FRIDAY, MARCH 20, 2015
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Hiking trails diverge woodsruminatrix/Flickr
POLITICSMAR 16, 2015 8
The Messy Politics of Economic Divergence
The world is increasingly characterized by divergence – in economic performance, monetary policy, and thus in financial markets. Though there is a broad consensus on what must be done to rebalance the… READ MORE
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/economic-divergence-global-politics-by-mohamed-a--el-erian-2015-03
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currency warsThe AutoMotovated Cyclist/Flickr
BUSINESS & FINANCEFEB 10, 2015 16
An Accidental Currency War?
Six and a half years after the global financial crisis, central banks in emerging and developed economies alike are continuing to pursue unprecedentedly activist – and unpredictable – monetary policy.… READ MORE
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/monetary-policy-central-bank-activism-by-mohamed-a--el-erian-2015-02
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Roulette wheelHåkan Dahlström/Flickr
ECONOMICSJAN 13, 2015 6
What Are We Betting On?
The world has collectively placed a huge bet on three fundamental outcomes: a shift toward more inclusive global growth, the avoidance of policy mistakes, and the prevention of market accidents. But a… READ MORE
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/uncertain-economic-outcomes-by-mohamed-a--el-erian-2015-01
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Roads Divergeemdot/Flickr
ECONOMICSDEC 8, 2014 11
A Year of Divergence
In the coming year, the global economy will be characterized by widening discrepancies in economic growth and policies. As these divergences become increasingly difficult to reconcile, policymakers wi… READ MORE
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/economic-monetary-policy-divergence-2015-by-mohamed-a--el-erian-2014-12
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Origami Dollar airplaneDominik Meissner/Flickr
ECONOMICSNOV 10, 2014 11
The Return of the Dollar
The recent dollar rally, the result of genuine economic progress and divergent policy developments, could contribute to the “rebalancing” that has long eluded the global economy. But that outcome is f… READ MORE
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/us-dollar-rally-global-rebalancing-by-mohamed-a--el-erian-2014-11
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income inequality shoe shinerM. Jeremy Goldman/Flickr
ECONOMICSOCT 17, 2014 24
The Inequality Trifecta
Perhaps the most striking disconnect at the annual IMF/World Bank meetings was the disparity between participants’ interest in discussions of inequality and the ongoing lack of a formal action plan for… READ MORE
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Light Installation ColorsDom Dada/Flickr
ECONOMICSSEP 16, 2014 3
Markets’ Rose-Tinted World
This has been an unusual year for the global economy, characterized by a series of unanticipated economic, geopolitical, and market shifts – and the final quarter is likely to be no different. So why … READ MORE
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IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde
BUSINESS & FINANCEAUG 15, 2014 4
The Fragmentation of Bretton Woods
In recent years, political support for economic multilateralism has eroded, undermining the effectiveness of the Bretton Woods institutions and disrupting the international monetary system. This is no… READ MORE
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Smoke over Gaza City PalestineMohammed Othman/ZumaPress
WORLD AFFAIRSJUL 10, 2014 5
The Three-Track Middle East
Rather than achieving internal convergence, the Middle East is now following at least three distinct paths, and already-large differences will persist and grow for a number of years to come. The main … READ MORE
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Mohamed A. El-Erian, Mexico's government, Enrique Peña Nieto implements structural-reform, could be a Global ModelMartin D/Flickr
BUSINESS & FINANCEJUN 18, 2014 1
Mexico’s Breakout Moment?
Mexico has a good chance to realize its impressive structural-reform agenda. Doing so would give the rest of the world an important example of how such programs can be designed, implemented, and, most… READ MORE
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Newsart for Markets’ Federal Reserve Love StoryFederal Reserve Bank of New York/Pavel Ko
BUSINESS & FINANCEMAY 21, 2014 5
Markets’ Federal Reserve Love Story
For many years market participants have been richly rewarded for falling in love – quickly and decisively – with policy measures adopted by the US Federal Reserve. More recently, however, some have be… READ MORE
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Newsart for The Democratic Disruption of FinanceNapoleonBiggs/Flickr
BUSINESS & FINANCEAPR 22, 2014 4
The Democratic Disruption of Finance
There seems to be no limit to the exciting possibilities that come from combining technical innovations, the Internet, and social media. What is less appreciated is the extent to which the same phenom… READ MORE
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Newsart for Cementing Europe’s RecoveryJavier Micora/Flickr
ECONOMICSAPR 8, 2014 2
Cementing Europe’s Recovery
Europe’s renewed sense of hope and confidence, however encouraging, is not yet sufficient to produce appreciable gains for current and future generations. A few things need to happen over the next sev… READ MORE
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Newsart for Wallets Wide ShutMarlin2121/Flickr
BUSINESS & FINANCEMAR 1, 2014 11
Wallets Wide Shut
With profitability at or near record levels, cash holdings by the corporate sector in Europe and the US have reached an all-time high – and are earning very little at today’s near-zero interest rates.… READ MORE
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Newsart for A Happier Ending for IMF Reform?International Monetary Fund
BUSINESS & FINANCEFEB 3, 2014 1
A Happier Ending for IMF Reform?
Despite an elegant solution that involved no new commitments of resources, the US Congress last month refused to take up a long-delayed funding proposal for the IMF. But there is also a silver lining … READ MORE
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Newsart for Achieving Escape VelocityChameleonsEye/Shutterstock
ECONOMICSJAN 21, 2014 6
Achieving Escape Velocity
While the prospect of faster global GDP growth in 2014 is good news, it is too early to celebrate. Indeed, there is a risk that, by tempting policymakers into complacency, this year’s economic upturn … READ MORE
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Newsart for America’s Partisan PerilThatMakesThree/Flickr
BUSINESS & FINANCEDEC 9, 2013 5
America’s Partisan Peril
Many Americans started 2013 with high hopes that congressional leaders would overcome, even if only partly, the polarization and political dysfunction that had slowed recovery. But optimism foundered … READ MORE
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Newsart for The Uncertain Future of Central Bank SupremacyChris Van Es
ECONOMICSNOV 11, 2013 10
The Uncertain Future of Central Bank Supremacy
Advanced countries' central banks were among the first to warn that their ability to compensate for other policymakers’ inaction is neither endless nor risk-free. The trouble is that few outsiders see… READ MORE
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