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Date: 2025-07-02 Page is: DBtxt003.php txt00026644
THE UKRAINE WAR
RUSSIA CANNOT DEFEND ITS OIL

William Spaniel: How Ukraine Is Exploiting Russia's Oil Bottleneck Problem


Original article: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Pnt0k49Nag
Peter Burgess COMMENTARY

Peter Burgess
How Ukraine Is Exploiting Russia's Oil Bottleneck Problem William Spaniel 573K subscribers ... 33,582 Views ... 3.9K Likes Check out my book 'How Ukraine Survived': https://amzn.to … How Ukraine Is Exploiting Russia's Oil Bottleneck Problem Check out my book 'How Ukraine Survived': https://amzn.to … Description How Ukraine Is Exploiting Russia's Oil Bottleneck Problem Apr 22 2024 Check out my book 'How Ukraine Survived': https://amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at https://amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.) For months, Ukraine has targeted Russia's oil industry with drone strikes. Subtly, though, Ukraine's focus has been specifically on hitting refined oil products, not raw crude. This video examines why that is the case. We begin with obvious factors, like value, concentration, and distance. However, due to a less obvious bottleneck problem with shipping, the marginal value of hitting crude may in fact be nearly zero for Ukraine.
  • 0:00 The Timeline of Ukraine's Attacks
  • 2:20 The Relative Value of Crude and Refined Oil
  • 4:20 The Concentration of Targets
  • 5:46 The Geography of Attacks
  • 7:42 Russia's Bottleneck on Ships
  • 11:57 The Benefit of Further Sanctions
  • 13:28 Russia's Defensive Strategy
  • 15:12 Black Sea Parallels
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