Get Facts
Before you plan ... get the facts
The relief and development sector projects often include “baseline studies” as
the first phase of the project. But getting the facts needs to be a step before
the project is designed.
This writer advocates for a process that looks like this:
➢ FACTS ---> PLAN ------------------> IMPLEMENT ---> SUCCESS
rather than a process that can perhaps be described like this:
➢ PLAN ----> 1st Phase Implement ---> FACTS ----------> OOPS
There are a lot of facts, but they are not easily accessible, nor are they very
well organized.
Before there is any planning, there needs to be information. This is obtained
by measuring. Broadly speaking the more measurements the better. Some of
the key information that is always needed:
- How much do things cost?
- What do they do? and
- What results will be achieved?
This same set of questions need to be answered for almost everything that is
done. It is the foundation of results based planning. There can be more
information, but without these three elements of data, everything else is
practically useless.
Getting facts for planning is a legitimate activity ... but only to the extent that
the effort is going to result in a plan. And the planning is only a legitimate
activity if there is a reasonable possibility that it will result in a funded
initiative. Getting good facts is valuable if it enables the plans developed to be
the best possible.
It is also very valuable to have facts before resources are consumed in bad
investments. Spending a modest amount of money on getting facts so that a
lot of money is NOT spent in a way that would fail and be wasted is very
valuable. It needs to be common practice rather than unusual.
No Investment is Sometimes the Better Answer
Some years ago, I did a fisheries investment plan and evaluation in West Africa for
IFC. When I proposed the project I had limited facts, and suggested a small study to
see whether the plan might possibly be viable. I thought a field visit of about one
week for one person would be enough. If there was potential, then it would make
sense to do a full scale investment proposal.
But no, that is not the way the IFC worked. Instead of one person for one week, it
had to be four people and take several man-months. All the people had to have high
level qualifications and experience (that is they were going to be expensive) and the
report needed to be done to a presentation quality.
Eventually, the study money is spent, the facts analyzed and it is apparent that my
proposal was only half right. The fishery would support a project, but the enabling
governance in the country was going to be catastrophic. My conclusion was that the
proposed project should not go forward.
Of course by now the IFC had spent a lot of money in the pre-project mode. IFC was
embarrassed. I was pressured to change the conclusions, and then became unpopular
because I refused to do so. It was not good for my consulting career!
This shows the value of getting some preliminary data at low cost before going on to
bigger things.
I was professionally justified in our team's conclusions when two years later the
World Bank chose to withdraw from the country for all the reasons we had identified
as potential problems for the project.
You only need to measure enough to be able to understand the difference
between progress and regression ... and to have enough information so that
the best possible decisions can be made. Getting extra facts and making plans
that are never used is a value destroying activity. There are costs and no
value.
There can be substantial improvement in the performance of the relief and
development sector if the reports and studies that are commissioned are only
ones that are going to be used. The donor community is far too comfortable
doing studies that have absolutely no relief and development value, but serve
simply to employ nationals of the donor country. The academic community is
happy to oblige, and during the summer break academics are to be found all
over the “south” doing research and studies that rarely have much relief and
development value.
Getting facts ought to be easy
Getting facts ought to be easy, but it is not. The management information
needed is just not easily accessible, even if it exists at all.
There are a number of problems that need to be addressed, including: (1) the
academic practice of being secretive about the data; (2) the basic lack of
relevant data collection; (3) the practice of doing very small samples and
using statistical method for analysis; (4)
The basic lack of relevant data collection is systemic.
The academic practice of being secretive about the data, though promoting
the conclusions derived from the data, may be something to do with the way
in which academic credentials are evaluated and awards made. The effect of
the practice is to make use of data much more difficult, and the reduce the
socio-economic value of the academic efforts.
The practice of doing very small samples and using statistical method for
analysis is academically satisfying, but in terms of management information
tells decision makers very little. There is a
Need logical organization of management data
There is no logical organization of management data for relief and
development sector decision making being used. Nobody knows where to
look for the data. There is no universal metadata system so that the data are
comparable.
There is text ... a lot of it. There are few numbers, and the numbers are
difficult to understand.
Nothing here is new
There is nothing being suggested here that is new. The quest for more data
has been on the agenda for a long time. The difference is that we are looking
for decision making data, and not merely data that can be analyzed and
included in some ad-hoc or annual publication.
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