • disproportionately controversial and
  • 20:54
  • complex this history suggests that
  • 20:57
  • cyprus's role in any new European
  • 20:59
  • Defense Initiative could be equally

  • 21:02
  • complex and contentious the proposed
  • 21:05
  • European air defense area also raises
  • 21:07
  • questions about the future relationship
  • 21:10
  • between the EU and Nato one possibility
  • 21:13
  • is for European countries to greatly
  • 21:16
  • increase their defense spending
  • 21:18
  • potentially creating a parallel capacity
  • 21:20
  • to Nato this scenario becomes more
  • 21:23
  • likely with Ukraine performing worse in
  • 21:25
  • the war as European countries may feel
  • 21:28
  • compelled to strengthen their own
  • 21:29
  • defenses
  • 21:31
  • independently alternatively the EU and
  • 21:34
  • NATO could move towards closer
  • 21:36
  • integration potentially merging certain
  • 21:38
  • aspects of their
  • 21:40
  • operations this would require careful
  • 21:42
  • negotiation particularly with regard to
  • 21:45
  • the participation of non-nato EU members
  • 21:48
  • and non-eu NATO members such as the UK
  • 21:51
  • the UK's position in this new security
  • 21:54
  • landscape is particularly interesting
  • 21:56
  • having left the EU but remaining a key
  • 21:58
  • member of NATO the UK may find itself in

  • 22:01
  • a unique position to influence the
  • 22:03
  • development of European defense policy
  • 22:05
  • from the outside how the UK chooses to
  • 22:09
  • interact with these new initiatives
  • 22:11
  • could have important implications for
  • 22:12
  • both European security and Britain's
  • 22:15
  • post brexit relationship with the
  • 22:17
  • continent the proposed air defense area
  • 22:20
  • also reflects a growing recognition of
  • 22:22
  • the changing nature of warfare the
  • 22:24
  • Ukraine war has demonstrated the
  • 22:26
  • critical importance of air and missile
  • 22:28
  • defense systems in Modern Warfare the
  • 22:31
  • development of this air defense area
  • 22:34
  • could also have important implications
  • 22:36
  • for the European Defense industry major
  • 22:38
  • defense contractors in countries such as
  • 22:40
  • France Germany and Italy could see
  • 22:43
  • significant benefits from such a
  • 22:44
  • large-scale project this could increase
  • 22:47
  • Europe's technological capabilities and
  • 22:49
  • reduce dependence on American defense
  • 22:51
  • technology however it also raises
  • 22:54
  • questions about Fair competition and the
  • 22:56
  • distribution of contracts among EU
  • 22:58
  • member States smaller countries with

  • 23:01
  • less developed defense Industries may be
  • concerned about missing out on the
  • economic benefits of such a large
  • project balancing these conflicting
  • interests will be a critical challenge
  • for the EU leadership Russia will
  • undoubtedly be skeptical of such a
  • development and may see it as a
  • provocative move China will also be
  • watching these developments closely as
  • Beijing seeks to expand its Global
  • influence including in Europe the
  • creation of a more militarily capable
  • and assertive EU could complicate its
  • strategic calculations for the United
  • States the development of an EU air
  • defense domain presents both
  • opportunities and challenges on the one
  • hand a more capable European Defense
  • could allow the United States to reduce
  • its military commitments in Europe and
  • free up resources for other Global
  • priorities on the other hand Washington
  • may be concerned about the potential
  • reduction of its influence in European
  • security Affairs if the EU assumes a

  • 24:00
  • more prominent defense role the success
  • or failure of this initiative could also
  • have wider implications for European
  • integration the successful
  • implementation of a common air defense
  • area could pave the way for deeper
  • cooperation in other areas of defense
  • and security it could potentially serve
  • as a model for how the EU could develop
  • shared capabilities in other critical
  • areas such as cyber defense or
  • space-based assets if the project is
  • hampered by internal disputes or
  • technical difficulties it could
  • reinforce skepticism about the eu's
  • ability to act coherently on major
  • security issues this in turn could
  • strengthen the position of those who
  • argue that NATO should remain the
  • primary instrument for European Defense
  • as the project progresses several key
  • questions will need to be addressed how
  • will the system be financed and how will
  • the costs be distributed among EU
  • members will European countries outside
  • the EU be invited to participate and if

  • 25:01
  • so on what terms how will the system
  • interface with existing National Air
  • Defense capabilities and NATO systems
  • the answers to these questions will
  • shape not only the effectiveness of the
  • proposed air defense area but also the
  • future of European security cooperation
  • more generally they will require careful
  • deliberation and may lead to heated
  • debates both within and between European
  • countries in conclusion the re-election
  • of Ursula fonder lion as president of
  • the European commission and the proposal
  • for a common European air defense area
  • represent a potential turning point in
  • European security policy born out of the
  • Urgent lessons of the Ukraine conflict
  • this initiative could reshape the
  • continent's security landscape and
  • redefine relations between the EU NATO
  • and its member states thank you for
  • watching us



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